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Spain/Portugal
Spanish and Portuguese league picks and analysis discussed here. Premier and 1.div.
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Old 02-01-18, 20:54   #1
Fred87
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Default Portuguese Liga Nos 03/04 January

Aves - Moreirense
2.17 3.11 3.47
Boavista - Braga
3.60 3.09 2.13
Maritimo - Chaves
2.18 3.11 3.41
Feirense - FC Porto
13.84 5.92 1.20
Rio Ave - Ferreira
1.71 3.48 5.04
Benfica - Sporting
2.18 3.24 3.28

Setubal - Estoril
2.37 3.08 3.06
Portimonense - Belenenses
2.04 3.28 3.59
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Old 02-01-18, 20:55   #2
Fred87
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Boavista - Braga
Football - First League Portugal
03/01/2018
18:15 GMT
Pick: Braga AH -0,25 @ 1.87 Pinnacle (6 units)

NOTE: Double Confidence

Boavista: It has one of the lowest budgets of the championship, and its main characteristic is its "aggressiveness" in the field, that makes the useful time of match is smaller than normal.
For the match with Braga, Boavista will not be able to count on midfielder and captain Idris, the only player used in the 15 matches of the league and always the starter, right defender Edu Machado and strikers Renato Santos, Yusupha Njie and Iván Bulos, all injured

Braga: Braga is making an excellent championship, with excellent perspectives of being able to meddle in the fight of the first three classified.
For this match, returns his best player in this first part of the championship, the striker Paulinho (been injured about last 2 months).
Highlight also for the return of Wilson Eduardo, player that brings more solutions and experience.
The team has been practicing a very beautiful and disciplined football.

Pick: Braga AH -0,25 @ 1.87 Pinnacle (6 units)


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Old 02-01-18, 20:56   #3
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Benfica - Sporting
Football - First League Portugal
03/01/2018
21:30 GMT
Pick: Sporting AH +0,25 @ 1.93 Pinnacle (3 units)

Benfica: The team is a disgrace in this year.
There are two reasons for this, the first is that the team has lost its best players in recent years and its substitutes do not have the same quality. The second reason is that the club is at a controversial time, with suspected corruption a referees.
Benfica depends a lot on the most experienced players and they are in the descending phase of his career, as it is the case of the central defender luizao and the advanced Jonas.

Sporting has the squad with more solutions of the championship. Players like Bas Dost, Coates, William Carvalho and Coentrao love these kinds of important games.
Rui Patricio (goalkeeper) has been in an incredible form, unlike his Benfica opponent, where the youth of goalkeeper Bruno Varela or Svilar has brought some problems. tem trazido alguns problemas.

Benfica has some players at the end of their career (Luisao, Jardel), and I believe that today they will have a lot of difficulty against Bas Dost, Gelson Martins and Bruno Fernandes

Pick: Sporting AH +0,25 @ 1.93 Pinnacle (3 units)


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Old 03-01-18, 07:33   #4
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What do you guys think about BTTS in Benfica vs Sporting?
@1.77

Last edited by SeanPrice; 04-01-18 at 07:51.
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Old 03-01-18, 14:39   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fred87 View Post
Boavista - Braga
Football - First League Portugal
03/01/2018
18:15 GMT
Pick: Braga AH -0,25 @ 1.87 Pinnacle (6 units)

NOTE: Double Confidence

Boavista: It has one of the lowest budgets of the championship, and its main characteristic is its "aggressiveness" in the field, that makes the useful time of match is smaller than normal.
For the match with Braga, Boavista will not be able to count on midfielder and captain Idris, the only player used in the 15 matches of the league and always the starter, right defender Edu Machado and strikers Renato Santos, Yusupha Njie and Iván Bulos, all injured

Braga: Braga is making an excellent championship, with excellent perspectives of being able to meddle in the fight of the first three classified.
For this match, returns his best player in this first part of the championship, the striker Paulinho (been injured about last 2 months).
Highlight also for the return of Wilson Eduardo, player that brings more solutions and experience.
The team has been practicing a very beautiful and disciplined football.

Pick: Braga AH -0,25 @ 1.87 Pinnacle (6 units)


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Thanks for your analysis. But Idris might play, according to a few sources, he will not be absent.
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Old 03-01-18, 18:03   #6
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Taken Moreirense to win at 4.13 odds. They have basically only beaten (or drawn) sides that finished behind them the past two season, and Aves is a promoted side that should be even with or behind Moreirense when the season is done. I opted for the higher price, even though draws are usually the better bet in this league.
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Old 03-01-18, 20:28   #7
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Quote:
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Thanks for your analysis. But Idris might play, according to a few sources, he will not be absent.

Idris was operated on Foot on December 20, will be out for 3 or 4 weeks.
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Old 03-01-18, 20:29   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fred87 View Post
Boavista - Braga
Football - First League Portugal
03/01/2018
18:15 GMT
Pick: Braga AH -0,25 @ 1.87 Pinnacle (6 units)

NOTE: Double Confidence


Pick: Braga AH -0,25 @ 1.87 Pinnacle (6 units)


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Boavista 1-3 Braga
Won Bet
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Old 03-01-18, 23:38   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fred87 View Post
Benfica - Sporting
Football - First League Portugal
03/01/2018
21:30 GMT
Pick: Sporting AH +0,25 @ 1.93 Pinnacle (3 units)


Pick: Sporting AH +0,25 @ 1.93 Pinnacle (3 units)


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1/2 Won

Benfica 1-1 Sporting

Benfica goal was on penalties at 90min
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Old 04-01-18, 07:25   #10
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thanks Fred great picks and knowledge
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Old 04-01-18, 15:27   #11
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Setubal - Estoril over 2,5
Portimonense - Belenenses - Portimoense & over 1,5

any thoughts?
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Old 04-01-18, 16:04   #12
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Quote:
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Taken Moreirense to win at 4.13 odds. They have basically only beaten (or drawn) sides that finished behind them the past two season, and Aves is a promoted side that should be even with or behind Moreirense when the season is done. I opted for the higher price, even though draws are usually the better bet in this league.
Today's Portimonense-Belenenses match is similar. The home side are newly promoted and have done very well at home...but have faced none of the top sides in the league to this point. Belenenses look a lot worse on away, as they've lost to all of the top-five sides on away...from here on out, the schedule will work in their favor and they'll start to look better.

Make no mistake, Portimonense have also lost to the top sides away, which makes their record look worse. But what you have here are two sides that are next to each other on the table, and Belenenses' odds have risen and risen up into 4.4 territory. I will wait and see whether sanity returns between now and kickoff in four hours.
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