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Spain/Portugal


Spain/Portugal
Spanish and Portuguese league picks and analysis discussed here. Premier and 1.div.
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Old 18-11-17, 01:06   #1
litost
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Default Primera 18-20/11

8.11. 12:00 Getafe - Deportivo Alaves 1.90 3.60 5.05
18.11. 15:15 Leganes - FC Barcelona 9.75 5.50 1.44
18.11. 17:30 FC Sevilla - Celta de Vigo 1.82 4.20 4.80
18.11. 19:45 Atltico Madrid - Real Madrid 3.44 3.62 2.40
19.11. 11:00 Malaga C.F. - Deportivo La Coruna 2.40 3.44 3.36
19.11. 15:15 Espanyol - CF Valencia 3.35 3.52 2.40
19.11. 17:30 Las Palmas - UD Levante 2.00 3.73 4.45
19.11. 19:45 Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal 2.30 3.45 3.66
20.11. 20:00 Eibar - Betis 2.50 3.50 3.10
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Old 18-11-17, 01:31   #2
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Alaves +.75 1.85 10.5u / (0) 3.7 6u / under ht (1) 1.7 8u / under 2.25 1.82 8u
babazorros uplifted since di biasi arrival mix blame on potentially great squad by bluewhites and undeperform of non european aquinted with coach signed last summer ... this two tied in cup with basques wining first leg at coliseum and tough geta is doing great odds look way too high on guest since a similar scenario si quite likely ... underish one with alaves fielding very tactical midfield and azulones very hard to break ... no sign team news...

Leganes +1.75 1.69 9.99u / (0) 7 5u
mild stakes couse we know cules can beat u in two ...
pepineros this season serious bussiness even if they failed last two outings their games at butarque they showed this season able to show similar performances as 2 seasons back in 2a when they were very solid & sharp at local games... with new signs they now have quality in both ends ... in front cules shining on 2nd gear with highly talks of great coach valverde ... but some day theyll have a scare ... many internationals wich never helps .. suarez still strugglin ... delofeu not blending ... perhaps resting one of their only trusted cbs with 4 yellows ahead of valencia game ? ...


Sevilla -.75 2.1 11u / -2.25 @ 5 5u / over (3) 2.1 9.7u / over (4) 4 7u / over (5) 9 4u
locals with upper hand despite having liverpool game in 3 days fact is andalucians are always very tricky side to play at pizjuan ... last time beaten almost a year ago thanks to ref pushing vechia signora .. and berizzo islikely to improve number scouse they look really serious ..balanced and even if not with overwhelming offensive production like some of his celta had surely wining games and gearing up at those when needed ....
in front celta started really poorly with very soft defending but theyve been improving and look more like a team lately perhaps with unzue ending up ticking right key like similar eusebio did with real - very similar path in careers by both as playesr and coaches -
what standsout for celestes this season is their great atcking players not losing anyone from previous season and signing more flair like maxi - on his way to china - or emre .. lobotka seems as wel to be preferred by this coach ... still they look to me team under construction and quite pasable ..all their games were very open wich vs low confidence sides like las palmas and eibar - situation in those wins help them highly - can work but vs a side like sevilla hard to overplay & solid will likely be paid ...
locals will be very limited in back missing mercado and resting kjaer with togueter with pareja and carrizo out means geis will get the post ..this vs celta atacking always with many and very sharp units wil likely means locasl receive either way ... but unlesss celestes improve their dodgy ways at back locasl will create many situations an dscore as well ... so all in all my lean is with locasl wining this in 2 ways game with goals at both ends...
for locals nzonzi may as well be rested but pizarro looking good lately ...
celta misses emre and roncaglia noone of them starters ...

Last edited by litost; 18-11-17 at 01:39.
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Old 19-11-17, 02:10   #3
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some toughts cheese

1a
1200
Deportivo (0) 2.3 10.2u / over 2.25 1.78 / (-1) @ 6 4u / 2/2 4u / o 3.5 4u
guest looking with better balance under new coach face struggling malaga ... besides michel skills as coach wich may or not be a factor since this type usually hire rated ones like mandia with segunda exp to work their tactics .. i.e they use their ex big pro galons to get hired and use second in command to so all work ....beisdes that host just look a team with many uncertainties in line up relying on suposued rated newcomersto turn things around ..that very often does not work sp when they face a side here with similar group as last year yet improved specially upfront ...locasl will miss the only guy at midfield that seem like knowing what goes on ... and rely on rolin rolon ..fget about it potato patito u name it ... north westeners will likely take adv of blue whites situation




1600
valencia (0) 1.8 10.2u / over 2.25 1.68 7u /
ches high flying & right down to bussiness type of side under marcelino face pericos and their " see what hapens " game plan .... and i know wich side ill be charing for ... both tactiical sides but both with cracking in form forwards taht do not need 2 chances to score so we shal skip the tactic factor and go for goals .. since guest are liking themselves will go for it ... both with almost or full ..squad ... cornella bring good memories to valencians ...

1800
Las Palmas -.25 1.67 11u / 1/1 7u / -1.25 # 3 8u
pio pio struggling bt too much quality on ranks specially going forward one wek to work tactically ... recover infleuntial viera face granotas who are not having best team feelings lately and are decimated by injuries specially at trunk tough still can field a comp 11 ...

2000
villaroyal +.25 2.05 11u / -.25 3.1 9u / (-1) 7 6u / 2/2 5u / (-2) 25 3u / over 2.25 1.85 10u / over (3) 3.1 8u / over (4) 7 4u
hard to understand odds as mighty lions grr look more like a headless chicken rather lately face grogets never easy and looking more offensive under new helm ...guest are bit short at central defense and athletic at hoem will fight whatever circumstances yet yellows front line can be sharp as hell on teh given day and all big guns minus castillejo are available .. host only missing vesga ...




2
1200
numancia -.25 1.65 10.8u / 1/1 6u / -1.25 3.3 7u

1600
Rayo -.75 1.85 10.5u / over 2.75 10.3u / -1.25 2.5 9u / over 3.25 2.4 8u / over (4) 4.2 6u / -2.25 4.5 4u

1800
sevilla at -.25 2.2 11.2u / (-1) 4.25 9u / (-2) 11.5 6u / 1/1 7u / wg 6u / over (2) 1.8 9u / over (3) 3.7 6u
osasuna -.25 1.55 10u / under 2 1.9 7u
2000
granada (0) 1.88 10.5u

cadiz .75 1.75 10.7u / (0) 3.3 6u

II
1200
tudelano (0) 1.9 10u /

1700
burgos -.25 1.8 10.4u / under ht ft 8u
UDL (0) 1.9 11u / over 2 1.88 7u

arenas (0) 3.2 10u

caudal -.25 2.05 10u


IV
1100
lorca -.25 1.9 10u
jumilla (0) 3.2 10u / over 2.25 2.1 9u

san fernando +.25 1.95 10.5u / over 2.25 1.9 7u

melilla -.75 2.1 10.5u / under 1.25 @ 3 6u

1700
ejido -.25 1.6 11.2u / over 2.25 1.95 10u

recreativo -.25 1.82 10u / under 1.25 @ 3.15 6u
Balona -.25 2.05 11.5u / 1/1 4u / -1 5u

badajoz (0) 2.35 10.7u / over 2 1.9 8u

UCAM -.75 2.10 10u /

extremadura -.25 1.8 10.2u // under 1.25 3.5 7u

I
1200
valladolid b (0) 1.95 10.2u / over 2 1.9 9u / o 3.5 4u

Rayo -.75 1.9 10.5u
Rapido +.25 1.9 10u / over 2 1.85 8.5u

1630
fuenlabrada (0) 1.8 10u

ponferradina -.25 2.1 11u / over 2 1.85 9u / o 3.5 5u

atletico B +.75 1.7 10.6u / over 2.25 2.1 8u
talavera -.25 1.8 11u / over 2.25 2.1 8u

Gimnastica +.75 1.9 10u / over 2.25 2.1 8u

Guijuelo -.25 1.95 11u / over 2.25 2.21 8u

III

mallorca d 1.5 10u
formentera -.25 1.8 10.2u

ebro (0) 1.65 10u / under 2 1.92 8u / 0-0 2u

Cornella -1 1.8 10u / O 2.25 1.6 10.3u / o 3.5 6u

llagostera -.75 1.8 10u
Ontinyent -.25 2.05 11.7u / 1/1 6u / -1 6u / over 2 1.9 9u

Last edited by litost; 19-11-17 at 04:44.
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Old 20-11-17, 19:09   #4
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Eibar -.25 2.1 10u / over 2.25 1.7 10.7u / over (3) 2.6 8u / wg 5u / over (4) 5.7 5u / 1/1 4u / 2/1 1u 1/2 1u

highly anticipa...eerrerrereerrrrrrr at ipurua where armeros face green whites in what can be expected a thrillin context probably finishing like one andalucians had merely 50 miles to the east at anoeta ... eibar felt into some dip of form following their great game at NC .. its not nothing new for a mendilibar side to have big lows in form - just like for any other team with tactical freaks at helm like bielsa , sampa and usual suspects - couse their games is based a lot in both belief - yes its a lot like a creed or dosctrine they play under lol he he - and confidence to implement all out display through all 4 corners of pitch unliek other sides like f.i betis that is based a lot on ball possesion but allows a lot of room for players to act ...so indeed eibar has been going through down days but we believe they can always get back and rivals tonight could be ok prey for that as "er beti" under setien looks great a times but just like most of his previous teams feel not so at easy away from home and they balance often is not the best asset they have meaning often leave holes wich rivals use at ease ... mendi and other players talk about not changing a thing about their offensive daring some players recovering means they shall leave the 3 CBs picture and use their last year success 442 wich has more players atacking through flanks ...
visitors miss fedal and may start with leon and boudabouf ..
fifa break may be used by host to bounce back vs a rival that has not good numbers at this pitch last 30 years ... probably goals safer than picking winner ..

Last edited by litost; 20-11-17 at 19:12.
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Old 20-11-17, 23:10   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by litost View Post
Eibar -.25 2.1 10u / over 2.25 1.7 10.7u / over (3) 2.6 8u / wg 5u / over (4) 5.7 5u / 1/1 4u / 2/1 1u 1/2 1u

highly anticipa...eerrerrereerrrrrrr at ipurua where armeros face green whites in what can be expected a thrillin context probably finishing like one andalucians had merely 50 miles to the east at anoeta ... eibar felt into some dip of form following their great game at NC .. its not nothing new for a mendilibar side to have big lows in form - just like for any other team with tactical freaks at helm like bielsa , sampa and usual suspects - couse their games is based a lot in both belief - yes its a lot like a creed or dosctrine they play under lol he he - and confidence to implement all out display through all 4 corners of pitch unliek other sides like f.i betis that is based a lot on ball possesion but allows a lot of room for players to act ...so indeed eibar has been going through down days but we believe they can always get back and rivals tonight could be ok prey for that as "er beti" under setien looks great a times but just like most of his previous teams feel not so at easy away from home and they balance often is not the best asset they have meaning often leave holes wich rivals use at ease ... mendi and other players talk about not changing a thing about their offensive daring some players recovering means they shall leave the 3 CBs picture and use their last year success 442 wich has more players atacking through flanks ...
visitors miss fedal and may start with leon and boudabouf ..
fifa break may be used by host to bounce back vs a rival that has not good numbers at this pitch last 30 years ... probably goals safer than picking winner ..
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Old 20-11-17, 23:44   #6
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thx ..thx ..cheese ....thx .. BIIIIIIIIIPPPPPPP BUPPP ...bleeeeeeeeeee ( litost blows his own vuvuzela ( u wish!! ) as he walks thru the red carpet towards a private room full of devoted horny hot chicks waiting for our semental hero to pull out another prick !! :0 ... 8)

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Old 20-11-17, 23:46   #7
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ha ha he lol ...

not sure it was so great ... a 4-2 would have been more accurate prediction ...

i ended with bad feeling as well ... covered 4-0 4-1 4-2 apart from above lines ..but funds tied did not let me make huger profit backing 5-0 and so on ... :/ sheet hapens
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