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Old 26-04-18, 10:20   #1
Raffie
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Default PLK PlayOffs 2018

My statistic in Forum BettingAdvice from PLK in this season - 32 winnigs, 17 losers. Stake played: 245 units. Profit: +67.60

26/04/2018 20:00 CET
Anwil Wloclawek (-11.5) - Turow Zgorzelec
1.90 (Pinnacle)
5/10

http://forum.bettingadvice.com/showthread.php?t=109075 - in this topic I took Anwil -13.5 in RS with Turow. Today we have 11.5. Is value. In RS this game end with 98:74 result. Anwil with 1 seed, Turow 8 seed. Turow is only strong in home, on away with only 5-11 balance, Anwil in home with 13-3. I see Anwil +15 or more, more.
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Old 28-04-18, 10:15   #2
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Raffie View Post
26/04/2018 20:00 CET
Anwil Wloclawek (-11.5) - Turow Zgorzelec
1.90 (Pinnacle)
5/10
86:76 for Anwil.

28/04/2018 20:15 CET
Anwil Wloclawek (-11.5) - Turow Zgorzelec
1.93 (Pinnacle)
5/10

In first game we have result 86:76 for Anwil. Turow in this game have good shooting day with 9/22 (40%) for three. Anwil still without problem lead all game and control match. Anwil with long rotation, strong defence. I think that time Anwil win this game by +15 or more.
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Old 01-05-18, 14:02   #3
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Originally Posted by Raffie View Post
28/04/2018 20:15 CET
Anwil Wloclawek (-11.5) - Turow Zgorzelec
1.93 (Pinnacle)
5/10
86:72 won Anwil.

01/05/2018 20:00 CET
Turow Zgorzelec (+5.5) - Anwil Wloclawek
1.94 (Pinnacle)
5/10

Turow is very strong in home with balance 13-3. In last game regular season play in home with Stelmet and Rosa - both games Turow win. In this series Anwil almost lead in home +10-15 points only on away Turow is 5-11 balance. In home is more better team and I see today tie game. Anwil is little favourite but line is too high.
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Old 11-05-18, 15:54   #4
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01/05/2018 20:00 CET
Turow Zgorzelec (+5.5) - Anwil Wloclawek
1.94 (Pinnacle)
5/10
72:93 for Anwil.

11/05/2018 17:45 CET
Anwil Wloclawek (-5) - Stelmet Zielona Gora
1.93 (Pinnacle)
5/10

In Polish league in every minute must play 2 Polish players in court. In last game injured is Mokros. He is out from today game. Kelati is out. Now is only 4 Polish players in rotation Stelmet - 34-year-old Koszarek, 34-year-old Hrycaniuk, 32-year-old Zamojski and Matczak. Hrycaniuk and Zamojski in many last games play badly basketball. Koszarek is too old for intensity in more minutes. Is huge problem. Anwil is great in home and in series with Turow.
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Old 16-05-18, 12:08   #5
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11/05/2018 17:45 CET
Anwil Wloclawek (-5) - Stelmet Zielona Gora
1.93 (Pinnacle)
5/10
98:84 for Anwil.

16/05/2018 17:45 CET
Stelmet Zielona Gora - Anwil Wloclawek over 164.5
1.91 (Pinnacle)
5/10

PO series. In two games in Wloclawek we have results 98:84 and 74:90. Stelmet in home have games with more points. Probably we have today game on scoring 170 points.

Both teams is for me best in Poland and with very quality offence. Always best offence win with great defence.
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Old 21-05-18, 13:03   #6
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98:84 for Anwil.

16/05/2018 17:45 CET
Stelmet Zielona Gora - Anwil Wloclawek over 164.5
1.91 (Pinnacle)
5/10
107:104=211 in OT, 90:90=180 in regular time.

21/05/2018 17:45 CET
Anwil Wloclawek - Stelmet Zielona Gora under 167
1.90 (Pinnacle)
5/10

98:84 (182) and 74:90 (164) these are results in Wloclawek, which totaled 346 points. In Zielona Góra we had 107:104 (211) after extra time (before extra time: 90:90=180) and 87:88 (175). Which gives 375 points in regular time.

In G3, I played over in points and wrote about higher scores in Zielona Gora. Today in W***322;oc***322;awek we have G5 - the final match. Recent meetings in the series are usually a lot of pressure, which limits the players and these matches are not the most effective. We already had shows in G4, where there was a lot of nerves and fights. Almeida after G4 immediately said that the most important will be defense and fight. I expect this today and I think it will be the match with the lowest score in the series.
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Old 21-05-18, 15:14   #7
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Hi Raffie,

I've seen last quarter of G4, and sincerely I'm very surprised that Zielona had lost the match, but they've showed IMO more class and eye-of-tiger to gain the victory compared to AW.
So all in all, my bets will be: Zielona win, Zielona stay in Hand(+3,5), Zielona over82,5.
My idea is 86-94 as final result.
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Old 26-05-18, 10:27   #8
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Originally Posted by Raffie View Post
21/05/2018 17:45 CET
Anwil Wloclawek - Stelmet Zielona Gora under 167
1.90 (Pinnacle)
5/10
85:83=168 and 4Q with result 38:18. Very unsuccessful bet.

26/05/2018 17:45
Anwil Wloclawek - Stal Ostrow over 154
1.93 (Pinnacle)
5/10

In G1 we have terrible shooting game by both teams. Anwil with 26/65 FG and 8/16 FT (50%!) and Stal with 21/65 FG and 13/22 FT (59%!). Is terrible shooting from normal shoots and free throws. We have many games Anwil and Stal in this PO and many games with high scoring. Anwil in series with Stelmet not have game with scoring low than 160 points. Stal in games with Polski Cukier have - G1 - 158 points, G2 - 163 points, G3 - 162 points, G4 - 170 points.

I predict today better offensive day. Anwil in G1 play with great rotation. Most players take 20-25 minutes. I think coach Milicic today take many up-tempo plays and fast pace for kill on intensity old team from Ostrow.
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Old 29-05-18, 15:09   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Raffie View Post
26/05/2018 17:45
Anwil Wloclawek - Stal Ostrow over 154
1.93 (Pinnacle)
5/10
29/05/2018 20:05 CET
Polski Cukier Torun - Stelmet Zielona Gora over 172
1.89 (Pinnacle)
5/10

Second game for 3rd place in league. In first game we have result 95:117 for Polski Cukier. Is 212 points. Now Stelmet need +23 win for take 3rd place. Coach Stelmet - Andrej Urlep resigned from coaching Stelmet. For today game head coach team is assistant - Andrzej Adamek. In one day he not change tactic or motivation old players from Stelmet.

Is last game in season for both teams. Some teams build rosters for new season. In today game players think about healthy and need that health for new season, new contract, new money. I don't see today strong defence. I think is another chance for 180-190 points game.
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Old 29-05-18, 22:44   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Raffie View Post
29/05/2018 20:05 CET
Polski Cukier Torun - Stelmet Zielona Gora over 172
1.89 (Pinnacle)
5/10
83:87=170. OK, time for take money back.

30/05/2018 20:30 CET
Stal Ostrow - Anwil Wloclawek under 158.5
1.90 (Pinnacle)
5/10

We have three games in this series - 62:61 (133), 77:83 (160), 80:82 (162). In G3 we have 162 points and good shooting for 3 - 13/30 Stal, 7/20 for Anwil. Both teams made crazy three shots (in Stal Ochonko from very long distance, in Anwil - Zyskowski).

We see in good shooting is still low results. Is very low pace in this games. Is small time for rest and teams no have condition for many runs. Before G3 and G4 is only two days. Stal with high stress. They need win a game or have very low chance for championship.

In Anwil I see more minutes for Quinton Hosley. He play great in defence but with high problem in attack with shoots from distance and free throws.

Is for me popular "fight game" with low result, high stress and better defence than attack.
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