Italy Serie A 16-17 December 2017

[Junk Yard Dog]

[petomavar]

Good odds on solid Torino, Napoli in big problems last round with Fiorentina and not in best moment. Insigne probably out. Other matches, I don't trust Inter, they have too many points, Juve will probably pass Bologna but not sure about handicap. Small stake on Crotone and Benevento, they should be favorites in home ground.

[Junk Yard Dog]

Serie A has officially given Ciro Immobile a one-match ban for his headbutt during Lazio's 3-1 defeat to Torino on monday 11th december. The leading goal scorer will now miss Lazio's next Serie A game against Atalanta on Sunday Night Game.

[bangelov]

How will Lazio perform without Ciro Immobile? 15 goals and 6 assists in the Serie A so far, making him somehow responsible for over 50% of all goals of Lazio - 36. Caicedo scored the winning goal in Genoa (vs Samp) two weeks ago but I'm not quite sure about his ability... Maybe Atalanta Asian Handicap 0 (DNB) ?

Also, I think that Milan will have a difficult game in Verona so the odds on "Under 3 Goals" look fine to me - 1.75 @ BetVictor. Milan won 3-0 for the Coppa Italia just a few days ago but I'm pretty sure Verona's main priority is the Calcio.

[Junk Yard Dog]

Sampdoria-0.5 @ 2.00 looks good Imho.

The "Blucerchiati" have lost some momentum lately, but attack is in lethal form since the start of the season with Fabio Quagliarella (9 goals) and Duvan Zapata (6 goals). On the other hand, Sassuolo hold one of the worst defensive records in Serie A in away games.

[Versace]

How will Lazio perform without Ciro Immobile? 15 goals and 6 assists in the Serie A so far, making him somehow responsible for over 50% of all goals of Lazio - 36. Caicedo scored the winning goal in Genoa (vs Samp) two weeks ago but I'm not quite sure about his ability... Maybe Atalanta Asian Handicap 0 (DNB) ?

Also, I think that Milan will have a difficult game in Verona so the odds on "Under 3 Goals" look fine to me - 1.75 @ BetVictor. Milan won 3-0 for the Coppa Italia just a few days ago but I'm pretty sure Verona's main priority is the Calcio.

Mate, how do you think about Sampdoria win @ 1.97 ?
it's too delicious and make me wonder ...
Samp play very well at home, they even scored more than Napoli and Roma. While,Sassuolo version Cristian Bucchi is far away when compare with Di Francesco era.
A bookie trap .... ???

[bangelov]

They are way better on paper but I don't trust them somehow. Just look at their latest Serie A results - a 3:0 loss in BOlogna, leading 0:2 and then 2:2 in Cagliari last round and the comeback vs Lazio. Of course, two of these games were on the road but I wouldn't bet on Sampdoria in this situation and I won't be surprised if that's a trap, as you mentioned.

[petarz]

Personally, I don't understand odds movement on Sampdoria - Sassuolo (home win was 1.65 and now is about 2). My model predict comfort win for Sampa, they are not that bad when you consider everything.

[sc28]

They are way better on paper but I don't trust them somehow.

I don't trust Sampdoria either.

[Prija]

Mate, how do you think about Sampdoria win @ 1.97 ?
it's too delicious and make me wonder ...
Samp play very well at home, they even scored more than Napoli and Roma. While,Sassuolo version Cristian Bucchi is far away when compare with Di Francesco era.
A bookie trap .... ???

Bucchi has been sacked two weeks ago, it's Iacchini in charge now. Agree it's a bit strange to see odds this high on Samp (and going up) basing on what we've seen so far. I would assume market expects Sasso to improve gradually after changing coach, same as Udinese and Cagliari did. Odds on over 2.75 look appealing too Sasso being good on counters and Samp always playing attacking football.

[Macot]

We will see the managerial change at Milan now... 0-3 at Verona must be the last straw... I mean if they brought Gattuso for that then they better forget about any sginificant success

[Prija]

We will see the managerial change at Milan now... 0-3 at Verona must be the last straw... I mean if they brought Gattuso for that then they better forget about any sginificant success

Gattuso is surely no Mourinho or Pep, but hard to blame him for all the mess he inherited. The club made so many mistakes last summer, they will need a lot of time to make things right.

[Carovie]

and at the end, bangelov and sc28 had right and Sampdoria is not a trustable team right now, they are in a horrible moment and it was a bookie trap. Silly of me I really thought that they were going to win today and it was a great odd, what a disaster

[petarz]

You know what amazes me still to this day? How it is that no one gives a sh*t about matches like Sampdoria - Sassuolo for years. I watched the game and it is shameful how Sampdoria players played this match. All of the second half, defenders was trying with long balls and giving ball to sassuolo. And when you look at their head to head, you can find HT FT 2/1 between them, and odds for this match speaks for themselves. Should one today only bet on matches from Premier League and expect that there is no fixing involved or what?

[bangelov]

They are way better on paper but I don't trust them somehow. Just look at their latest Serie A results - a 3:0 loss in BOlogna, leading 0:2 and then 2:2 in Cagliari last round and the comeback vs Lazio. Of course, two of these games were on the road but I wouldn't bet on Sampdoria in this situation and I won't be surprised if that's a trap, as you mentioned.

It's pretty naive to trust a Genoese club (either Sampdoria or Genoa) nowadays. I personally had a few disappointments betting on both clubs through the years and in my opinion it's more reliable to bet on Sampdoria in the "big games", or when they're not in a position of being an underdog. Everything was going good for them and I decided to trust them when they played vs Bologna couple of weeks ago, but after their performance and lack of any determination in that game... no thanks.