Not much time, so just some lines.
Lets give it another try. If bad run continues, I will end "BA spring season" while still in clear profit
Duisburg - Regensburg (Germany, 2.Bundesliga; Sun, 29.04.18, 13:30)
Big relief at Duisburg after the 3:1 win at Aue last week, but they still need some points to be absolutely sure to stay in the league. Defense was extremely unreliable after winterbreak (+ regular gk Flekken probably out for this game) and I guess it will get tested seriously again today when facing one of the top5 attacks of 2.BL. Unbelievable that Regensburg is still in a position to play for promotion to 1.BL. The team got 12 defeats! Twelve!!! Obviously they have to go for the win here, so I expect them to score while the leaky defense w/o suspended Knoll (cdf), injured Nachreiner (cdf) and Pentke (gk) should be prone to concede. - Duisburg 10x over 2,5 in last 12 rounds (7x over 3,5). Regensburg 7x over 2,5 in last 8 rounds (4x over 3,5).
Over 3,0 @2,05 sbo (4/10)
Fürstenwalde - Meuselwitz (Germany, RL Northeast; Sun, 29.04.18, 13:30)
Both almost safe (3 or 4 teams will relegate in RL NE this season). Fürstenwalde is in rather poor form, losing 4 of last 5 games. Almost all of their wins were achieved vs opponents from lower table third and they won only 3 of last 16 rounds. - Meuselwitz plays a very decent spring season. They are hard to beat (lost only once in last 9) and even won vs Cottbus + BFC. +0,25 odds valuable imo.
Meuselwitz +0,25 @2,05 sbo (3/10)
Erfurt - Bremen II (Germany, 3.Liga; Sun, 29.04.18, 14:00)
Don't know why total is only 2,5 with quite high odds here. Sure, both had long streaks of painful unefficiency and Erfurt did not score in last 4 games, but on the other hand both concede like crazy: Erfurt ate 27 goals in last 8 games (15 in last 3 homegames! lol...); Werder II actually scoring regularly in last weeks, but still concede 2+ goals in almost every game. They are both already relegated. There is no need to fight too hard in defense. Erfurt might want to show sth in front of fans and Bremen youngsters should have some motivation anyways (playing for their future in pro football). Ofc it could end up with some boring "summer football", but I think it's worth a try at these odds.
Over 2,5 @2,06 pin (3/10)
Lets give it another try. If bad run continues, I will end "BA spring season" while still in clear profit
Duisburg - Regensburg (Germany, 2.Bundesliga; Sun, 29.04.18, 13:30)
Big relief at Duisburg after the 3:1 win at Aue last week, but they still need some points to be absolutely sure to stay in the league. Defense was extremely unreliable after winterbreak (+ regular gk Flekken probably out for this game) and I guess it will get tested seriously again today when facing one of the top5 attacks of 2.BL. Unbelievable that Regensburg is still in a position to play for promotion to 1.BL. The team got 12 defeats! Twelve!!! Obviously they have to go for the win here, so I expect them to score while the leaky defense w/o suspended Knoll (cdf), injured Nachreiner (cdf) and Pentke (gk) should be prone to concede. - Duisburg 10x over 2,5 in last 12 rounds (7x over 3,5). Regensburg 7x over 2,5 in last 8 rounds (4x over 3,5).
Over 3,0 @2,05 sbo (4/10)
Fürstenwalde - Meuselwitz (Germany, RL Northeast; Sun, 29.04.18, 13:30)
Both almost safe (3 or 4 teams will relegate in RL NE this season). Fürstenwalde is in rather poor form, losing 4 of last 5 games. Almost all of their wins were achieved vs opponents from lower table third and they won only 3 of last 16 rounds. - Meuselwitz plays a very decent spring season. They are hard to beat (lost only once in last 9) and even won vs Cottbus + BFC. +0,25 odds valuable imo.
Meuselwitz +0,25 @2,05 sbo (3/10)
Erfurt - Bremen II (Germany, 3.Liga; Sun, 29.04.18, 14:00)
Don't know why total is only 2,5 with quite high odds here. Sure, both had long streaks of painful unefficiency and Erfurt did not score in last 4 games, but on the other hand both concede like crazy: Erfurt ate 27 goals in last 8 games (15 in last 3 homegames! lol...); Werder II actually scoring regularly in last weeks, but still concede 2+ goals in almost every game. They are both already relegated. There is no need to fight too hard in defense. Erfurt might want to show sth in front of fans and Bremen youngsters should have some motivation anyways (playing for their future in pro football). Ofc it could end up with some boring "summer football", but I think it's worth a try at these odds.
Over 2,5 @2,06 pin (3/10)
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