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Old 18-01-18, 21:49   #1
Mindozas
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Default POD 19/01/2018

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Old 18-01-18, 21:51   #2
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Pick#8 4w/2v/1l +527

Football, Qatar Stars League

Al Arabi - Al Duhail

Pick: over4.5
Odds: 2.70
Bookie: Unibet

Well, this looks like another highscoring affair with Al Duhail involved. After winterbreak they continued their crazy scoring run and in previous game netted 6 behind Qatar SC defense. Now they seems to be simply unstoppable. Msakni and El-Arabi are scoring at will, Nam Tae Hee creativity is on highest level. I just have no idea how Al Arabi could handle this attacking hurricane. Overall, this season they were poor defensivelly, moreover lately two important defenders left, club already found replacements, but if that Croatian newbie might be fine in the future, then other local guy doesn't look promising at all. Also before the break Arabi made changes in coaching position, hoped some improvememnt at defense, but actually this new coach never was really known as good defensive specialist, I mean from his previous stints in QSL. Vice versa, his teams weren't shy of playin' offensive football even when bein' outsiders, were scoring, but also were conceding a lot. Even before this game he wants a 3pts... Wishful thinking, but well, that's only for the better if to expect goals. Even if Al Arabi aren't great at offense, lacks some class there, but Duhail very rarely leaves the pitch without conceding a goal or atleast letting opposition to create some decent chances to score. Their main class and focus is on offense and whole philosophy is - score against us as much as you want - we will still score more. And that works.
All in all, it's really hard to expect lowscoring matches with current Al Duhail. Bein' in such scoring shape, they can easily net 4-5 goals on their own and can easily concede couple too. Al Arabi surely isn't the team, which could turn the game vs Duhail into their wanted style/direction. So I expect open football and goals to come too. GL
0-1 pick lost

Last edited by Macot; 19-01-18 at 18:37.
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Old 19-01-18, 00:03   #3
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Pick 7 5W/1L +733
Volleyball Poland Plusliga
Espandon - Czarni
Pick: 2
Odds: 2.25
Bwin

Espandon started this season surprisingly well but from several weeks they move down in the table - 6 defeats in last 8 matches.
On the contrary Czarni - due to few injuries - started season really bad but finally they squad is almost complete. Potential is better in Czarni and with almost full squad their chances here are higher than odd. I hope that long journey won't complicate them task.
2-3 pick won

Last edited by Macot; 20-01-18 at 18:15.
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Old 19-01-18, 06:19   #4
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#6 2-0-4 -42

Tennis. Hammamet 2 ITF, quarterfinal, clay:
Zmau Michele Alexandra - Kostic Natalija
Kostic Natalija 3,00@bet365

Singles ranking.
487. Singles ranking
636. Zmau Michele Alexandra

Kostic Natalija 199/105 total on clay, 25/16 in 2017 and 3/1 this year.
Zmau Michele Alexandra 57/35 total on clay, 23/7 in 2017 and 2/0 this year.

Both played each other against on clay two year ago at Hammamet 18 ITF and Kostic Natalija won 2:0 in sets 6:3 6:1 easily.


Odds represent value so I hope for another Kostic win here even not to be so easy.
2-0 pick lost

Last edited by Macot; 20-01-18 at 18:27.
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Old 19-01-18, 06:47   #5
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Pick 4/ 1-0-1 (plus one pending)/ +80

Australian NBL

Perth Wildcats vs Sydney Kings

Perth are sitting at the top of the ladder on points difference, ahead of Melbourne and New Zealand, all three with the same percentage.

Sydney are cellar dwellers and have been sitting there for a very long time.

These two teams met twice this season, the Wildcats winning both times, home and away, at comfortable differences, 93-69 and 76-68 respectively.

Perth are coming into this match after a tight loss at home to Melbourne, 80-82, and a buzzer beater win away to Brisbane, 81-80.

The Kings are struggling this season, and are coming into this match after three consecutive home defeats.

After two consecutive home losses, to Brisbane and Melbourne, and showing the fighting spirit that allowed them to win in Brisbane last week, the Wildcats are expected to bounce back and get a comfortable win tonight against the league strugglers.

Bet: Wildcats -12 @2.12 Pinnacle
77-84 pick lost

Last edited by Macot; 19-01-18 at 18:39.
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Old 19-01-18, 09:20   #6
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Pick # 5

aaaz 0/0/4 -400

Graafschap - Jong PSV


Pick : X2
Odds : 2.5
Sportingbet

Graafschap meet at home Jong PSV in game from Holland Jupiler League.
Graafschap is a weaker than opponents as standings and 7 - 8 - 5 so far of the season, while Jong PSV is a team with 9 - 4 - 7 so far of the season records.
One bet for this clash to see a win or draw on the road team.
Home team is a big favorite here but for me is a better for the win on the road team more and value is a good.
The visitors coming for this home clash after one draw and three defeats in the last games.
2-3 pick won

Last edited by Macot; 20-01-18 at 18:27.
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Old 19-01-18, 09:51   #7
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Pick 1
Charleroi - Mouscron
X2 @ Odds 2.38/ sportingbet


Football, Belgium. The match here is good for pick on Mouscron to win over Charleroi this visit or draw too. Mouscron is the team outsider for the match here for Jupiler Pro League and the team is middle placed now - the team is with 2 wins one draw and 2 losses in the last 5 games as form. On the other hand the favorite is team on 2nd place and the team with 2 wins 2 draws and one loss in the last games Charleroi. Sure is the form on hosts goes down and this was expecting today the team can loss again points.

Good luck,
AL
2-0 pick lost

Last edited by Macot; 20-01-18 at 18:28.
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Old 19-01-18, 15:15   #8
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Pick #2 (-100)
EC Handball
Germany - Czech Republic
Pick:under 54.5
Odds: 1.85 @Will Hill


I'm surprised with the lines for totals for this match. The Czech Republic plays different than usually, much quicker handball and the result have come. After the bad start against Spain when they lost 32:15 and seemed to be the weakest team in the EC, they surprised Denmark and beat Hungary to book a place in the second round with 2 points. They combined 61 goals in the matches they won and it's big surprise for me. Zdrahala is one of the best players so far in Croatia and he's their main force in attack. However, the Czechs won't have a chance to repeat that good play in attack against the strong Germans. Macedonia has more ideas in attack than Czech Republic, Slovenia too, and both teams scored 25 goals against Germany.

Germany added Lemke in defense and he had many good starts against Kire Lazarov, Stoilov and the others. Germany has one of the stronegest defences, they cover the ground well and have 2 good goalkeepers. In attack they are nothing special because scored 25 in each match - against Macedonia and Slovenia.

I'm pretty sure that the defense will play the main role here! I don't believe that Czech Republic will score 25 or more goals, while Germany won't go over 30. I expect another match with the Germans with around 50-51 goals.
22-19 pick won

Last edited by Macot; 20-01-18 at 18:29.
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Old 19-01-18, 15:21   #9
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Pick #3 Lost 2 -200
Soccer - Finland Suomen Cup
Game - Inter Turku vs. Ekenas
Pick: Inter Turku(-3.5)AH
Odds: 2.75
Bookie: Bet365

Ekenas is playing its football in the second league level in Finland for a couple of seasons in a row right now, but they are not really one of the top teams there and last season they were relieved to be safe from relegation because their away record was one of the worst in the league reading 3-3-8 in the end with no less than 30 goals conceded and just 14 goals scored at the same time.
Inter Turku is a well established first league team in Finland, some may remember them for the fact that they defeated Twente in a double leg affair in the Europa League competition some years ago. This team is said to have some of the best Finnish players in the league, and last season I believed they hosted the same Ekenas side in a League Cup competition game and won it with 5-0 in the end.
The hosts are really attacking minded while the guests are known to be conceding quite a couple of goals when it comes to them playing against better sides away from home, so I believe it is a safe choice here to be betting on Inter Turku to win this game by at least 4 goals difference.
3-0 pick lost

Last edited by Macot; 20-01-18 at 18:29.
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Old 19-01-18, 16:19   #10
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Pick #1

League: ATP AO
Match: Berdych - Del Potro
Pick: Del Potro
Bookmaker: Pinnacle
Odds: @1,79


For my first pick this month I am going with Australian Open 3rd round match beetween Berdych and Del Potro. It should be an interesting match and it is maybe the strongest matchup in 3rd round.
Del Potro is for me clearly a better player. But with many struggles with injuries he stayed at just 1 won Grand Slam. Berdych came close a couple of times but nothing.
Both players have great serve and forehand , we can even say they have a simmilar style of play.
Berdych is in one of the biggest downfalls of his career , he is just 20th on ATP list (he was for a long time top10). Since october he played only in Doha and lost 1st round match vs Struff. Here he lost sets to both De Minaur and Garcia Lopez.. So he is really in a bad form I would say.
Delpo on the other side is number 10 on ATP , after a long time he is top10. He played Auckland before AO and lost the finals against Bautista. A good result! Here he won 3-0 against Tiafoe , and then lost a set to Khachanov. But Karen is a top50 player and he is in solid form so that is not a big surprise.

I really don't understand the bookmakers and the way they underestimate Delpo. He is a clear favourite here IMHO.
3-0 pick lost

Last edited by Macot; 20-01-18 at 18:30.
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Old 19-01-18, 16:56   #11
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Default SLOVENIA - DENMARK

PICK #3 (1-0-1) +80
HANDBALL: SLOVENIA - DENMARK
PICK: SLOVENIA +2,5
ODDS: 2,2 - BET365

Slovenia finished group stage with 1 win, 1 loss and 1 draw. We shoud win against Macedonia, we have 2 attacks in last minute and we coudnt finish, win atsecond game against Germany was stolen from as, against Montenegro we won +9.
Coach Vujovic knows have to prepare players, we are onfire, we want to profe we can reach semifinal, but we must win all 3 games.
Denmark lost to Chech, win Spain and Hungary. They show weaknes in Chech game.
Its time to win against Denmark, we have good team spirit, good coach and skyhigh motivation in this tournament. We are 3rd best team in the last WC...

Slovenia to win, safer option +2,5 for POD.
28-31 pick lost

Last edited by Macot; 20-01-18 at 18:31.
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Old 19-01-18, 17:12   #12
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Pick 4 -108:/

Washington Capitals- Montreal C.
Choice: 1(-0.5 AH), 2.07 in Pinnacle

Montreal will miss 4 players (Hemsky, Weber, Danault and A. Shaw) while hosts have all players available.
Montreal have the worst season from many years and they are playing badly also on the road (only fifteen points and 5 defeats in a row).
Washington have 60 points what is one of the best score in whole league, this team is one of 4-5 the best teams in NHL in last 3-4 seasons.
Washington are traditionally play very well at home and have good history of last games (4 wins in a row but one before a season).
Washington won last home games with Montreal 6:1 and i expect another home win.
Montreal have small chances for the playoffs and have gatherd 18 points less than Washtington Capitals.
2-3 pick lost

Last edited by Macot; 20-01-18 at 18:31.
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Old 19-01-18, 17:32   #13
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Pick 5 2w,2 lost

Getafe- AThletic
Pick , draw, 3.2 Interwetten

We have here two balanced teams, Getafe have 26 points and Athletic have only 1 point less. I have to add that Athletic have bigger experience (EL games, team from San Mames advanced to KO stage) while Getafe are a newcomer
Getafe had a big ratio of draws in Segunda div. (7/21) and have now only 1 draw in ten games. They have a stellar defence in front of home fans (0 goals allowed in 4 games) but Athletic may score.
Athletic won last 3 games at Getafe and lost 0 in last 7 mutual games. Athletic are also on the uptrend and have not lost any of last 8 games, moreover they conceded only 1 goal in last 4 games.
Atlhletic struggled away from home and i doubt they will be able to win again in Getafe.
2-2 pick won

Last edited by Macot; 20-01-18 at 18:31.
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Old 19-01-18, 18:44   #14
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Default #1

NBA Basketball

Miami @ Brooklyn


Pick: Heat -3.5 @2.08 Pinnacle


Nets are one of the proofs how Heat can lose vs low table sides, though on the other hand they can win (even) double games vs Celtics or away @Raptors..

Quality and present form are evidently on guests side and there's the revenge factor which should play an additional role in their motivation which is at a high level already.

Lead by the last week's player of the week, our Dragic, they are doing really well lately and climbed 4th position in the East and are 1 win close to 3rd Cavs.

Having watched them @Pacers a week ago where they only had 8 players but 7 of them finished in DD, they showed a quality performance which showed they're able to reach far this season.

7/10
95-101 pick lost
__________________
GL

Last edited by Macot; 20-01-18 at 18:32.
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