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Old 05-07-17, 20:17   #31
adryan87
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You are the man Quill. But i'm stupid and i bet on Kvitova. I really don't understand how she lost this game with brengle.
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Old 05-07-17, 21:25   #32
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I take Stakhovsky +6.5 . he play really well but on the 3rd set (6-1lose) kill the bet..
Bad luck
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Old 06-07-17, 09:04   #33
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Any thoughts today?Quill?
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Old 06-07-17, 09:35   #34
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I really trust in Mannarino today. He was quite convincing against Lopez. And his records are not worse than Sugita's.
Any opinions?
Where is Serpico with his useful insights by the way?
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Old 06-07-17, 09:36   #35
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For today :
Ramos win, grass is slower comparing with Halle and it s about experience diference between these two .Also Ramos had less time spent on the court wich means more stamina, veey importnat for 3/5.

Sock vs Ofner over 32.5

Dimitrov over 34.5, Baghdatis to win a set

Del Potro 3-0

Djojovic -8.5 games
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Old 06-07-17, 09:40   #36
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Girls :

Diyas -4.5 games

Radwanska win,

Allerrtova +5,5 gamez

Pliskova over 20.5 games
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Old 06-07-17, 10:09   #37
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My winners for tonight, using them in various multiples:

Dimitrov, Djokovic 3-0, A Zverev, Berdych, Federer, Sock.

Bets:

Kukushkin +6.5 @1.80
Djokovic under 27.5 @1.90
Ramos -1.5 @1.81
Fed -8.5 @1.81
Fed Under 28.5 @1.83
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Old 06-07-17, 10:18   #38
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Quill View Post
My winners for tonight, using them in various multiples:

Dimitrov, Djokovic 3-0, A Zverev, Berdych, Federer, Sock.

Bets:

Kukushkin +6.5 @1.80
Djokovic under 27.5 @1.90
Ramos -1.5 @1.81
Fed -8.5 @1.81
Fed Under 28.5 @1.83
Mate, what do you think about Ferrer today? He was good in first round and Darcis should be easier opponent. Still, Ferrer isnt that good on grass so i am not conviced.
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Old 06-07-17, 11:52   #39
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I do not trust Ramos on grass. I will try Rublev to win. Good luck!
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Old 06-07-17, 17:17   #40
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OK..or i'm stupid or i have a bad luck. I lost with stupid kristina pliskova..now with her sister..yesterday with kvitova. Retards women..
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Old 06-07-17, 18:40   #41
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ellas98 View Post
I do not trust Ramos on grass. I will try Rublev to win. Good luck!
What a idiot Ramos!
2:6 -> 8:6 in tiebreak, even with his serve he lost both points.
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Old 06-07-17, 21:31   #42
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I HATE Federer.
He always ruins my bets.

Anyway he played so poor... he will be out in next 2 round I will bet against him for sure. Just give him some good oponnent
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Old 06-07-17, 23:12   #43
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ricoo View Post
I HATE Federer.
He always ruins my bets.

Anyway he played so poor... he will be out in next 2 round I will bet against him for sure. Just give him some good oponnent

What the hell happen in 1st?
Why 7-6? He not play at the first
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Old 07-07-17, 06:22   #44
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Bedene vs Muller

Three weeks ago in Hertogenbosch Muller won in 3 sets.

In the first round here, Bedene defeated Karlovic (similar serve and style as Muller) in 5 sets, all tie-breakers, in which they didn't break each other's serve.

Muller's last match was a very long one, as it took him 3 hrs 40 min to overcome Rosol in a 5-setter, whereas Bedene dispatched Dzumhur 3-1 in 2 hrs 10 min.

While Bedene took a break after Hertogenbosch, Muller kept playing and reached the semifinals at Queens.

This match looks to be a long one, and I see Bedene with a chance in it.

Bet 1: Bedene +4.5 @1.94
Bet 2: Bedene win @3.37
Bet 3: Over 39.5 games @1.83

Johnson vs Cilic

Cilic should go a long way into this tournament, he's been in great form.

Bet: Cilic -5.5 @1.84
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Old 07-07-17, 07:27   #45
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ricoo View Post
I HATE Federer.
He always ruins my bets.

Anyway he played so poor... he will be out in next 2 round I will bet against him for sure. Just give him some good oponnent
I would be careful with him. He made a lot of mistakes in the first set. I expect him to improve in the next rounds.
Besides, he is like Messi. I just enjoy watching him play. It is a blessing/pleausure/joy, imo.
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Old 07-07-17, 07:58   #46
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Fognini beat Murray in Rome and he will have that as momentum. Although on grass, this is best of 5, so I think that Fog can find it in him to win a set.

I think that over 29.5 games is ridiculously low, as that can be covered in 3 normal sets.

In the Tsonga vs Querrey match I'm going overs (I think 43.5 games), as Querrey did fire a huge amount of aces (more than 40) in his two matches so far, so even if he loses, I think he can make this one longer.

Other fancies for me are Anderson 3-0 and Nadal 3-0.
Haven't had the chance to look at them in detail, but I will take them in a double, one of them to win ML and the other 3-0.
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Old 07-07-17, 13:25   #47
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Svitolina + Halep + Nadal + Anderson

Svitolina + Halep + Nadal + Murray

Each multiple comes at around 2.00.
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Old 07-07-17, 15:25   #48
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Quill View Post
Bedene vs Muller

Three weeks ago in Hertogenbosch Muller won in 3 sets.

In the first round here, Bedene defeated Karlovic (similar serve and style as Muller) in 5 sets, all tie-breakers, in which they didn't break each other's serve.

Muller's last match was a very long one, as it took him 3 hrs 40 min to overcome Rosol in a 5-setter, whereas Bedene dispatched Dzumhur 3-1 in 2 hrs 10 min.

While Bedene took a break after Hertogenbosch, Muller kept playing and reached the semifinals at Queens.

This match looks to be a long one, and I see Bedene with a chance in it.

Bet 1: Bedene +4.5 @1.94
Bet 2: Bedene win @3.37
Bet 3: Over 39.5 games @1.83

Johnson vs Cilic

Cilic should go a long way into this tournament, he's been in great form.

Bet: Cilic -5.5 @1.84
Hmmmz, it was the wrong time 4 me to step in
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Old 07-07-17, 15:34   #49
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Tsonga vs Querrey over 41.5 games @1.88
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Old 07-07-17, 22:18   #50
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Good job Quill! You should be the tipster of the month!!!
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Old 07-07-17, 23:24   #51
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Finally it was a good day - I have trusted in Nadal 3-0, Anderson 3-0 , over in Tsonga - Querrey game and Fognini.
Also woman tenis was ok - halep, svitolina, venus

For tomorrow:


Dimitrow cant find valuebet, 3-0 is a risky , isnt it? over gems?

Monfils will eat Mannarino I think

Raonic will eat Vinolas also, he should be tired after 5 sets against Rublew, Raonic is world class player , i think 3-0 and revange for french open

Gulbis - Djoko

hmmm, maybe it's a worht a try to play + gems on Gulbis? On the other side a lot depends how djoko will play

Ferrer - Berdych over 3,5 sets

Aleksander Zverev 3-0 i think

Thiem to win but cant find a value

Federer ... i hate this guy..


from woman tenis i think that Bacinszny will win against Radwanska. I watched both Aga games and she played nothing speciall - she is still at Wimbledon because their rivals made too many mistakes... it's time to say goodbye

Muguruza to win , Bryan / Bryan and Kubot/Melo in debels to win
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Old 07-07-17, 23:26   #52
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Dimitrov- Sela
2 @9,5
stake: 4/10

over 31,5 @1,85
stake: 8/10

Bookies sees Dimitrov like a clear favorit here- yes it is true but does he really looks that good ? Against Schwartzman he reached 9 aces- 10 double faults and Schwartzman broke him twice but had 6 chances more. Against Baghdatis it looked better- 9 aces and 4 double faults. But Baghdatis had 7 chances to break him and managed 0. Also both (Baghdatis, Schwartzman) had a horrible second serve winning rate. So Dimitrov looks solid but still with some weakness which better player can use.
His opponent is Dudi Sela (won Nottingham Challenger)- a really experienced player whose results recently, especially on grass courts are absolutely surprise, he is just 175cm high but playing amazing tennis these days. He beated Isner who served in match .. 45 aces comparing to just 5 of Sela. He had just 17 unforced results so if he will repeat those stats then I am confident that he can make a big troubles to Dimitrov.
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Old 08-07-17, 07:19   #53
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Ok, these are my last bets for this tournament, as I'm taking a break.

So here goes what I think for tonight.

Winners:
Kuznetsova + Bacsinszky + Dimitrov + Monfils + Federer @2.25

Raonic vs Ramos

I think Ramos can trouble Raonic at least to go into overs, so I took over 33.5 @1.88.

Gulbis vs Djokovic

Gulbis came out of nowhere with some nice performance and Djokovic not being at his peak (he hasn't had serious, big opponents for quite a while now to prove otherwise), I think that over 31.5 @1.91 is achievable.

Ofner vs A Zverev

Ofner keeps surprising us and had some very nice wins here.
The total in this match looks again ridiculously low, as I must give Ofner some respect (which he earned this week) and take the offer:
Over 29.5 games @1.85.

Thiem vs Donaldson

Thiem is growing on grass, however Donaldson is good enough I think to give him a match.
Over 3.5 sets @2.10
Over 33.5 games @1.85

Kontaveit vs Wozniacki

Over 21.5 games @1.81
Over 2.5 sets @2.25.
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Old 09-07-17, 23:20   #54
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Since Quill announced his break and I see no thoughts (yet) for Monday's games, I'll post my thoughts over the WTA games.
Being given that we are in a phase where good and very good players are playing, and looking at the stats from the previous round, I've thought about a combo on all 8 WTA games that are played today.
The bet is: at least 8.5 games in every game into the first set. It is easy, a minimum 6-3 into the first set. The odds are about 1.30 - 1.35 - 1.40.
The final odd is 12.5 for all 8 games.
Checking the results from last round, we can see that Muguruza vs Cirstea, Wandeweghe vs Riske and Rybarikova vs Tsurenko were the single games where the 9 games set was not achieved. But we talk about players like Cirstea, Riske or Tsurenko who could not expect miracles from their games. Muguruza is playing against Kerber, Wandeweghe is playing against Wozniacki and Rybarikova is playing against Martic.
These are more or less tougher games and the other games (Azarenka vs Halep, Ostapenko vs Svitolina, Radwanska vs Kuznetsova, Konta vs Garcia or Konjuh vs Williams) are even closer. I can't see 6-0 or 6-1 scores into a first set in 1/8 round of Wimbledon. It is some kind psychological to give the best of you into the first set and win it so you can have the advantage over your opponent into the second set.
For games where you think that it might be even closer, you can play over 9.5 games for bigger odds (1.90 to 2.00) or you can even take out the games where you think that the difference is too big and the 9 games can't be achieved.

It worths to throw a penny on it.

Waiting for your thoughts!

GL!

In addition to this, I relay my picks on the fact that the players are coming from this weekend break and the fatigue factor should have disappeared and everybody should be concentrated on advancing to the next round.

Last edited by Yannick; 09-07-17 at 23:52. Reason: Additional info
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Old 09-07-17, 23:45   #55
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Ok.

First of all it's really good idea Yannick. I will try that for sure.

Few word from me for the 1/8 of ATP


Rafa Nadal - Gilles Muller

We all know Rafa Nadal. He is one of the best tennis player ever seen. In last 2-3 years he was not himself because of many factors but the main were injuries. Now he looks like Rafa which I know from the past. He also took a break after winning Roland Garros which is good for him and his body.

He started this year really well but Roger Federer was like a nightmare for him, specially in Australian Open where Rafa played so well.

Gilles Muller is really good tenis player. Strong serve, nice technique. I really like him but to be honest Rafa is in good shape now - physicaly he looks very good, he is able to return a lot of services and I think that Nadal is also able to return strong service from Gilles which means rallies which means points for Nadal.

Rafa is out of range at the moment with fully respect for Muller and I think that Spanish guy is able to break Muller in every single set which I think that -1,5 sets for Nadal is a good bet priced @ 1,35 - for combo it's nice.


Querrey S. - Anderson K.

Two big serve men. It's hard to say who will win finally this clash but for sure we can expekt both players to hold their serve for a long time because it's a main weapon of them. So I think that over on gems or over 3,5 sets priced @ 1,40 it's a bless.
Dont need to talk much more about this game because I'm not trying to predict the winner. Just sure about tight game.


Raonic - Zverev

I have been watching Raonic games and to be honest he is nothing special for me.
He did not trash Vinolas (who had problems with Rublev 100+ ATP ranked) which told me a lot. Raonic had big problem with Youznhy also and Mikhail had a set point in set 2 but he didnt won that in the end and then his mind was over.

Raonic was lucky but this time he will face Aleksander Zverev real younggun and real talent. He has good service, good return, good athleth he is.

In last year 1/8 of Wimbledon was a joke with players like Mahut or Tomic. Now its time to test "top 10" ranks against young guns like Zverev. For me it will be tight and 3,5 + sets it's a mustbet but I think that Zverev - this youngeee - he will win that !

Thiem - Berdych

Berdych for me it's the most overrated tenis player atm. In fact, he is good but that's all. Thiem - I love this guy. His service, his aggresion, his passion in style of playing, his defensive skills...
Watched him twice so far and I'm sure that he will give hard assF&&% for this Czech "talent".

For me Thiem win @ 2,00 is a VALUE OF THE YEAR!
ALSO 3,5 SETS IS A MUST BET

Djoko / Murray - dont need to speak i think djoko 3-0 and murray 3-0 or 3-1.

Cilic should win against Bautista but over 3,5 sets expected but not sure so I will skip propably.


Grigor Dimitrov , bulgarian talent will face Roger Federer oldgun and I think that Dimitrov is able to win the set against fede which is priced @ 1,75 !

Dimitrov is really good , one of the best when on form and he feels good right now I think. He was a little bit mentaly down after 5 sets lose against Nadal (australian open) but now he recovered and playing good tenis.

On the other side federer - i watched him against Lajovic and it was so hard for him to return the service.. it was so frustraiting watching that... specially when you had -8,5 gems and he playing tie-break with player like lajovic...
I really doont like fede and i think that mischa zverev done mistake by going close to the net after serve. I think Dimitrov is able even to win the game against Roger because he's nothing speciall if you watch him carefully.

+2,5 for Dimitrov is a value bet for me

Sorry for mistakes and such a short analysis and mistakes but im in hurry and just wanna share with you specially that Quilii is somewhere in the Carribean sea
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Old 10-07-17, 09:29   #56
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Default Svitolina win over Ostapenko, 10/10

Hi, guys, for me, the pick of the day is Svitolina to win. She has been constantly growing in the past few years. She is mature now and has her own style, no weak shot. Powerful strokes on both sides, and a decent serve. On the other side we have Ostapenko, the revelation of RG, but really nothing special to me. She has the momentum now, built a lot of confidence, but, today I think she will say good bye. Her style, all or nothing, with no plan B shouldn't work against Svitolina. Besides, when you are so confident like she is right now, the fall is violent. I think Svitolina in straight sets is the correct bet.
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Old 10-07-17, 12:21   #57
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Quote:
Originally Posted by suicidal View Post
Hi, guys, for me, the pick of the day is Svitolina to win. She has been constantly growing in the past few years. She is mature now and has her own style, no weak shot. Powerful strokes on both sides, and a decent serve. On the other side we have Ostapenko, the revelation of RG, but really nothing special to me. She has the momentum now, built a lot of confidence, but, today I think she will say good bye. Her style, all or nothing, with no plan B shouldn't work against Svitolina. Besides, when you are so confident like she is right now, the fall is violent. I think Svitolina in straight sets is the correct bet.
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Old 10-07-17, 15:10   #58
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Radwanska ruined the combo! 7 out of 8 went over 8.5.
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Old 10-07-17, 16:45   #59
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Quote:
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Radwanska ruined the combo! 7 out of 8 went over 8.5.
I followed you but over 7.5 ( i have played it safe) . Thanks for tip

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Old 10-07-17, 21:30   #60
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RAFA :O
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