POD 19/05/2017

[dajkula]

Thanks to our sponsor Terje Grefstad



MAXIMUM ODDS = 2.80

http://forum.bettingadvice.com/showp...postcount=2833

[dajkula]

Pick # 5 3-0-1 +343
Bayreuth vs Ingolstadt II
pick: over 3.5 @ 2.5 bwin

0:1, -100

Bayreuth welcomes Ingolstadt II in the last 34`th round of the Regionalliga Bayern. Both teams have secured their stay in the league so can approach this game without much caution. Bayreuth certainly should feel more relaxed as lately their performances have been abismall. They owe it to their fans to finally show a gutsy game of football. Bayreuth lost 6 of their last 8 league games and demolished their stats big time. They sit 13`th in the league with 42 points. 7 of their last 8 games had at least 3 goals scored.
Ingolstadt II has been just the opposite in the last couple of months. They were in danger to relegate but a great run of 8 matches without defeat and 5 wins saw them propel up the table. Some wins have been truly remarcable: 0:6 Nurnberg II, Wacker 6:0, Bayern Hof 7:2. The youngsters have shown class and will hope to add a few more in this last visit of the season. Ingolstadt is 11`th on the table with 45 points. In the last 3 matches Ingolstadt II has scored 15 goals and conceded 4.
Away from home Ingolstadt has 30:30 gd and concede more than at home.
Bayreuth will be without Schmitt,Ozdemir, Ulbrich and Makarenko and some U23 players will be given a chance.
Ingolstadt is without:Buchner, Fischhaber, Ollert and Kurz.
The Regionalliga Bayern has become sinonimous for goals in these last rounds. I expect these two to add a few to their tally.

[Nesquik]

Pick #7 2W-3L-1V +60
Kiki Bertens - Daria Gavrilova
Tennis - WTA Rome QF
Pick: Bertens 2:0
Odds: 2.60
Bookie: PinnacleSports

6:3,6:3, +160

the reason for betting this is that I previously watched Bertens of Holland and I was impressed about her. she served well against Makarova with 2 exceptions, and I was amazed about her shots. even though if on some service games she didn't win maybe convincingly, Kiki had very consistent shots. in Madrid she won the first three matches in straight sets, before losing also 0:2 against Sevastova. but Bertens looks much stronger in Rome and Gavrilova against Kuznetsova wasnt impressive. she had no chance until the drop of Svetlana in the second set, and then like always Daria earned a lot of confidence. in my opinion, that match was lost by Kuznetsova. the h2h is 1-1, but only one match is recent and Bertens won it when she was underdog. the Dutch woman is clearly a claycourter, semifinal in Paris last years where she usually won in straight sets her games before failing to Serena Williams.. well, with 2 exceptions, against Kerber and another 'Russian'!

[lattuga]

Pick #4
Standing: 3 - 0 - 0 (+193)

Football, France Ligue 2
20:30 - Reims vs Amiens
Pick: Amiens win at 1.58 at pinnacle

1:2, +58

Amiens need a win here to secure historic promotion to Ligue 1, they are in great form with striker Aboubakar Kamara causing defences many problems. Amiens play a slick counter attacking game and in the games I have watched them this season, their attackers have caused the Ligue 2 defences many problems. Reims have nothing to play for and season is over, I can't see them trying too hard or risking injury to spoil Amiens party here.

[hovi]

Pick #8 Won 3 Lost 4 +350
Soccer - Australia
Game - Albany Creek vs. Ipswich Knights
Pick: Over 5.5 goals
Odds: 3.85(3.50 for POD)
Bookie: Expekt

3:0, -100

The guests have been conceding a lot of goals lately and have been losing games although they did manage to score 3 goals in their last two league games losing with 5-2 away from home at Capalaba and 3-1 at home to Peninsula but prior to these two games they were defeated with 5-0 away from home at both Logan Lightning and Eastern Suburbs so their defense is really poor at this moment and their record here at this stadium against Albany Creek in recent seasons is also not a good one as they have been defeated here wtih 4-1 last season, this while two seasons ago they lost the game played here with 6-1 in the end, also a 2-0 and 4-1 loss here at this stadium, and given the fact that the hosts have scored 4 goals in their last two home games at this moment, 4 goals in each of those two home games I mean, and that Ipswich conceded 5 goals in their last 3 games played away from home my bet here in this fixture is going to be on over 5.5 goals being scored here.

[WKSkofu]

Pick 5 4won

Cracovia- Ruch
Pick 1, 1.65 Unibet

2:0, +65

Cracovia should win today despite the fact that this team has won only 2 games in last 13 games. Cracovia lost 0:3 in Lublin (very few fans as Leczna is situation 35 km from Lublin and fans boycotting Lublin's venue) and they did not play well, Gornik were by far a better team in 2nd half and won deservedly but Cracovia have struggled on the road all season (only 1 win).
Cracovia should be more motivated, Ruch play under a big pressure (they should win today to be still in a battle).
Cracovia played well vs Ruch in last couple seasons and this team finished in 4th place and played in european cups in 2016. They still have many good and experienced players.
Ruch have gained only 1 point in last 3 games and scored only two goals conceding more than 2 a game in those games.

[nansita]

Pick #2 +150

Austria Erste Liga
Wacker Innsbruck - Horn
Pick: over 3.5
odd: 2.67
Unibet

3:0, -100

Wenger Innsbruck - Horn Austria - Erste League. Here things are easily predictable. Awaiting us goals. On one side we have a team that plays their last home game in front of a native audience and will strive to finish the season properly and in style. On the other side we have a guest who has no alternative but to play for victory. The good thing is that both teams have weak sides on the side and on the other hand both teams are able to score goals. In this case, the visiting team has no other alternative than to throw in crazy attacks. Both teams play open and offensive football. In any case, there will be many goals, and this automatically leads to over 3.5 goals.

[HenryLai]

1st
Guangzhou Evergrande - Jiangsu Suning
Jiangsu Suning +1 @2.26 pinnacle

2:1, 0

Guangzhou Evergrande never can beat down Jiangsu easily, at the beginning of the season, in super cup, just 1-0 win by a narrow margin.
Jiangsu Suning had a bad start cause both FW all injured & suspension, now both are back to squad, and Jiangsu win a couple of games in a row. Jiangsu conceded 16 goals, but 6 of which were superb strikes from distance.
Guangzhou Evergrande without suspension captain Zhengzhi, Guangzhou Evergrande only lost 1 game in the new season, but that was without Zhengzhi.

[Quill]

Pick #10 (2-0-7/ -464)

ATP Rome

Del Potro vs Djokovic

Bet: Delpo win
Odds: 2.77
Bookie: Pinnaclesports

1:6,4:6, -100

Djoko's form is the subject of wide discussions everywhere, no need to dwell on this subject: everybody knows he is in a slump of form.

He doesn't get his wins with ease anymore, he needs more than 1hr 45 min to win a match, gone are the days of 6-1 6-2.

Delpo on the other hand is picking up form, as he dispatched two top players this week.
After losing the first set to Dimitrov, he took the following 2 sets with ease, losing only 5 games.
Then he defeated Nishikori in two sets to set up this meeting with Djoko.

Goffin beat Djoko in the quarter-final in Monte Carlo.
It's time for another defeat, in quarter-finals as well, to a player who is simply in better form right now.

[Valverde]

Pick #7 [3W 3L +202]
Cycling, Giro d'Italia
Who will win stage 13?
Pick: Fernando Gaviria
Odds: 2.33
Bookie: Pinnacle

1st, +133

I have tp write almost the same what I wrote yesterday in analysis to yesterday stage won by Gaviria. At the beginning of 100th edition of Giro d'Italia my choice for most of the sprints were Caleb Ewan. First stage even prove it despite the fact that Aussie didn't win it (it was Postelberger after long finish) he looked as the fastest guy in the peleton. With next stages things change it a little bit and Fernando Gaviria proved that his earlier victories in the season weren't a coincedence. Columbian sprinter won three times and I think today he will once again. Today Orica, Bora and Lotto will try to build their train for final meteres, however it shouldn't be a problem for Gaviria, as his speed is really high lately. Also Ewan, Bennett and Greipel didn't convince me at all during this race, while rest of sprinters such as Mareczko, Modolo or Stuyvan are not riding in the same league. In sum Gaviria to win is my call once again and current price is still acceptable.

[Serpico_re]

Pick #9
3-5, -32

Tennis, Roma
Isner - Cilic
Pick: Isner win
odd: 3.1 Bwin

shame, posted late, not counting

I dont get this odds on Isner, he was so brutal here in roma, looked very determined, hold the rhythm very well, and not to mention his serve and holding his serve points. Cilic is playing well, feeling well, but even yesterday he had some down moments but he pull out a win, if Goffin wasnt injured and felt weak he could take advantage of that, and Cilic was so untrustable for me past few years, and what i saw yesterday was enough for me to take Isner here. Cilic down moments , thats why he aint getting enough in world of tennis, and i cant see him here take this. Isner is in great form, its been long when i saw him like this and i hope he will keep it up

[Serpico_re]

Pick #9
3-5, -32

Tennis, Roma
Isner - Cilic
Pick: Isner win
odd: 3.1 Bwin

I dont get this odds on Isner, he was so brutal here in roma, looked very determined, hold the rhythm very well, and not to mention his serve and holding his serve points. Cilic is playing well, feeling well, but even yesterday he had some down moments but he pull out a win, if Goffin wasnt injured and felt weak he could take advantage of that, and Cilic was so untrustable for me past few years, and what i saw yesterday was enough for me to take Isner here. Cilic down moments , thats why he aint getting enough in world of tennis, and i cant see him here take this. Isner is in great form, its been long when i saw him like this and i hope he will keep it up

didnt paid attention on time, sorry not counting

[atomino]

Pick #3 (2-0-0) Score: +195
Slovakia-Fortuna liga
17:30 ViOn Zlate Moravce - MSK Zilina
Pick: MSK Zilina(-1) @2.19 Pinnacle

1:4, +119

Champion and best team in championship, Zilina, are playing against Zlate Moravce with best available team players, taking no calculations. Zlate Moravce on the other side have ensured their place in the League for next season, so they play loosely last couple games (won only one out of seven games at home). Another interesting moment is their history, in last 8 games between this two teams, Zilina won only two of them, so this would be nice chance for Zilina to show their strength. Right now all factors are on Zilina's side.

[Gvdw]

Pick # 1
Football
Iceland, Urvalsdeild, Women
Haukar - Breidablik Kopavogur
Pick: Breidablik Kopavogur -3 EH
Odd: 2.32
Unibet

1:3, -100

Breidablik Kopavogur have finished in the top 2 in the Urbalsdeild in the last 3 seasons and this season they are again one of the better teams in the league. They reached the final of the league cup in the beginning of the season losing eventually to Valur and they started the season with 3 wins and 1 defeat.
Haukar promoted from the 1st division but so far they are struggling with a 0-0-4 record conceding 12 goals and scoring only 2. Today i also don***8217;t give them any chance.
This will be the 5th meeting between the teams and so far Breidablik won all 4 meetings scoring 36 goals and conceding only 4. The last meeting was back in january in the Faxafloi Women cup with Breidablik winning with 14-0. I expect another easy win for Breidablik today.

[luzernhero]

3 +80
Ligue 2, Football
Sochaux - Troyes
Over 3.5 @ 2.85 10bet

2:3, +180

Everyone jumping on the Troyes hypetrain today, so much that the odds on them have dropped to 1.30 which is too much. Besides this pick that I'm taking here, +1.5 on hosts is obviously another great choice. There's just no reason for Sochaux to be so underrated in the last fixture of the season, I'm pretty sure they will want to close this chapter with a good game, so odds of 1.30 on Troyes are simply too low. Now about this pick of mine, I decided to go with the over because Troyes will try to win this game with more than one goal scored, but Sochaux actually scored often in most recent fixtures at home, even though they lost some of them they still played well and at least scored. Most recent 4 fixtures at Sochaux were all overs and Sochaux scored in all of them

Sochaux 1:2 Amiens
Sochaux 1:2 Gazalec Ajaccio
Sochaux 2:2 Niort
Sochaux 2:1 Nimes

This game with Troyes is very similar to Sochaux's most recent one at home when they had the similar opponent in Amiens that also needed a win and were/are competing for the top places in the league. Sochaux scored against them too in 1:2 loss. We will probably see Troyes winning this game as well but odds of 1.30 are too low to be taken seriously, and therefore I choose over 3.5 because Sochaux are constantly scoring at home even when they don't need to try anymore. Troyes will win but barely, I would predict a hard 2:3 close win for Troyes and many goals.