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Old 15-05-17, 00:29   #1
dicheff
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Default ATP INTERNAZIONALI BNL D’ITALIA | 14-21 MAY 2017

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Old 15-05-17, 00:46   #2
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Default Robin Haase - Carlos Berlocq



Robin Haase and Carlos Berlocq will be going head-to-head for the 5-th time in their careers when they clash in the First round of the Internazionali BNL d'Italia.
Robin Haase is the slight favorite with 3 win(s) out of 4 mutual games.

Robin Haase has emerged as 1st Set Winner in 13 of his last 20 matches.When it comes to the 2nd Set performance, Robin Haase has won 11 of his last 20 games.Robin Haase's last 20 matches produced exactly 7 tiebreaks which makes 0.35 tiebreaks per match. Robin Haase has won 3 of those tiebreaks.

Carlos Berlocq has emerged as 1st Set Winner in 13 of his last 20 matches.When it comes to the 2nd Set performance, Carlos Berlocq has won 12 of his last 20 games.Carlos Berlocq's record in matches when a third set had been played, he has won 3 out of 6 deciders.6 of the last 20 matches of Carlos Berlocq have been decided in three sets.Carlos Berlocq's last 20 matches produced exactly 2 tiebreaks which makes 0.1 tiebreaks per match. Carlos Berlocq has won 1 of those tiebreaks.

Streaks

Robin Haase is currently on a 6-match (Under 2.5 sets) streak. His longest streak is 11 consecutive (Under 2.5 sets).Robin Haase is currently on a 9-match (2nd Set under 10.5 games) streak. His longest streak is 18 consecutive (2nd Set under 10.5 games).

Carlos Berlocq is currently on a 4-match (Under 2.5 sets) streak. His longest streak is 16 consecutive (Under 2.5 sets).Carlos Berlocq is currently on a 4-match (Tiebreak in Match: No) streak. His longest streak is 19 consecutive (Tiebreak in Match: No).Carlos Berlocq is currently on a 9-match (3rd Set under 10.5 games) streak. His longest streak is 19 consecutive (3rd Set under 10.5 games)


Carlos Berlocq should definitely win at least one set here. We would probably go with Berlocq to win the 1st set @1.92 Unibet. A tiebreak is also expected here.
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Old 15-05-17, 00:51   #3
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Default Juan Martin Del Potro - Grigor Dimitrov



Juan Martin Del Potro generally dominates the pair’s extensive rivalry, leading the overall head-to-head by 4-0.

Of course that's not the main reason we will go with Del Potro here.
We would even go with Del Potro -1.5 Sets as Marathon are currently offering @2.86 for Del Potro to win 2-0.
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Old 15-05-17, 00:55   #4
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Default Florian Mayer - Thiago Moura Monteiro



Thiago is definitely in form and is really dangerous on clay but @2.75 for Mayer is just too much. Ideal match for trading.
We would go with Mayer to win the 1st set. Currently @2.56 with Pinnacle
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Old 15-05-17, 00:59   #5
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Default Joao Sousa - Kyle Edmund



Joao Sousa could easily pass Edmund on clay. We would go with Sousa to win the 1st set @2.25 William Hill , despite his unstable current form.
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Old 15-05-17, 01:03   #6
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Default Ryan Harrison - Jared Donaldson



Donaldson is better than Harrison on paper. But we fear that the bookies would turn to be right pointing Harrison as favorite in this clash. We would go with Harrison to pass through Donaldson and improve the H2H stats here.
@2.88 for Harrison to win 2-0 is also tempting!
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Old 15-05-17, 21:23   #7
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Default

And here it is - our sixth consecutive winning day! Mission accomplished, today we banged +54.03 units. Just 7 selections, reasonable Win Rate: 57%, ROI: 39%, Avg. Odds: 2.70

More about our strategy:
We bet mainly to bet types: "Favorite" to win 2-0, or "Underdog" to win the 1st set.
Everyday we start with 100 units, we stop if we reach +50 units Net Profit. If we lose our bankroll we also stop trading for that day. Since February 2017 we have on average 84% wining days or 1.24 losing days per week.
We keep our average odds above 2.45 and our Win Rate is slightly above 60%, thus our current ROI is 42.75%.


Juan Martin Del Potro - Grigor Dimitrov


Dimitrov somehow managed to steal the 1st set. Despite that we were confident enough about Del Potro and backed him right after the 1set @2.50 Easy one!

Screenshot: Betting Day 15.05.2017 , demo Bet365 account #13


Last edited by dicheff; 15-05-17 at 21:29.
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Old 19-05-17, 10:01   #8
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Default

Just posting my POD selection.

Del Potro vs Djokovic

Bet: Delpo win
Odds: 2.77
Bookie: Pinnaclesports

Djoko's form is the subject of wide discussions everywhere, no need to dwell on this subject: everybody knows he is in a slump of form.

He doesn't get his wins with ease anymore, he needs more than 1hr 45 min to win a match, gone are the days of 6-1 6-2.

Delpo on the other hand is picking up form, as he dispatched two top players this week.
After losing the first set to Dimitrov, he took the following 2 sets with ease, losing only 5 games.
Then he defeated Nishikori in two sets to set up this meeting with Djoko.

Goffin beat Djoko in the quarter-final in Monte Carlo.
It's time for another defeat, in quarter-finals as well, to a player who is simply in better form right now
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