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Old 13-04-12, 09:10   #1
danieljackson
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Old 13-04-12, 11:04   #2
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lots of ball games today, so here we go:

NY Yankees- LA Angels over 9,5 @2,0 7/10

Yankees are back on track after sweeping Baltimore, while Angels are still having some problems, but obviously offensive power of both teams is huge with guys like Pujols, Hunter, Jeter, Alex Rodriguez to mention few names. But also we have two starters who didnt start season well, and i think they may have some problems tonight as well.
there will be some pressure on Kuroda as after all it's season opener for Yanks, and the fact that unlike Sabathia and Pineda he's got only 2 pitches to rely on, may cause some problems if Angels start hitting early on. the same story with Santana, not much stuff in his pitching arsenal to surprise batters if things become ugly, plus the 5.55 ERA in 12 starts against Yankees is not something trustworthy, especially after his first game when Royals who aren't hitting superb scored 5 runs with him on the mound. Also Yankess ballpark was one of parks (6th of 10) favoring hitters last season, so another reason to hope for some big score tonight.

also some stats, supporting idea about home win (maybe even with handicap):

The Yankees are 6-0 all time in home openers played on April 13. They are 72-36-1 all time in home openers and have won 13 of their last 14.


well I got an over, so here's under as well: St.Louis-Chicago Cubs under 7,5 @1,78 4/10

well Cubs scored 8 runs in last game, but it is not going to happen again anytime soon, I think, as it's was just Brewers' top pitcher having a nightmare day. Anyway, Wainwright is back from injury still working on stamina and Cardinals set their rotation that way, that his best pitcher starts opening game. He should pitch more than 5 innings this time and with his skill he should shut down Cubs hitters without much trouble.
Samardzija is a question mark here for me, considering his number of walks last season, but apparently he had solid spring training, and what's much more important had great game against Nats who got only 4 hits in over 8 innings against him, so I'm gonna trust him this time. Both teams got decent closers so if starters can slow down offense it should go under 7,5 runs. And the Busch Stadium was favoring pitchers a lot last season, details here.
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Old 14-04-12, 08:12   #3
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everything went wrong last night

Yanks get half of the job done, but seems like Angels can hit only against some very poor pitching teams like Twins (although Yanks starter wasnt that good at all yesterday). And Cubs going guns-blazing again is even bigger shock and Angels struggling, they scored 17 runs in last two games while they had 19 in first 6
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