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Betting strategy records Does different betting strategies work? Here you can see proven records of certain betting strategies. Updated after each pick/analysis, after the result is known.
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Old 01-10-17, 14:52   #1
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Default VARBET system

Hi everybody,

I’ll test here my system (called "varbet") which is based on the volatility of some “key” variables. My system has to do only with stats, I don’t care about injuries, lineups etc. It fits to all football leagues and all teams but in this thread I’ll pay attention only at underdogs. Because of this, most bets will be lost but I expect to win enough value bets in order to have, finally, a positive yield in total. I’ m not going to say here any further details. Just watch and take notes!

I suggest you to not bet on these picks, unless you exactly follow them. If you skip a good streak, you will lose your money even if the system has a positive result. So, be careful! My purpose is just to confirm that there is a “safe” way to win the bookies in the long run. Picks will be few and published only if I believe that there is value in them. If not, there will be a break for weeks, months, who knows…

Time of games will be GMT and betting odds will be the highest available at the time of post among some well known and established bookies (checked at oddsportal.com). Also, I place always flat bets that never exceeds 2% of my initial bank.

Enjoy “varbet” system!
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Old 01-10-17, 15:20   #2
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Of course, i can't guarantee profit. I have some good signals, that's all. This is a test period. Picks will be always 3-way (1X2), no handicaps, no over/under etc.

My initial bank is 50 units and flat bets will be 1 unit per game.
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Old 01-10-17, 15:44   #3
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Let's start!
First pick

1. 1/10 14:30 GMT
Bulgaria » Parva Liga » Levski - Cherno More 2 @ 7,5 @ betfair (sb)
(possible to bet even at 8,79)
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Old 03-10-17, 00:06   #4
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Levski - Cherno More LOST
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Old 07-10-17, 14:19   #5
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2. 7/10 16:00 GMT
Italy » Serie B » Salernitana - Ascoli 2 @ 6,03 @ pinnacle
1 unit
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Old 09-10-17, 11:43   #6
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Salernitana - Ascoli LOST
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Old 13-10-17, 16:46   #7
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3. 13/10 23:30 GMT
Brazil » Serie B » Parana - Criciuma 2 @ 5,5 @ bet365
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Old 14-10-17, 01:50   #8
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4. 14/12 12:00 GMT
Germany » 3. Liga » Wehen - Meppen 2 @ 7,12 @ pinnacle
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Old 14-10-17, 13:20   #9
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5. 14/12 14:00
Scotland » League One » Ayr - Airdrieonians 2 @ 7 @ william hill
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Old 14-10-17, 18:49   #10
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Previous two games were 14/10 and not 14/12 of course!
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Old 14-10-17, 20:17   #11
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Parana - Criciuma LOST
Wehen - Meppen WON
Ayr - Airdrieonians LOST
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Old 14-10-17, 20:47   #12
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financial results so far

initial bank (investment) 50
total bets (stakes) 5
won bets 1
lost bets 4
hitrate 20,00%
average won odds 7,12
current bank 52,12
profit 2,12
yield (%) 42,40%
roi (%) 4,24%

*yield is calculated as profit/stakes
*roi is calculated as profit/investment (i.e. initial bank)
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Old 15-10-17, 02:00   #13
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6. 15/10 16:00 GMT
Norway » OBOS-ligaen » Mjondalen - Fredrikstad 2 @ 6,04 @ pinnacle
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Old 15-10-17, 23:03   #14
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Mjondalen - Fredrikstad LOST
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Old 17-10-17, 14:37   #15
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7. 17/10 14:00 GMT
UEFA Youth League » Manchester City U19 - Napoli U19 2 @ 12 @ bet365
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Old 17-10-17, 22:55   #16
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Manchester City U19 - Napoli U19 LOST
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Old 20-10-17, 17:57   #17
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8. 20/10 23:30 GMT
Brazil » Serie B » Ceara - Figueirense 2 @ 7,51 @ pinnacle
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Old 20-10-17, 18:07   #18
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9. 21/12 06:35 GMT
Australia » A-League » Melbourne City - Wellington Phoenix 2 @ 6 @ william hill
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Old 21-10-17, 14:07   #19
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Ceara - Figueirense LOST
Melbourne City - Wellington LOST
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Old 24-10-17, 14:29   #20
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24/10 17:45 GMT
10. Netherlands » KNVB Beker (cup) » GVVV (Veenendaal)- HFC 2 @ 5.5 @ william hill
11. Netherlands » KNVB Beker (cup) » Waalwijk - De Treffers 2 @ 6 @ wiiliam hill
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Old 25-10-17, 13:47   #21
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25/10 16:00 GMT
12. Austria » OFB Cup » Sturm Graz - Altach 2 @ 5.5 @ bwin
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Old 25-10-17, 23:12   #22
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GVVV (Veenendaal)- HFC LOST
Waalwijk - De Treffers LOST
Sturm Graz - Altach LOST
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Old 26-10-17, 22:01   #23
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27/10 08:50 GMT
13. Australia » A-League » Sydney FC - Perth Glory 2 @ 7 @ bet365
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Old 28-10-17, 21:25   #24
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29/10 10:00 GMT
14. Norway » OBOS-ligaen » Bodo/Glimt - Asane 2 @ 6,75 @ bet365
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Old 28-10-17, 21:45   #25
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29/10 10:00 GMT
15. Russia » Division 1 » Orenburg - Spartak Moscow 2, 2 @ 6,26 @ pinnacle
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Old 29-10-17, 16:10   #26
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Sydney FC - Perth Glory LOST
Bodo/Glimt - Asane LOST
Orenburg - Spartak Moscow LOST
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Old 29-10-17, 20:39   #27
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Financial results so far

initial bank (investment) 50
total bets (stakes) 15
won bets 1
lost bets 14
hitrate 6,67%
average odds 6,75
average won odds 7,12
current bank 42,12
profit -7,88
yield (%) -52,53%
roi (%) -15,76%

*yield is calculated as profit/stakes
*roi is calculated as profit/investment

It seems that my system is not going very well at the moment. There is a long bad streak that results a loss of almost 8 units. Of course, this bad streak is not strange since my average odds is 6,75. I do not expect to win every bet, not even most of my bets. For this reason I do not bet more than 2% of my initial bank. In other words, there is a negative wave and i hope it will be broken soon.
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Old 31-10-17, 10:25   #28
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31/10 13:15 GMT
16. Iran » Persian Gulf Pro League » Esteghlal F.C. - Naft Tehran 2 @ 8.53 @ pinnacle
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Old 31-10-17, 10:49   #29
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31/10 13:00 GMT
17. UEFA Youth League » Sporting U19 - Juventus U19 2 @ 7.5 @ betvictor
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Old 02-11-17, 01:03   #30
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2/11 02:00 GMT
18. Mexico » Copa Mexico » Club America - Queretaro 2 @ 6 @ bet365
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