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Old 20-06-18, 23:06   #1
the_machine30
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Default **WC POD 21/06/2018**

**WC POD 20/06/2018**
Here are main rules, you will find others here:

http://forum.bettingadvice.com/showthread.php?t=110009

Prize booty will be a bit higher than for regular POD, 1st place will be awarded with 150 EUR, second place with 100 EUR and third place will bring 50 EUR!

Here are the rules:

The Competition

The purpose of the competition is to gather the best bets of a particular day of WC 2018. It's for fun but the competition can also be a good place for tipsters to find picks quicker than browsing all pages. You can place your Pick of the day and score points if it satisfies the conditions that are stated below. The competition lasts one month and in that period, a contestant must make exactly 8 picks. YOU CAN ENTER THE COMPETITION UNTIL IT IS POSSIBLE TO PICK EIGHT PODs. This means entering the competition with only 7 days of the WC left to go is not possible. Every missing pick below 8 at the end of the month will be punished with -100 points per missing pick.
You must be a registered user of this forum to participate. You must have a unique IP address, not more than one competitor can use the same address.
Odds must be between 1.50 and 3.50 and only odds taken from these 3 bookmakers are allowed:

Bet365
Pinnacle
SBOBet

You must write arguments for your pick or at least give a link to a prediction on BA main page, written by yourself.

About the conditions

You can only make one pick per day. Your pick must be different to all other placed picks, but you can back another team/player in the same game that someone else has taken. For your pick to count, it must be posted at least 1 hour before the event starts.

You cannot back the same team/player as someone else even if you take a different bet type (for example handicap bet, different game total etc.). But this rule applies only for quarterfinals/semifinals/finals of the WC!!! In the group phase of WC and in 1/8 finals you can take picks that were already taken by other users!!!

You can take these bet types (but only inside allowed odds from 1,50 to 3,50!):

-Asian handicap bets (final or HT)
-European handicap bets (final or HT)
-Over/Under bets (Game total) (final or HT)
-Home/Draw/Away bets (final or HT)
-Double Chance (1X,12,X2)
-Both teams to score (Yes/No)
-Half time/Full time
-Player to score (anytime scorer, first scorer)
-Number of corners (final or HT)
-Number of cards
-First team to score (Yes/No)
-Second team to score (Yes/No)
-number of goals scored team 1/team 2

You must write the correct bookie and correct odds in the time of your posting.

Scoring

A pick that was wrong will cost you 100 points. When you've made a correct pick, and it satisfied the conditions, you will gain 100 (Odds-1) points. For example, a successful pick @ 1.85 will give you 85 points. This is the net profit if you had staked 100 units. Asian Handicaps will be calculated accoringly to the net profit. It is not allowed to pick odds below 1,50 and above 3,50.
The contestant that scores the highest number of points with 8 picks, will win the monthly competition. In case he fails to give 8 picks, 100p- for every missing pick- will be deducted from his score.
To win the Special WC POD you MUST make 8 bets! Hopefully we will have time to update the standings every day but there may be some delays from time to time.

Good luck to all!!!!!
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Old 20-06-18, 23:18   #2
the_machine30
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Pick # 3 (1-0-1) +65

Argentina - Croatia
Pick: draw
Odds: 3.36
Bookie: Pinnacle

Whatever people to say this game will be really tough encounter. Argentina failed to win its first match against outsider in this group Iceland and now they need of at least a point to keep alive their dreams. Argentina have very strong offense. Messi recorded 11 shots on goal against Iceland, but he failed to score including penalty shot. Whatever to happen Argentina shouldn't lose this match. If they take a point and win against Nigeria they sure will qualify for the next round. Argentina is unbeaten in their last five official games, but the most interesting is that four out of these five matches didn't saw a winner. Argentina recorded draw against Venezuela, Uruguay, Peru and Iceland in their last five matches exclude friendlies. On the other hand Croatia can breath calm because they started the world cup with big win 2-0 over Nigeria. Croatia know very well that one point here can give them big opportunity to win this group. Crotia for sure will have their chances to score, because against Iceland, Argentina have big problems in defense. I think the draw here will be good to the both sides.
0-3 Pick lost!

Last edited by Macot; 22-06-18 at 21:06.
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Old 20-06-18, 23:46   #3
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Pick 2 1W/0L +158
France - Peru
Pick: Peru to score/over 0.5
Odd:1.8
Pinnacle

France won against Australia 2-1 but it wasn't good match for France. Of course they have many high priced players but they are individuals not team - in previous big competitions it was the same.
Peru lost against Denmark 0-1 but they they had 18 goal attempts (with missed penalty). They attacked with passion and determination. They played very offensively and after bad first result it should be the same tactic here. I expect a lot occassions from their side and at least one goal.
1-0 Pick lost!

Last edited by Macot; 22-06-18 at 21:06.
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Old 21-06-18, 00:37   #4
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0W/2L -200

#3

Denmark - Australia
pick: OVER 2,5 & both to score
odds: 2,75
book: bet365

Yesterday day a disaster day for these who had played overs. 3 x 1-0... But I think today we will have three very open games with decent chances to score a goal. At 14:00 CET starts my match. I feel that both teams will not hide at all.
DEnmark won 1-0 over Peru, but Peru did very well. Danes were lucky that they kept the result. On the other side, Australia could make a big suprise. The referee gave them a penelty kick. Aussies do not have many quality players like Erkissen but they can play as a team. Denmark already won, so a win over todays opponent can give them a comfortably attitude match against France. So, they should start to attack from begin.
This kind of bet is not listed among allowed ones - cancelled

Last edited by Macot; 22-06-18 at 21:06.
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Old 21-06-18, 01:34   #5
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Pick no 2 +240

Denmark - Australia
Pick X
Odds 3.45
Pinnacle

The draw is the most suitable result for this match. Denmark has genius player Eriksen, but he cannot decide everything on the pitch and experienced coach Bert Van Maarwijk will make special marking plan for Spurs playmaker. Overall teamplay for both national teams is based on good pressing, almost all players have to attack and to defend, run a lot to close gaps between the lines. If Australia will lose, they will be out of Word Cup. If not, they could be happy with a draw and hope for a win in the third groupstage match against Peru, a team that should be already eliminated at the hour of that last clash. Denmark did not deserve to win against the Southamericans, that is the general opinion, whilst the Kangoroos should have shared points with giants France, after good collective efforts. Very tough match with big pressure is awaited on Thursday and my tip is 0-0 or 1-1 final score.
1-1 Pick won!

Last edited by Macot; 22-06-18 at 21:07.
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Old 21-06-18, 02:05   #6
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4th pick / +150 / 1W-1V-1L
Croatia - Argentina [pick: over 1.5 half-time goals / odds 3.40 / bookie bet365]

Argentina played poorly against Iceland and they were not able to break Icelandic defensive formation. It didn't took long for Aguero to find first goal but that was from really extraordinary personal effrot and amazing unsaveable shot, after that Iceland really closed down and Argentina were not able to break through that wall. Messi also had that infamous penalty that Iceland's goalkeeper saved and they were overall not that good.

Croatia is not Iceland and they will not defend with so many numbers at the back, this automatically means that Argentina will have easier job opening Croatia up unlike Iceland. Argentina and Messi are so motivated and angry after all the crirics they've been hearing about their first game from every single media outlet on the planet, of course extraordinary start from Cristiano Ronaldo that is currently top scorers with 4 goals in Russia only adds fuel to the fire. Argentina will start very hard and look for goals to quickly erase that last game against Iceland and let everyone know that they mean business early on.
0-0 pick lost!

Last edited by Macot; 22-06-18 at 21:07.
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Old 21-06-18, 06:42   #7
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Pick #6
Balance: +67.5
2-0-3
Argentina - Croatia
X @ 3.30 bet365

Yesterday all the games finished with just 1 goal. Portugal, Urugay and Spain all won with just 1:0. Croatia and Argentina are in hard group and neither will risk too much here. Croatia especially will pursue at least 1 point from this game. Argentina dropped 2 points against Iceland and Sampaoli will include couple of rotations definitely, he already announced this. Croatia kept their first clean sheet against Nigeria that not long ago scored past England @Wembley in a friendly. Most important thing that Argentina needs to do to keep their morale high is to keep their clean sheet as long as possible. Croatia won't push much becuase they have mediocre defenders like Lovren that messed up so many times in Liverpool, key for Croatia is to stop Messi and other attackers. Both teams should get 1 point here and a draw is a value bet.
0-3 pick lost!

Last edited by Macot; 22-06-18 at 21:07.
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Old 21-06-18, 06:43   #8
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Pick No 3 (1W 0V 1L) -39

Argentina vs Croatia

Pick: Argentina
Odds: 2.15
SBOBet


Probable starting lineups:

Argentina:
Caballero, Salvio, Otamendi, Rojo, Tagliafico, Meza, Mascherano, Messi, Biglia, Pavon, Aguero

Croatia:
Subasic, Vrsaljko, Lovren, Vida, Strinic, Rakitic, Modric, Rebic, Kramaric, Perisic, Mandzukic

Argentina didn't start according to the expectations. They played just 1:1 against Iceland in a game in which Lionel Messi missed a penalty in the second half. Argentina dominated during the second half and had 16 attempts, while Iceland failed to record a single shot in that period. However, the final result remained 1:1. Coach Jorge Sampaoli came under big pressure and this is a 'do or die' match for him. He will surely make some changes in this game.

Croatia managed to beat Nigeria with 2:0 in the opening match. Nevertheless, the victory should not be overrated. Croatia didn't impress, they didn't register a shot on target from open play until the 92nd minute. In addition, the atmosphere in the squad is spoiled after Nikola Kalinic refused to come on as a substitute during the match with Nigeria. The 30-year-old striker, who is unhappy being a substitute, was sent home.

The quality is on Argentinian side. They have players able to make a difference, like Messi or Aguero. I believe the former World Champions will win here.
0-3 Pick lost!

Last edited by Macot; 22-06-18 at 21:08.
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Old 21-06-18, 07:47   #9
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Pick 3

1-0-1 +87

Denmark - Australia

Pick: Over 11.5 corners in FT
Odds: 3.20 @ bet365

In their next game Denmark is facing France and this immediately makes this game against Australia the one that can qualify them for the next stage. With a win here Denmark will pass through no matter what the game against France will bring them. On the other side is Australia which started with a loss 2-1 against France, and this game is also of extreme importance for them, a draw or a win here will keep their chances for qualification alive. Due to the situation and the pressure over both teams for result in this game i expect careful game play, lots of efforts in defence and with more attacks this usually brings a lot of corners. I also expect more corners for Australia because they will be in dire position to attack more and to score. In the first games of both teams we did not saw many corners but now in a must win situation like this one we will see much more.
3-5 pick lost!

Last edited by Macot; 22-06-18 at 21:08.
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Old 21-06-18, 07:53   #10
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Pick 3

+57
1/2

Over 3.0
3.45
BET365

Over is the most logical bet for this match. Argentina have extremely powerful attack with the greatest player ever in Lionel Mesi, one of the greatest attackers on the planet in Sergio Aguero and many more big names. But Argentina's biggest problem is their defense and goalkeeper. Willy Caballero is no their 1st goalkeeper, he's the backup goalie. Sergio Romero is injured so he can't be the 1st pick. On top of that Argentina's defense is really not that good and they have some bad defensive mfers that are old and not playing on top level anymore like Mascherano, and he's short as well. Croatia have good players like Modric, Rakitic, Mandzukic, Perisic, Kramaric, Rebic and more. They can be very dangerous in attack and after not scoring any real goal against Nigeria (own goal and a penalty) Croatia will attack Argentina and search for their first goal. Two great attacks and one really weak defense and Croatia's is average at best, over is something that could happen.
3-0 pick void!

Last edited by Macot; 22-06-18 at 21:09.
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Old 21-06-18, 09:00   #11
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Pick # 1

Argentina - Croatia

Pick : 1
Odds : 2.19
Sbobet

Argentina meeting Croatia at this game from World Cup finals in Russia 2018.
Home side with mistakes at the start on the championship, but sure is the team needed of the win in the second clash since draw 1:1 with Iceland today Argentina will takes the game with Croatia more seriously.
Messi and co with big critics because of the weak performance to found the way how to break icelandish wall.
Today the game is a more interesting and probable for win on Argentina because cant see Croatia to sit at the back with 9 men and defending at the whole clash. This can be a good for Argentina leading of Mess, ofcourse if he not missing penalty again
0-3 Pick lost!

Last edited by Macot; 22-06-18 at 21:09.
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Old 21-06-18, 09:22   #12
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1/4
-100

5th pick

France - Peru pick over 1.5 first half 3.40 Bet365

Peru lost from Denmark 1-0 in the first round.
France won against Australia 2-1.
Both teams had very bad games IMO.
They can and will play better.
Farfan and Grizman also several excellent players will try to make this game efficient, nice to watch and I hope with some goals.
Second round should be with more goals as some teams have nothing to lose, must go upfront and must try to score. In this case, without win, Peru will be out. France is still in group of favorites in my eyes, and they need to improve their game. Expect to see something else from these two today and over 1.5 first half.

Good luck !!!
1-0 pick lost!
__________________
Winner of the 2006/2007 POD! Winner of the 2007/2008 POD!! Winner of the 2010/2011 POD!!

Last edited by Macot; 22-06-18 at 21:09.
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Old 21-06-18, 10:27   #13
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Pick#4 (2 0 1)+122
Denmark - Australia
Pick:draw half time
Odds:2.04 on pinnacle

I think the Australian team is very close and defensive. Denmark also did not work very well in the first game against Peru.Both teams play power and wait for the opportunity to hit the station to try their luck.I think the two teams,will play cautiously in the first half and do not see a dangerous situation.
1-1 Pick won!

Last edited by Macot; 22-06-18 at 21:09.
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Old 21-06-18, 12:00   #14
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Pick # 7 (3-1-2) -39
Denmark vs Australia
Pick: Draw
Odds: 3.40
Bookie: Bet365


This match will be crucial for both sides. Australia***8217;ll likely need at least a draw in this match to keep hopes alive. I definitely see value in such an option. One way or another, the chances for a draw are way bigger than the current odds suggest.
1-1 pick won!

Last edited by Macot; 22-06-18 at 21:10.
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Old 21-06-18, 12:13   #15
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Pick 3
+378
Argentina - Croatia

1(-0.25 AH) @ 1.83
Sbobet

Football, WC 2018. The second match for these teams in the finals here on Russian teritory and since the different emotions of the firsr results now the team on Argentina more needed of the victory today. Ofcourse Croatia team with potential and team begun confident by 2-0 over Nigeria the championship. Now the team is lack of pressure to win on any prise and Argentina is with better chances for the win in the second round. Argentina with solid names in the squad, Messi, Aguero and co are solid for every top defense on the World. I believe more on Argentina expecting to win today.
0-3 Pick lost!

Good luck,
AL

Last edited by Macot; 22-06-18 at 21:10.
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Old 21-06-18, 13:28   #16
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Pick # 1 0-0-0
France vs Peru
pick: Peru +0.5 AH @ 2.49 pinnacle

In second round of the group C France welcomes Peru. I would say both teams underperformed in the first match but France at least got the 3 points. France had big problems breaking Australia down and here was no fluidity about their game. Tolisso, Pogba, Mbape, Dembele were practically invisible on the pitch and Australia was just composed but with little threat going forward. A draw would be fair but a lucky goal got France the 3 undeserved points.
Peru had all the chances against Denmark to get the 3 points but failed to score in the end. They were pacey as always and pressured Denmark for most of the match but when you can`t even hit the penalty it was bound to be unfortunate. Peru has shown in the qualification has really solid defense and before Denmark they conceded just 1 goal in 7 matches played. Attacking wise Peru has a lot to offer and with Guerrero probably starting from the start we should see more of it. Peru has scored in most of their friendlies at least 2 goals but of course this is something else.
Peru will be feeling the pressure and especially now when they have to chase the 3 points. It may just go the way France wants it but till now favorites hadn`t had their day. I see Peru capable of performing the way Australia did but also with more byte in attack. Small stake on the away surprise.
1-0 pick lost!

Last edited by Macot; 22-06-18 at 21:10.
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Old 21-06-18, 14:18   #17
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Pick #3 +202

France- Peru
France over 1.5 over goals
Odds: 2.00 pinnacle

There were more expectations from French team on the first game. However, they hardly beaten Australia team 2-1. There were no Giroud and France is lack of offense power organisations. There are news that Grioud will start XI and I expect better offensive attacks. France had 13 goal attempts on first game against solid defensive Australia. In this game, they will have more open area today.

Peru prefers make offensive pressure when opponents have ball in their half zone. Current group point situation favour and helps French team. That's why Peru needs more positive football. Overall, I expect Mbappe - Giroud and Griezmann to find more goal chances and they will likely to score more than 1 goal against defence lack of experience + height.
1-0 pick lost!

Last edited by Macot; 22-06-18 at 21:10.
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Old 21-06-18, 14:25   #18
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Pick (3) / -200
France vs. Peru

Over 1.5 HT
Odds - 3.40 / BET 365

Peru missed a lot of chances against Denmark and they also failed to convert a given penalty. It was a pathetic penalty that went to the stands Ramos style. But Peru had more than few chances to score from regular play and missed them all. France barely beat Australia 2:1 with help of VAR (Video Assistant Referee) and they were named one of the favorites, but they didn't look the part at all. Today France should show their true power and go hard at Peru and Peru must take something out of this game or they are out. It's toing to be a fun first half.
1-0 pick lost!

Last edited by Macot; 22-06-18 at 21:10.
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Old 21-06-18, 14:58   #19
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Pick #2
1-0 +225
France x Peru
Over 2.75 @ 2.85 Pinnacle

France lads have some fantastic players like Mbappe, Griezmann and Pogba. These lads are loaded with nothing but pure talent and superstars of football. Players like Mbappe may very well be next in line for Baloon D'oor when Ronaldo and Messi start to fade. Peru played against Denmark that are not that offensive minded and that game still could have easily had more than 1 goal (missed penalty as well from Peru).

Majority of lads from France are younger and they have lotta energy and will to play, Peru as South American lads are very pacey and they have great speed in their offense. With these conditions combined my call is over and goals, gl lads!
1-0 pick lost!

Last edited by Macot; 22-06-18 at 21:11.
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Old 21-06-18, 15:40   #20
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Pick #1
World Cup - Russia 2018
Game - Argentina vs. Croatia
Pick: Croatia(-0.25)AH
Odds: 3.30
Bookie: Bet365

A simple comparison, in a friendly game played between Nigeria and Argentina before the World Cup Nigeria won 4-2 in the end, this while at this edition of the World Cup Croatia defeated Nigeria 2-0 in the opening round while Argentina struggled a lot in what was just a 1-1 draw against a very defensive Icelandic team which could have scored more goals if not just settling for the draw in the end. They scored 4 minutes after conceding the opening goal just to show how unstable the defense of Argentina is.
Sure, lots of talent for Argentina up-front but they do not really play like a unit, Messi even missed a penalty kick and 2 or 3 good free-kick in the game to score a goal of his own, pretty selfish play for him, and I do not see him as a threat here against a very talented Croatia side which usually performs very well at World Cups, I remember them finishing 3rd at the 1998 edition and back than that generation was great but with players like Rakitic or Modric in midfield or Perisic, Kramaric and Madzukic up-front they are sure a threat in this fixture. I remember them defeating Spain at the Euro not so long ago and the same Spanish side won 6-1 a friendly game against Argentina before the World Cup, so really do not be surprised if Croatia win this fixture.
0-3 pick won!

Last edited by Macot; 22-06-18 at 21:11.
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Old 21-06-18, 15:51   #21
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Pick no. 2
0 0 1 -100
Argentina - Croatia
Pick: Bookings - over 3.75
Odds: 2.50 - pinnacle


Second game of group D. Argentina disappointed everybody with their 1:1 draw against Iceland that realistically should've lost that game. Argentina are much stronger team on paper than Iceland and they also missed a penalty, Iceland deserved that point for their Herculian effort but on paper in pre-game preview Argentina should've won that. Second game of Argentina won't be any easier as they're facing Croatia that are better European team than Iceland are. With many critics going in Messi's way for missing that penalty and failing to do what Cristiano Ronaldo did for Portugal we should see more frustrations from Argentina.
7 yellow cards - pick won!

Lionel Messi already retired once from his international side but then changed his mind and came back to try and win this world cup in Russia. His constant failures to lift any trophies in finals with Argentina are getting more and more frustrating for the little magician. I would not be surpirsed if he again retires from international football if Argentina doesn't do well in this world cup. This game could and will decide plenty of things in group D and it's very important. Croatia are strong European team that can play roughe if needed and Argentina as classic South American team can only be more frustrated after what happened in Iceland.

In game of this importance for Argentina that dropped 2 points against Iceland and passionate Croatian side that will maximize their defensive game-breaking effort in order to keep Messi limited, cards are bound to happen.

Last edited by Macot; 22-06-18 at 21:11.
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Old 21-06-18, 15:54   #22
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Pick #1
World Cup - Russia 2018
Game - Argentina vs. Croatia
Pick: 1
Odds: 2.11
Bookie: Pinnacle

Messi was disastrous in the game against Iceland, he did not run and missed the penalty, the rest of the Argentine team showed nothing in that match and I can say that Iceland deserved to score 1 point on that match. Croatia defeated Nigeria 2-0, but in that match they did not show an enviable quality, they had a lot of luck in that match. Croatia has a strong link center, led by Modric and Rakitic, but their defense is very bad. Also, the atmosphere in the team is not great (Kalinic was kicked out of the team) and have no imperative to win here, as the next match against Iceland is more important to them. I expect Messi to play a fantastic match today and to show why he is the best footballer in the world, I also expect from the rest of the Argentine team to show quality and to come to an important victory today. GL
0-3 Pick lost!

Last edited by Macot; 22-06-18 at 21:12.
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Old 21-06-18, 17:57   #23
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Pick #2 (1W-0V-0L) (+102)

Event: World Cup Russia 2018
Match: Argentina - Croatia
Pick: Over 10 corners
Odds: 2.20
Bookmaker: Bet365


As we all know how both teams played in round one, none of them impressed but Croatia got routine victory on contrary to Argentina. Now Croatia has problems with teams who have good wingers which Arg definitely has so in preparing to this match from their side i expect different formation and shuffle in starting 11 for Argentina. 3-5-2 formation, Mascherano back to central defender, on wings Dybala and Di Maria in attack Higuain with Aguero. If Sampaoli is smart enough to take this 11 they would put a lot of pressure on fragile Croatian defense and put 2 past their goalkeeper. On the other side they don't have defensive stability at all and i expect at least 1 from Croatia as they have good wingers in Perisic and Rebic who are fast, also Kramaric if enter from the bench. Pavon is good dribbler and much better than Meza so i expect him on the pitch also much more attempts on goal from out of the box because they didn't use that too much vs Iceland. I expect very good game, Argentina know that they can't slip, no more experiments with team so i expect them in full throttle from the beginning. Croatia has world class midfield, so set pieces and through balls are their good sides also expect much more from them in attack on contrary to Nigeria match where they had 1st shot on goal in 92nd minute.
5-2 Pick lost!

Last edited by Macot; 22-06-18 at 21:12.
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