POD 03/10/2017

[Macot]

Thanks to our sponsor Terje Grefstad

MAXIMUM ODDS = 2.80

http://forum.bettingadvice.com/showp...postcount=2833

[Macot]

POD #1
So far 0/0

English EFL Trophy:
20:45 Crewe Alexandra v Oldham Athletic, take Over 3,25 goals @2,77 Pinnacle

Well, this is a competition I like. Plenty of goals, teams play without pressure, with mixed teams and to make things even better, u23 teams of League Clubs also participate.
This time, I have chosen two teams that are scoring at ease this season. And we also have an additional positive in the fact that the teams are separated by one League.
Oldham of course are favourites, this season they are playing totally different football than in previous seasons. They are scoring and leaking goals like crazy, their recent results were 3-4, 2-2, 3-2, 1-2, 1-5, 2-1 and 3-2!
On the other side, Crewe are also a scoring team and they are in terrible form: five consecutive losses! Before that they have won 5-1 against Chesterfield. But then the poor streak followed: 0-1, 0-3, 0-5, 2-3 and 0-1!
But the point is, both teams have goals in them and I expect both to score. My call is 2-3 away win!
GL

0-1 lost

[Nesquik]

#2
Argentina, Primera Nacional B
Nueva Chicago - All Boys

Nueva Chicago to win @ 2.21 PINNACLE
1/0 so far +121

this is not a super bet but I honestly believe this match can be competitive. I have watched Petkovic a bit against a Bertenst probably carrying an injury, but Andrea this time didnt do anymore so many mistakes and was serving pretty solid. you can see from her results that she is trying to come back at a high level. she is 30, I am not sure she will do it, but her body looks well. she only needs to focus on training a lot. she was good in Washington and soon after with up and downs, but some of the won matches were really impressive as scores. so I guess she can steal at least one set from a Pliskova who relies on serve and forehand, who is still not that impressive for such a high rank IMO, and didnt do well in Beijing before. third round loss last year with a lot of 3-setters and even a first round loss in 2015 against a pretty similar Stephens. I think this surface gives an advantage to Petkovic, moreover there have been Chinese with German flags in the stands cheering for her..
What is that, mate?
You posted this pick today and won on it, it won`t be played again

[Nesquik]

ah craaaaaap, ****ing browser that stopped, let me see if I can still post it

[Nesquik]

#2
Andrea Petkovic - Karolina Pliskova
WTA Beijing, Round 2

Andrea Petkovic +1.5 sets @ 2.52 PINNACLE
1/0 so far +121

this is not a super bet but I honestly believe this match can be competitive. I have watched Petkovic a bit against a Bertenst probably carrying an injury, but Andrea this time didnt do anymore so many mistakes and was serving pretty solid. you can see from her results that she is trying to come back at a high level. she is 30, I am not sure she will do it, but her body looks well. she only needs to focus on training a lot. she was good in Washington and soon after with up and downs, but some of the won matches were really impressive as scores. so I guess she can steal at least one set from a Pliskova who relies on serve and forehand, who is still not that impressive for such a high rank IMO, and didnt do well in Beijing before. third round loss last year with a lot of 3-setters and even a first round loss in 2015 against a pretty similar Stephens. I think this surface gives an advantage to Petkovic, moreover there have been Chinese with German flags in the stands cheering for her..
0-2 lost

[lerma]

#1

Germany, Regionalliga Bayern

Garching - Nurnberg II

pick: over 3.5 goals @2.20 bet365


Garching has 3.7 goals average per match so far this season in 12 matches. Six of them were both scoring over 3.5 goals. In six matches when playing at home they failed to score twice and kept clean sheet only once.
On the other side, Nurnberg has 4.6 goals per match average. They have eight over 3.5 goal matches and seven of them were both scoring ones. They scored in each of 12 matches and kept clean sheet only once in 4:0 home win against Pipinsried and that was only match that was not both scoring one.
Last season when this two met, both matches were both scoring over 3.5 goals.
I dont see any reason why this two should stop delivering goals. I except high scoring match with goals on both sides.
Gl to all.
1-2 lost

[saab]

1W/0L +112

#2 Tennis, ATP Beijing

Sock Jack - Rublev Andrey

pick: OVER 2,5 sets
odds: 2,37
book: bet365

Each other will meet for the first time. I expect more than a 2-0/0-2 win. I can not see here Sock as a favourite here. I think Rublev can mess up here. Both of them can serv very well. So a tie break is a good option. Sock or Rublev are able to grab a win even if they are a set down. Sock`s results are bad. He could not win a match for a month. Losing in 1 rounds in Montreal, Cincy, US Open, Laver Cup. Rublev had a quite profitable start in US OPEN. He managed to end in QF. I expect that in Beijing both will the best to win it. Hopefully, we will see a 3 setter.
The match should start at 12:00 CET.
1-2 won

[Wtrylika]

Pick #2
0-0-1, -100

Fredrikstad - Ull Kisa
Over 3.5
Odds 2.55 at Unibet


Fredrikstad are among the worst in the first division in Norway with 23 points after 25 matches played. They need to look for goals today trying to improve the situation in the league. They have pretty good results in scoring, especially at home as Fredrikstad have 16 goals in twelve home matche played. They might score more than once against Ull Kisa that have concded 25 goals in 12 away matches. They are comming from a 2-5 loss against Bodo Glimt in the latest round in the division.
Still Ull Kisa is the team that is impressive in scoring. They have failed to find the net only once in their latest 11 games played. Ull Kisa have scored 44 goals in total ad even on the road are averaging two goals per match. They should dominate against weak Fredrikstad's defence that has conceded already 39 goals in total.
Fredrikstad and Ull Kisa have combined three goals in their first head-to-head match. The friendly game before the start of the season between these teams has ended with 5 goals scored and I choose to bet on OVER again.
1-2 lost

[Jiveboy]

Pick 2

0-0-1 -100

Europe » Euro U19

Austria U19 - Kosovo U19

Pick: over 4.5
Odds: 2.70 @ ladbrokes

Austria U 19 is a big favourite to win the game and it couldnt be any different. A team coming from very developed football association against a team which is going to play their first official game on such level, this is the team of Kosovo U19 with zero experience. I think that we can see the following scenario in this game in order to have this bet won. Austria of course pressing the whole game scoring most of the goals but due to the fact that the players of Kosovo will want to prove themselves and will be playing for honour i think that they will be able to score at least one goal or why not two, so at the end something like 4-1 is very possible FT score.
1-0 lost

[matze73]

#2
0-0-1 -100
Eichstatt - Munich 1860
pick ver 3
bookie: pinnacle
odds: 1.90

Eichstatt will host Minuch 1860 in the 14th round of the german Regionalliga.
Eichstatt average overall at 3.6 goals per game and at home to 4.5!
Munich have an average of 3.2 goals per game. Striker Mölders on fire (8 goals)
My call 1:3
1-2 void

[matze73]

over 3

[spkutano]

Pick No 2 (1W 0V 0L) +129

Metalurg vs PPD Zagreb

Pick: Metalurg +1.5 AH
Odds: 2.47
Pinnacle

Handball, SEHA League

Metalurg will host PPD Zagreb in the regional league. I expect a tight match that could finish either way. However, I think Metalurg are able to cover the handicap, which means they won't lose with two or more goals. The home advantage is one of the reasons, even the "VIP Arena Boris Trajkovski" will be half-empty. Nevertheless, here are the reasons for my pick:

Metalurg played against Portuguese side Sporting in the Champions League on Saturday. It was an important match in which they obtained a hard victory. Metalurg won 28:27 and the players confidence is surely higher at the moment. Goalkeeper Darko Arsic was brilliant, as well as Filip Kuzmanovski. On contrary, PPD Zagreb was trashed by Vardar. The Croatian Champions were poor on that match and lost 28:21. By the way, Metalurg played their match on Saturday, while PPD Zagreb on Sunday, which means the Macedonian club have one more day for rest. This fact should not be underestimated.

At the end I will mention that the last mutual match between Metalurg and PPD Zagreb was in February in Skopje. Metalurg won 25:22 and I am sure they will try to win again. I am not sure if they will win, but I think Metalurg are able to cover the handicap.
26-32 lost

[Etlevi]

Pick #1
England Vanarama National League
20:45 Aldershot vs Dagenham & Red
Tip: Over 3.5
Odds 2.75
Bet365

In this 14th round of the National League, Aldershot will be hosting Dagenham & Red and the two apparently share the same form with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the past 5 matches. There is just a slight difference in points among the two but the Dagenham Red stands 2nd whilst Aldershot 8th. Anyway both sides seem to produce some rich matches in terms of goals. The hosts have managed to score 20 and concede 13 so far in 13 matches. On the other hand Dag & Red has scored 26 goals and conceded 17 in total. Whilst Dagenham & Red remains the best attack with 26 goals meaning 2 goals scored per match, both sides are above average in terms of goals. Hence I would expect another rich match here and I would consider an over 3.5.
1-1 Lost

[Prusina]

Pick #1

League: Varanama National
Match: Sutton Utd - Dover
Pick: Dover (+0)
Bookmaker: Pinnacle
Odds: @2,84 ---> @2,80 for POD


Well I am going with an interesting match from Varanama National League. You could say it is a derby because of league positions. Sutton Utd and Dover are 3rd and 1st respectively. There is just 1 point beetween them (23 and 24).
I don't understand the odds really , they opened it up with @3,50 for away win and it is now @4,00 (average). Both teams have been better away than at home so far so we can't speak about home field huge advantage. Dover has been dominant in H2H , they have 6 in a row away that they didn't lose and 3 wins in a row overall , with last one being a 0-6 win so why not try the away team ?
2-2 Void

[Nesquik]

#6
Tennis - Simona Halep (ROU) v Carolina Garcia (FRA)
Pick: Halep -4.5 games
Bookie: Pinnacle
Odds: 2.69

Caroline Garcia is overrated as ****, after winning Beijing in front of an euphoric although not very professional Simona Halep that celebrated the first place position. I expect the Romanian to start once again the WTA Finals with a win. she previously did this against Pennetta (6-0 6-3), Keys (6-2 6-4) and Bouchard (6-2 6-3). for me the Frenchie has weapons, she has a non-familiar style for women, kinda like Amelie Mauresmo. but she is just a worse copy of Mauresmo. I dont really think she has the talent to become a world class. Halep on the other hand is a world class. Garcia played her best match at Beijing final and even if she will repeat it she will have problems winning it. I expect to see a well motivated Simona since her whole family is there and started training in Singapore under Cahill already one week ago. I changed this to -4.5 instead of 2:0 because the odds are fantastic, much better. I would be really shocked to see Caro doing something, she is boderline player and even in the future I dont see her in top 5. but yet again, she is solid enough, I respect her. Halep until that final dismantled players in China Open proving she can play like a world no 1.