Originally Posted by Raabe
You can not use poisson distribution in soccer betting.
Care to elaborate further? Why not? You can use any probability estimation method you want.
There are countless poisson calculators around the web that try to predict sport events.
Will they yield the profit, though, that's different story.
It's well known that Poisson has it flaws when used for football betting, but it's also known there are methods to mitigate those flaws.
I'm not going into details, as I'm not an expert on that field, but I fail to see why couldn't use Poisson for football betting.
The original question, however, was how to reproduce probabilities in the given table, and there is no doubt they were calculated using Poisson distribution - calculate yourself and check.