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Old 12-02-17, 21:10   #1
AgainstModernFootball
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Default Ekstraklasa round 22. 17-19.02



Well ... round 21 quite good...as always... 3/3

Ths time I dont see any great picks.

I will try double
Nieciecza - Lechia X2
Legia - Ruch 1

poor odds but for triple/combo its good idea.
5/10

Lechia show today nice football. Nieciecza without transfers this is totall differnt level than Legia/Lechia/Lech.

Also main defender Putiwcew is out. Huge missing for them.

Legia ...everybody know...
Yes - after and before Ajax but for sure Ekstraklasa is much more important than Europa League.
Ruch show nothing against Cracovia.
Without any quality at all.

Also I will try.
Nieciecza - Lechia 2 2.35 3/10

Small bets:
Korona Kielce - Wisla Plock home win 2,15 2/10

For me Korona in better shape, but is is equal teams. Wisla had huge lucky against Slask and Korona show something more in Cracow.

Last edited by AgainstModernFootball; 12-02-17 at 21:22.
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Old 15-02-17, 00:38   #2
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People in Plock who are responsible for Wislaīs transfers took a nap during winter break. Only Piatkowski came, from the beach/bench on Cyprus. Didnīt watch the first game but for me itīs a risky transfer. Krivets started on the bench. Payer like this has ability to find a teammate with creamy passes. Reca has more potential than he showed last autumn. Kanté makes little wind around himself. He has some decent skills. He woud probably score a lot more if he played in a better club in ekstraklasa. It would surprise me if Wisla Plock (with their limited offensive) is among 8 best teams after 30 rounds.

I have other view about Arka for example. Maybe they will not climb into first 8 of the table but I donīt think they will be relegated. Decent signings during this winter break. Zjawinski is out, Trytko and Barisic instead for him. Arka truly needed new options in attack. Abbott got his years and with his physical way of playing he will catch injuries. There is a deep in offensive with Blad, Hofbauer, Kakoko, Marcus Da Silva, Bozok, Nalepa, Szwoch, Formella etc. Not all of them are in great shape for this moment and they are not "Legia material as it looks today" but they are enough to secure new ekstraklasa contract. Defense doesnīt look like a sieve either. With little luck they might even win the cup and participate in EL-qualification...

Gornik Leczna, another relegation candidate after Wisla Plock. Strange team. They can surprise in occasional games. Their squad is build with short term thinking. Smuda as coach is like a "cry for help". Home games in Lublin is another burden.

My last choice is of course Ruch. Uncertain financial situation, limited squad, punished with four points deduction. If Mr. Ruch himself (Cwielong) leaves the club then it doesnīt look promising...

Cracovia is way to strong to leave ekstraklasa but I donīt expect them to make a rocket spring (EL-spot) either. I think "fireman" Urban will rescue Slask as well. His spanish language skills can maybe improve Sito Riera and Joan Román? Despite short squad there are still players like Alvarinho, Morioka, Pich, Madej. Defense makes errors but on the paper it still looks solid comparing to many others. Only 21 scored goals, worst result in the league together with Gornik Leczna. Can Bilinski and Mervo unlock themselves soon? One thing beside the pitch that can "push" the club into right direction is the selling (city of Wroclaw is the owner today) that will take place sooner or later...

Best Regards
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Old 15-02-17, 18:32   #3
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Mr. Ruch? Lol, Srutwa, Bizacki, Fornalik, Wlecialowski, even Surma. But not Cwielong.
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Old 16-02-17, 16:30   #4
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Cwielong is born in Chorzow and started his career in Ruch. He played in Ruch for several years. If such player "committed" to Ruch leaves them now when they are having uphill battle in front of them...then itīs really bad situation. He is an experienced player that brings quality in attack. So yes I would call him Mr. Ruch.

This round looks tight like always. Probierz probably didnīt get much sleep first night after 0-3 in Gdansk. I think we will see much more aggresive and offensive Jagiellonia against Gornik Leczna. Home win very probable. Cracovia vs Pogon donīt know if I am the only one to give Pogon more favour. I would go for 5/10 X2. Same goes for Zaglebie vs Arka, X2 5/10. Arka looks more than relegation candidate for me and I donīt think Zaglebie will copy EL-spot this season. Wisla Krakow signed many players this winter, new coach arrived as well. Those foreign players beside Stilic sound anonymous to me but I doubt that they are cucumbers. Slask will get draw at most with or without another "Pawelek". Wisla X2 looks solid. Lech can get hard time in Gliwice. I would not put any large stakes here...

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Old 16-02-17, 16:44   #5
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Quote:
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Cracovia vs Pogon donīt know if I am the only one to give Pogon more favour. I would go for 5/10 X2.
Pogon have just done one of the most interesting transfer in ekstraklasa this winter CLICK
Definitely I can see BTS @1,90 in this game.
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Old 17-02-17, 09:50   #6
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Jagiellonia v Gornik Leczna
Jagiellonia: Mackiewicz (8/0 m), Swiderski (20/2 f, suspended), Tomasik (18/0 d, doubtful)
Gornik Leczna: Jurisa (4/1 m), Mierzejewski (2/0 d), Drewniak (19/2 m, 2nd top scorer)

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more then 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com
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Old 17-02-17, 15:24   #7
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Absolutely agree with bet on Lechia today- they must win this kind of matches.
Also I wanted to bet on Lech tomorrow but 1,65 away in Polish league0 no thanks even if I watched Pogon-Piast where hosts won 2:1 and were a much better side and Piast looked like have strenght only for 20-30 minutes so Lech shouldn't have problems.
+ I see two close games Slask- Wisla and Cracovia- Pogon and both easily should be BTS.

Good luck!
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Old 17-02-17, 18:05   #8
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Jagiellonia have the game under control. Gornik Leczna look clueless how to make things right. Kostia "the Tsar" Vassiljev is involved in both goals. To bad he is leaving, ekstraklasa will be one profile poorer.
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Old 17-02-17, 18:17   #9
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Quote:
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Jagiellonia have the game under control. Gornik Leczna look clueless how to make things right. Kostia "the Tsar" Vassiljev is involved in both goals. To bad he is leaving, ekstraklasa will be one profile poorer.
Where aND when is he going? Thx.

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Old 17-02-17, 19:04   #10
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I believe his contract will expire 30.06.2017.
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Old 18-02-17, 17:33   #11
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Nieciecza - Lechia 1-1
Korona - Wisla 4-1
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Old 18-02-17, 18:30   #12
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Pity that Lechia couldnt keep the win. I know that Nieciecza showed solid football in 2nd half and definitely got a deserved point but come on... what was the defender doing in IT, such a stupid penalty.
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Old 18-02-17, 23:51   #13
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stupid but 100% correct penatly. **** happnes and it was Malouca - for me for sure top 3 central defender in the league from other clubs than Legia. This is maybe only one guy from Lechia who I want to see in Legia.

Last edited by AgainstModernFootball; 19-02-17 at 00:07.
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Old 19-02-17, 12:47   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by compton View Post
Cwielong is born in Chorzow and started his career in Ruch. He played in Ruch for several years. If such player "committed" to Ruch leaves them now when they are having uphill battle in front of them...then itīs really bad situation. He is an experienced player that brings quality in attack. So yes I would call him Mr. Ruch.
When You write "Mr. Ruch" one can think that he's some kind of club legend, over 300 hundred appearances, lots of goals. Well no. About 150 games in Ruch (in Ekstraklasa only 45 with 9 goals), sucked in Wisla so he went back to Ruch, sucked in Bochum so he went back to Ruch. And now is the first to leave the club because of financial and structural problems. More like a Mr. Douchebag for me.

------------------

I know the game already ended but don't bet on goals in Slask games. Don't forget who's coaching them. Jan Urban. Boring, defensive style, without any bright ideas in attack. They also lack an Ekstraklasa level striker.

----------------------

It's highly unlikely that Jagiellonia will be able to meet Vassiljev's demands so he will leave them after season. Where will he go? Probably Russia or Middle East. He's already 32, never played on better level than our league. He's a star here but I don't see any western european club taking him.
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Old 19-02-17, 14:22   #15
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Yes, Vassiljev will surely go east. Urban isnīt a tactical mentor but his "uncle grandpa" atmosphere in the locker room will be enough at the end. I canīt understand how Wisla coud lose against Slask. Wislaīs EL-dream (if there was any) is fading away right now...

Lechia looks like an unfinished puzzle. Expensive points lost in Nieciecza. Third time lucky in championship play-off against Termalica? Lech is impressing. Interesting appetizer against Pogon in next round. Piast with current squad shoud not be worry about their league existence but you never know. Górnik - Piast in the next round is like a 6 points game.
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Old 19-02-17, 18:40   #16
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WTF happened to Legia?
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Old 19-02-17, 20:28   #17
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Nothing. Necid is not Nikolic. We have Odidja, Gui, Radovic, Kazaiszwili - great gguys but not as wingers but only on "10" .

We have problem with scoring goals.
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Old 20-02-17, 00:15   #18
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Problem with striker also but I think it was a classical disregard.
3rd goal came like this:


How it is possible to leave 3 players alone in penalty area- I don't know.

Anyway next round Legia plays at home against Termalica and there is 2,1 odd for handicap win and I will go with max stake surely. All away games which left until league will be shared will be a really hard- Zaglebie, Lechia, Lech, Cracovia. No way to lose more points at home.
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Old 20-02-17, 06:15   #19
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Quote:
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Nothing. Necid is not Nikolic. We have Odidja, Gui, Radovic, Kazaiszwili - great gguys but not as wingers but only on "10" .

We have problem with scoring goals.
I dont get why they bought Necid. That guy is unbelivably overrated junk. Same pathetic move by the club as Piast buying Papadopoulos. Useless players, really. Cant control the ball, cant score etc.
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Old 20-02-17, 06:44   #20
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Quote:
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I dont get why they bought Necid.
loan


Quote:
Originally Posted by Andrew View Post
That guy is unbelivably overrated junk.
I dont know we he is reallu overraated. He have some skills. For me he have much more "interesting" CV than Prijovic. But of course Necid is not Nikolic

Quote:
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Same pathetic move by the club as Piast buying Papadopoulos. Useless players, really. Cant control the ball, cant score etc.
Papadopulous for king like Piast, Arka, Wisla Plock etc = 2nd "8" teams is for me solid move. But of course nothing more.
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Old 20-02-17, 14:16   #21
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GUys what about over today ? I have some "feeling" about it....
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Old 20-02-17, 15:57   #22
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GUys what about over today ? I have some "feeling" about it....
why not Both2Score!? Odds around 2.00 looks great and if you mean it could be a over, then with a Both2Score, because i canīt see here one of them teams to score 3 goals.
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Old 21-02-17, 12:19   #23
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Very hard round coming up. Slightly thinking about Lechia -0,75 against Cracovia as they tend to take these games at home and odds are good; originally thought that Legia -1,5 is a must but after some more research, its not a must as its hardly a value. Nieciecza is enormously annoying defensively, can score upfront and Legia not only has hard game away at Ajax but also dont have any strikers to score. Im sure that after the loss against Ruch and probably being eliminated in EL, they would kill for any one goal garbage win against Termalica. This is not a setup to take a fav at high AH imho.
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Old 21-02-17, 12:37   #24
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Sometimes **** happens, that's all. Legia played very bad but Ruch was so lucky to score 2 wonder goals in first half. It's too early to already judge Necid. Nikolic in his first games was caught offside every 5 minutes, Duda in debut against Slask wasted two 100% chances, Radovic were really shameful in his first weeks (though soon after he arrived his father passed away so he couldn't concentrate on football). And Vadis? Many "fans" wanted fatso to get out from club after 2-3 games. Thank God for such experts like me or Teo that instantly spot out his vision and great pass.

Legia overthink their attacks when they're losing the game. You just have to send the ball to wing, 5 guys in penalty area and You hope that one of them will get the ball. But they exchange too many meaningless passes, move the ball from one side to another without any purpose.

Last edited by Fulerre; 21-02-17 at 12:43.
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Old 21-02-17, 12:42   #25
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Indeed Ruch scored 2 amazing goals they might not score for the rest of the season. But Legia had hard time already in first game away and they arent convincing. Reminds me of time when they fought in ChL qualification (sure different coach) and kept losing points in the league on regular basis. Now its about the same.
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