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Spanish and Portuguese league picks and analysis discussed here. Premier and 1.div.

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Old 16-02-17, 22:59   #1
Macot
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Default Spain La Liga 17/2/2017

Date: 17.2.2017
Sport: Football
Event: Spain Primera Division
Start time: 20:45
Game: Granada v Betis Sevilla
Pick: Granada (0:0) AH @2,10 or more!
Bookies Offer: Pinnacle @2,13!
Stake: 10/10
Analysis:
Andalucian derby and a very important match for Granada.
Granada as every year are among the most relegation threatened teams in the League. Currently 19th they are still only 5 points behind rescue so the time is coming when they will start use all the weaponry to secure survival. Home games will be the most important ones and their first win after a while came in the previous home encounter against Las Palmas (1-0). Now they will play neighbours from Sevilla, who are in much better position and who themselves are terrible away from home.
The point is, Granada managed to collect a good team in all lines. They can also count on a good manager now, Lucas Alcaraz knows the Club, he was here before and managed to survive in 2013/14.
Also important fact to point out is that they were recieving help from their Andalucian neighbours in the past: Sevilla have them 1-4 win last season and before that there were other suspicious matches.
Perhaps it is too early in the season to go for conspiracy theories, but my guess is, this Granada team will be tough to beat at home. My call is 2-1 home win!
GL!
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Old 16-02-17, 23:02   #2
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17/02/2017 20:45
Granada CF — Real Betis
FootballSpainPrimera Division 2016/2017
1X2 / Ordinary Time
Home(2.94)3.05
Betfair
Draw(3.23)3.40
Bet3000
Away(2.56)2.71
1xBet
4013
18/02/2017 12:00
Real Sporting de Gijon — Atletico Madrid
FootballSpainPrimera Division 2016/2017
1X2 / Ordinary Time
Home(7.08)8.20
Marathon
Draw(4.19)4.50
Bet3000
Away(1.51)1.56
Noxwin
409
18/02/2017 15:15
Real Madrid — RCD Espanyol
FootballSpainPrimera Division 2016/2017
1X2 / Ordinary Time
Home(1.17)1.20
Wwin
Draw(7.75)9.00
Betfair
Away(16.66)21.00
bet365
408
18/02/2017 17:30
Deportivo La Coruna — Alaves
FootballSpainPrimera Division 2016/2017
1X2 / Ordinary Time
Home(2.02)2.08
Wwin
Draw(3.28)3.45
Coolbet
Away(4.15)4.42
Pinnacle Sports
408
18/02/2017 19:45
Sevilla FC — Eibar
FootballSpainPrimera Division 2016/2017
1X2 / Ordinary Time
Home(1.52)1.57
Wwin
Draw(4.48)4.80
Bet3000
Away(6.18)7.00
bet365
408
19/02/2017 11:00
Real Sociedad — Villarreal CF
FootballSpainPrimera Division 2016/2017
1X2 / Ordinary Time
Home(1.93)2.01
Noxwin
Draw(3.43)3.65
Marathon
Away(4.29)4.50
Bet3000
397
19/02/2017 15:15
Valencia CF — Athletic Bilbao
FootballSpainPrimera Division 2016/2017
1X2 / Ordinary Time
Home(2.33)2.40
Bet3000
Draw(3.33)3.50
Betfair
Away(3.19)3.35
Marathon
408
19/02/2017 17:30
Celta de Vigo — Osasuna
FootballSpainPrimera Division 2016/2017
1X2 / Ordinary Time
Home(1.59)1.64
1xBet
Draw(4.13)4.50
Bet3000
Away(5.87)6.22
Pinnacle Sports
408
19/02/2017 19:45
FC Barcelona — Leganes
FootballSpainPrimera Division 2016/2017
1X2 / Ordinary Time
Home(1.08)1.12
Coolbet
Draw(11.85)15.18
Pinnacle Sports
Away(30.04)41.00
bet365
408
20/02/2017 19:45
Malaga CF — U.D. Las Palmas de Gran Canaria
FootballSpainPrimera Division 2016/2017
1X2 / Ordinary Time
Home(1.97)2.03
Wwin
Draw(3.48)3.70
Bet3000
Away(4.06)4.35
Triobet
398
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Old 16-02-17, 23:25   #3
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Granada has the second worst offensive line and the second worst defense in the division with 48 conceded goals. At headquarters has 7 to 10 under 2,5. Betis total has 14 to 21 under 2,5 and 5 to 9 under 2,5 away from home. Score quite difficult and has the third worst offensive line with 21 goals assets. The two groups have the worst attacks in class, do very often small score, do not expect an open match, I will go with the few goals
GRANADA CF vs REAL BETIS BALOMPIE @@ +2.50 Under, odds 1.79
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Old 16-02-17, 23:36   #4
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Granada CF v Real Betis
Granada CF: Gastón Silva (11/0 d), Saunier (9/0 d), Foulquier (10/0 d), Krhin (6/0 m)(all doubtful), Lombán (15/2 d, suspended)
Real Betis: Pezzella (21/1 d, suspended), Ceballos (15/0 m, suspended), José Carlos (5/0 d), Navarro (5/0 d), Gutiérrez (12/1 m), Joaquín (16/3 m, 2nd top scorer)

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more then 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com
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Old 17-02-17, 18:48   #5
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agree about granada .... worth a shoot .... not high couse this type of team under such pressure and bad numbers can colapse if something starts wrong ...

granada also with some missings in back & kravets upfront eyt front line many choices ...

starting line up 5-4-1

ochoa; foulquier , hongla, ingleson , silva, hector ; carcela, pereira, uche , wakaso ; ramos


betis missing two imp units specially ceballos shining last games but also pezella ... still betis shall stop at soem point their bad away stats .. but should not be fav here ..
big sevilla derby next btw wich may or not be a factor ...

Adán; Piccini, Mandi, Donk, Tosca, Durmisi; Rubén Pardo, Petros, Jonas Martin; Álex Alegría y Rubén Castro.

Last edited by litost; 17-02-17 at 18:50.
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Old 17-02-17, 19:26   #6
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Old 18-02-17, 00:44   #7
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Next month I will challenge myself in Spain Primera (don't follow this league). I will use some stats only to pick games.

I checked this week's games and one of the games that I like is:
Real Sociedad vs Villareal
Pick: Villareal +0.5 @1.91 (Pinnacle)

Useful comments about injuries and other information, that I left out are welcome!
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Old 18-02-17, 17:44   #8
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Awesome achievement from Morata today in the 33. minute!
Source: flashscore.com
[IMG][/IMG]
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Old 18-02-17, 18:05   #9
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Old 19-02-17, 02:32   #10
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Valencia whole league has 15 to 21 over 2,5 and 16 to 21 goal goal, while Bilbao is 14 to 22 over 2,5 and 14 to 22 goal goal. Both teams score and concede a goal, I will suggest both team to score
CF VALENCIA vs ATHLETIC BILBAO @@ Both team to score, odds 1.75
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Old 19-02-17, 11:55   #11
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Barcelona - Leganes
Barcelona (-3,5) AH
Odds: 2.9
Bookie: Unibet


Champions League match between PSG and Barcelona had become an ornament to the European week. But in fact, everything turned out well, as usual out in matches against Barcelona same notebooks outsiders. What's even more frustrating for Barça is the fact that the bill is completely on the game. In that match they had only a few moments for a goal. Of course, today's hosts coach Luis Enrique has been criticized and some of the media have already sent the Spaniard into retirement. But coach steadfastly suffered a stroke of fate and said that now he is busy preparing for the upcoming match against Leganés.
Leganes is a great rival, to let off steam. Small club from Madrid started the season in great style. For the first 5 games were scored 7 points, including a draw with Atletico Madrid 0-0 and 1-5 defeat by Barcelona. The remaining 17 teams were won matches, the same 2 wins and 10 defeats received. It has brought the team to a distance of 2 points to the relegation zone. Even a game in hand does not make a difference because today will play against Barcelona furious. In general, there are serious doubts that the club will not go to the Segunda. By the way, in the last round Leganes conceded in his field direct competitor Sporting 0-2. In 2017, the team scored only one match out of 6. And some statistics: Barcelona won at home 6 wins, 3 of which ended with a difference of 4 or more goals.
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