Here will try to present my new project.
It is far to be finished, but as most of you already know the main software was build based on users suggestions and more than 75% of the features were added after you convinced me that would be a good idea and very useful for users.
Now it is about the new Rating Maker Software. This is intended to allow you to create and test your own rating system. I am not very sue will be possible to create all the bricks and tools you will need but the idea is to be close on you and if you will try to create a new rating system and will not find something to add there I will create it.
For example, I do not know, you think that is a sound strategy to consider the last 5 games goals home 60 % , the head to head meetings -10% and other ingredients the rest ...will create this, eventually test against past results to make an idea...etc.
This will not be easy to create but with your help I am sure will create it.
Now, in the picture, as preview, is the first system I created (will be finished soon).
It will be based on football essence : the goal
Based on goals probabilities will be calculated all the probabilities for all markets. Of course the problem is how will find the goals probabilities.
By testing different scenarios.
I will start considering last 5 seasons goals between similar teams (as ELO and/or form) then the probabilities will be adjusted manually (based on our experience) or automatically considering different situations. - an important player is missing, bad weather conditions,...etc..
All these will affect attack or defense strength with few percents then will affect goals probabilities.
Of course the attack pr defense strength will be adjusted manually if you want and you are sure you know what you are doing .
For example if 1 important striker is missing on the home team and the weather conditions are bed will try to go down the probabilities for 1,2,3,..goals (with different percents) but to increase the probability for 0 goals. ....
This is the main idea and below is a preview.