My Lay strategy

[d@du18]

Yes Milos, I totally agree with your opinions, but I'll give you an example:

Saturday I think all of you saw Man.Utd as favorite, and you would never layed them, but they didn't win...so if I make a filter, I could miss many of this games...

Another example might be Omonia and if I haven't played on them, I would have an even smaller profit...

I'll make my strategy work better but this needs time to achieve some experience to see what is wrong and fix it.

Thanks to both of you for your advice and support !!

[Milos NS]

My point is not to take the teams with over 75% win at home in last few years... If u take closer look at stats you will see that Omonia and Man.Utd win average of 75% games at home per season (Man.Utd had on some seasons 90% home wins)...

That is not enough for you to make profit... But Arsenal, AC Milan or some other team gives more and u should trail those teams if u want to make profit...

[d@du18]

Yes, I understand, I'll try to make some changes...thanks for you link.

[d@du18]

Damn...

[d@du18]

What the heck...I'm trying until the month ends so I can calculate my profit. Maybe the posted images were unlucky so I'll write them :

Twente v W Bremen Lay Under 3.5 @ 1.54

Schalke v Hapoel Tel Aviv Lay Schalke @ 1.49

Rangers v Valencia Lay Under 3.5 @ 1.31

Panathinaikos v Rubin Kazan Lay Under 2.5 @ 1.66

Man Utd v Bursaspor Lay Under 3.5 @ 1.68

Lyon v Benfica Lay Under 3.5 @ 1.31

Inter v Tottenham Lay Under 3.5 @ 1.48

[d@du18]

It's incredible...if I had back all of them I'm preety sure I would have lost most of the bets

[d@du18]

Twente v W Bremen Lay Under 3.5 @ 1.54
Schalke v Hapoel Tel Aviv Lay Schalke @ 1.49
Rangers v Valencia Lay Under 3.5 @ 1.31
Panathinaikos v Rubin Kazan Lay Under 2.5 @ 1.66
Man Utd v Bursaspor Lay Under 3.5 @ 1.68
Lyon v Benfica Lay Under 3.5 @ 1.31
Inter v Tottenham Lay Under 3.5 @ 1.48

Profit -20.5u. Maybe tommorow

[eldie57]

3. suggestion here: take a look at this link: http://data2.7m.cn/database/

Statistics from all countries u can imagine in last few years, and see and write down "home" teams that doesn't lose often at home... South America is my cup of tea, so I could give you some pointers there, but in Euro leagues for example you should avoid Genoa in Serie A, Atl.Bilbao in Primera etc...

All in all your idea is more than interesting, but need much more work than plain LAY all the favorites approach...

Hope u will dig into this...

hi, i know this mite sound stupid but how do you put this bet online as i dont see this kind of bet on the bookies i use?

[Milos NS]

hi, i know this mite sound stupid but how do you put this bet online as i dont see this kind of bet on the bookies i use?

Sorry, I would like to answer and help you on this, but even my English is quite good, I do not understand single word in your sentence

[tantaru]

Sorry, I would like to answer and help you on this, but even my English is quite good, I do not understand single word in your sentence

Betfair, i suppose...

[chileantipster]

If you want to add to your strategy some south american teams, you should lay on Audax Italiano, Universidad de Chile and San Felipe (all from Chile) and Newell's this weekend.

Cheers

[d@du18]

If you want to add to your strategy some south american teams, you should lay on Audax Italiano, Universidad de Chile and San Felipe (all from Chile) and Newell's this weekend.

Cheers

Thanks mate, but I know U de Chile are very good...I'll keep that in mind

[chileantipster]

Thanks mate, but I know U de Chile are very good...I'll keep that in mind

Cobreloa with some important players out... forget about lay Universidad de Chile.

[jonstew65]

I used to make a killing with their lays on betfair but betfair pulled out of Canada this year Online betting is legal in canada, i don't know why they would pull out of canada. It sucks.
Pinnacle in my opinion has the best value...they are almost same as betfair and sometimes slightly better.