BetOnBasket
27-07-06, 17:50
GAME: Chicago Sky (3-21) at Washington Mystics (12-13)
SPREAD: Washington -11 TOTAL: 158
GAME: Charlotte Sting (7-18 ) at Minnesota Lynx (9-15)
SPREAD: Minnesota -3.5 TOTAL: 151.5
Phoenix Mercury (11-13) at Houston Comets (14-12)
SPREAD: Houston -4 TOTAL: 149.5
Chicago Sky (3-21) at Washington Mystics (12-13)
Washington coach said: "As long as we take care of our business at home the rest of the way, we'll make the playoffs"
Mystics forward DeLisha Milton-Jones said. "We've lost our last two games and losing can be just as contagious as winning, so I think our game against Chicago is definitely a must-win game."
Spread is set at -11 and from first glance seems like it's too high, but do you know that in 8 games won at home Mystics' average winning spread is 14.5 points, while Mystics offensive-defensive stats in those games are 90.1-73.1? And more of that Mystics have lost last 2 home games to Seattle and Phoenix. So today they should be really motivated to win against not motivated Chicago Sky. Chicago away record is awful 1-11, while average their score is 69.7-78.8. So the spread is set correctly and even a bit apprehensively because the real spread should be 12-13 points.
Now let's try to draw the scenario of today's game looking into last 10 game team performance.
Chicago scored 70+ points in 9 of last 10 games while Mystics have allowed 70+ points in all 10 games. Chicago average in those 9 games was 76 points and Washington is allowing 78.7 in 9 games (excluding 96 pts from Phoenix). So talking about Chicago offensive chances it's possible to say that they could score somewhere in middle between 70-80..
Washington is very agressive at home on both court sides and that record of 90.1-73.1 in won games tells a lot about their manner to play at home when they need a win. Washington already played with Chicago 2 times this season and won both games 89-83 at home and 83-75 away. In 7 of 8 played quarters Mystics average was 23 points and in all 7 quarters they were able to score more than 20 points. So looks like have Mystics have all chances to score their "home winning" average by scoring about 89-92 points if they will find their rythm and that fact that Chicago allowing 86.8 pts in last 7 games only increasing my confidence in good offensive performance from Mystics.
In both games this season Chicago showed their character but they still don't have class to win games and now they don't have motivation to play away because there is no their crowd which helps them in their home games. I expect easy win for Mystics today and I doubt that this one will be defensive style game. So my prediction is Washington confident win in open-style game.
Predicted score: Washington 89 - 74 Chicago
Pick: Over 158.5 (medium-high stake)
Pick: WAS -11 (low stake)
SPREAD: Washington -11 TOTAL: 158
GAME: Charlotte Sting (7-18 ) at Minnesota Lynx (9-15)
SPREAD: Minnesota -3.5 TOTAL: 151.5
Phoenix Mercury (11-13) at Houston Comets (14-12)
SPREAD: Houston -4 TOTAL: 149.5
Chicago Sky (3-21) at Washington Mystics (12-13)
Washington coach said: "As long as we take care of our business at home the rest of the way, we'll make the playoffs"
Mystics forward DeLisha Milton-Jones said. "We've lost our last two games and losing can be just as contagious as winning, so I think our game against Chicago is definitely a must-win game."
Spread is set at -11 and from first glance seems like it's too high, but do you know that in 8 games won at home Mystics' average winning spread is 14.5 points, while Mystics offensive-defensive stats in those games are 90.1-73.1? And more of that Mystics have lost last 2 home games to Seattle and Phoenix. So today they should be really motivated to win against not motivated Chicago Sky. Chicago away record is awful 1-11, while average their score is 69.7-78.8. So the spread is set correctly and even a bit apprehensively because the real spread should be 12-13 points.
Now let's try to draw the scenario of today's game looking into last 10 game team performance.
Chicago scored 70+ points in 9 of last 10 games while Mystics have allowed 70+ points in all 10 games. Chicago average in those 9 games was 76 points and Washington is allowing 78.7 in 9 games (excluding 96 pts from Phoenix). So talking about Chicago offensive chances it's possible to say that they could score somewhere in middle between 70-80..
Washington is very agressive at home on both court sides and that record of 90.1-73.1 in won games tells a lot about their manner to play at home when they need a win. Washington already played with Chicago 2 times this season and won both games 89-83 at home and 83-75 away. In 7 of 8 played quarters Mystics average was 23 points and in all 7 quarters they were able to score more than 20 points. So looks like have Mystics have all chances to score their "home winning" average by scoring about 89-92 points if they will find their rythm and that fact that Chicago allowing 86.8 pts in last 7 games only increasing my confidence in good offensive performance from Mystics.
In both games this season Chicago showed their character but they still don't have class to win games and now they don't have motivation to play away because there is no their crowd which helps them in their home games. I expect easy win for Mystics today and I doubt that this one will be defensive style game. So my prediction is Washington confident win in open-style game.
Predicted score: Washington 89 - 74 Chicago
Pick: Over 158.5 (medium-high stake)
Pick: WAS -11 (low stake)