View Full Version : Dinamo - Lubin(27.07)
_PierrePoetik
16-07-06, 11:40
2.20 3.20 2.75 :arrow: baw
first match 1:1
now baw have :
Dinamo Minsk @ 1.65 - X @ 3.5 - Zaglebie Lubin @ 4.3
I know it's early, but i just can't understand how a team who drew with big dose of luck (huge defence's mistake) can be such a favourite.
Zaglebie had more chances to score (and more dangerous ones), but poor finishing led them to a 1-1 draw.
1.65 odds means >60 % for home team to win, and from what i saw, they don't deserve for it. And Zaglebie have fairly more chances to win than odds shows.
i've took it small (3/10) stake both x2 @ 1.93 & 2 @ 4.3
That's right, Zaglebie had the better chances and was slightly better, but the game overall was very poor and don't forget that Zaglebie only scored after a horrible defending mistake too, the Dinamo defender was just about to clear the ball and slipped on it so the Zaglebie forward was one on one. Nice finish though 8)
I already said after the first leg that I expect a draw in the second leg, 0-0 seems likely since both teams failed to show any organized attacks and both goals were lucky. I will play the X low here and I fancy the under with medium stakes.
That's why the odds should be more equal .
Odds are identical to the first leg :wink:
Yeah you could argue about value on 2, to me, there is none, but good luck for you and I wouldn't be too disappointed if Zaglebie prevailed, would be good for our football ;)
I must add here that this odd change was not without reasons.
In the meantime Dinamo won league game against BATE Borysow 4:2 (league leader) and Zaglebie lost against Groclin/Dyskobolia 0:3 in a test game.
However still odds above 4,00 for AW has its value here. I watched first game and I must admit it was very poor game and Zaglebie played very bad. However a goal for Dinamo was a gift and Zaglebie playing really bad, seemed to be a bit better team even though.
Zaglebie in last edition of Polish Cup after losing home against worst teams was able to win away and promote. This is different story and polish clubs are really bad in European Cups, so I still see Dinamo chances bigger, but I will take away win because of odd value.
I have decide to leave that one but believe me, it would be a surprise and a complete disaster if such team as Zaglebie went through. They have been playing such disastrously recently that I am just lost for words. Dinamo made a good impression in Poland, they had some ideas how to get into Zaglebie`s area and they almost did it. The best pick here would be under 2,5 or Dinamo to advance added to a combo.
I have decide to leave that one but believe me, it would be a surprise and a complete disaster if such team as Zaglebie went through. They have been playing such disastrously recently that I am just lost for words. Dinamo made a good impression in Poland, they had some ideas how to get into Zaglebie`s area and they almost did it. The best pick here would be under 2,5 or Dinamo to advance added to a combo.
Hahaha :lol: good impression you are saying :lol: did you watched this game :?: I think no.
Zaglebie is in the middle of preparation to season.
Before match against Dinamo in Lubin they had very hard phisical training.
They had speed and stamina trainings for the past 2 weeks so they should run faster.
Of course Zaglebie test games especialy this against Groclin was horrible but match against Dinamo isn't a test match. This is completly different motivation etc.
Every one are complaining what Zaglebie played in Lubin - ok but tell me what the hell Dinamo played.
There were moments that completly exhausted Zaglebie players look way better than belarussian side. After all the match were boring becouse of temperature and lack of strenght at Lubin side.
I am not telling you to bet on Zaglebie - that is not my point - I want tell you all things which makes this game (in Lubin) so poor.
We'll see.
I bet on Zaglebie Odd some about 3 or even 4 PLN as a singel game.
I have decide to leave that one but believe me, it would be a surprise and a complete disaster if such team as Zaglebie went through. They have been playing such disastrously recently that I am just lost for words. Dinamo made a good impression in Poland, they had some ideas how to get into Zaglebie`s area and they almost did it. The best pick here would be under 2,5 or Dinamo to advance added to a combo.
Hahaha :lol: good impression you are saying :lol: did you watched this game :?: I think no.
Zaglebie is in the middle of preparation to season.
Before match against Dinamo in Lubin they had very hard phisical training.
They had speed and stamina trainings for the past 2 weeks so they should run faster.
Of course Zaglebie test games especialy this against Groclin was horrible but match against Dinamo isn't a test match. This is completly different motivation etc.
Every one are complaining what Zaglebie played in Lubin - ok but tell me what the hell Dinamo played.
There were moments that completly exhausted Zaglebie players look way better than belarussian side. After all the match were boring becouse of temperature and lack of strenght at Lubin side.
I am not telling you to bet on Zaglebie - that is not my point - I want tell you all things which makes this game (in Lubin) so poor.
We'll see.
I bet on Zaglebie Odd some about 3 or even 4 PLN as a singel game.
I did watch the majority of that boring clash. Total crap from both sides, indeed. Lots of turnovers from the hosts should have resulted in a 2nd goal to the guests, pity it did not occur, cause it would have made Dinamo a clear favourite on Thursday. We will see, whether they can score at least one...they have to in order to think about something more...
scOOtt for me u really watchd different match... but maybe couse u are from Lubin...:)
Zaglebie playd horrible football ... expecialy in 2nd half... for me it's no way for advice with this style ...
scOOtt for me u really watchd different match... but maybe couse u are from Lubin...:)
Zaglebie playd horrible football ... expecialy in 2nd half... for me it's no way for advice with this style ...
Ok I did not tell you guys that Zaglebie played perfectly.
This game was very very poor. But I watched Zaglebie all the time last season. They worked very hard to play in this fu**g Uefa Cup and I tell you guys. You will see a lot different Zaglebie in Minsk.
You guys always speak about poor Zaglebie in Lubin match. But tell me what did Dinamo played so beautifull which makes you all this kind of opinion that Dinamo will advance without bigger problems.
I bulid my optimistic theory about last season brilliant play by Zaglebie side.
I want only one thing in this forthcomming match - GREAT SHOW for the supporters. Let better team win this one.
Dynamo Minsk v Zaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin in the first match prevailed, they created the situation goal which weren\'t able to exploit. The goal for the Dynamo was scored after the simple misconception and the incomprehension between the goalkeeper Liberda and Alunderis. According to the Klejndist coach the time is working to the benefit of Zaglebie which are under the preparation for the season. After the match, activists and coaches were full of hope before the revenge.
Dynamo is in the route of season, but before the revenge will have the two-week break. They are playing better on away (5-1-0, goals 11-2), however at home are playing badly (3-2-3, goals 13-12).
In order to go through to the next round footballers of Zaglebie Lubin must shoot at least one goal. If will play courageously can even win on the difficult land of the rival which after all is a weaker team.
Draw or Zaglebie Lubin Win
Blah I though I will be original, but well obviously others had similiar idea:) In first game I took handi 1,5 on Dinamo, and now looking at the odds I have to take x2.
First thing is Zaglebie now should be in better form than two weeks ago, cause league is starting this weekend. I watched first leg- and it was really hard to watch, especially in 1st half;) Anyway, Zaglebie despite playing bad had several good chances, but somehow couldn't direct the ball into net. I know that Dinamo came to defend, and eventually score away goal(which they did, after one of most stupid mistakes I saw), but they didn't impressed me at all. Especially considering they were already into league season, while Zaglebie on preparation stage.
Besides I still remember match for like two or three years ago(?) when Dinamo met Odra Wodzislaw in intertoto. Odra came to intertoto from 9th place! AFAIR no one else wanted to sign in :lol: And Odra just wanted to play some friendlies, but still they gave Dinamo a hard time winning at home 1:0, but losing away 0:2. Surely their team changed since then, but anyway for me value is on Zaglebie here.
5/10 x2
CaptainMorgan
27-07-06, 09:35
ok im going for home win here because from the results i see that dinamo minsk are good team far better then poland teams that are very poor this year
I don't now what are you talking about.... ZAglebie is simple worst tHen solid russia school team and today they took lesson of football.
ZAglebi will be without best defender Arboleda ... and on the oter side Dinamos striker Leonid Kowiel have backed to brillant form...He scored goal in first match and scored 2 goals in last league match (Dinamo won 4-2 with BATE Borysow),
For me clear home win...
:oops: it's becouse yesterday Legia match... :P
Do you really think that Zaglembie can win? I can tell to you that Zaglembie dont have chances at all. I can only repeat my words before the first leg.Nowadays Dinamo is the best belarussian club and polish team will lost. I will be on the stadium today and I dont hesistate which team will qualify
not Alcantara(who is Legia's defender ) but Arboleda if so...:)
Polish League starts 29 July so Zaglebie should be in good fitness(much better than 2 weeks ago) condition. They have some quality players( Iwanski,Lobodzinski) also captain Szczypkowski and winger Mierzejewski are in good form. It's important to know that Chalbinski was second best goal scorer in Polish League last year. Zaglebie likes to play by counter-attack - playmaker Iwanski is known from his fast through balls to very fast wingers Mierzejewski i Lobodzinski and that fact in fusion with very strong and tall striker Chalbinski will be Zaglebie's main weapon i that match.
... man don't tell me about Mierzejewski ... 8) :lol: he is funny...
He is definitly fast - that I can say for sure - and could be helpfull in counter-attack.
Do you really think that Zaglembie can win? I can tell to you that Zaglembie dont have chances at all. I can only repeat my words before the first leg.Nowadays Dinamo is the best belarussian club and polish team will lost. I will be on the stadium today and I dont hesistate which team will qualify
Not necessary win, but draw? Why not, especially considering Dinamo can be happy with 0:0 so I don't expect them to rush from beginning. At the moment BAH have odds 2.03 for x2 and honestly I haven't seen such huge class difference between those two teams in 1st leg to justify such odds, actually I haven't seen any signs that Dinamo is better than Zaglebie so for me it was great value bet.
EDIT:Though Arboleda missing it's a huge blow for Zaglebie defence, but anyway I still see these odds as valueable.
Captain Murat
27-07-06, 13:05
IMO the whole story above makes an UNDER (1.78@betfair) a better choice at d moment :wink:
boring game, under is very propably, no clear chances for both teams, dynamo has more possesion, mayby in 2 half will be intresting than in 1 half :?
Pity that Zaglebie got eliminated, they weren't worse side, and because of conceding that stupid goal at home they finished their journey so fast.
Anyway, another bet won, and who said you can't make profit on polish teams? :wink:
Pity that Zaglebie got eliminated, they weren't worse side, and because of conceding that stupid goal at home they finished their journey so fast.
Anyway, another bet won, and who said you can't make profit on polish teams? :wink:
yes, only consider Polish teams when they are underdogs, NEVER when they are "favourites" ;)
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