View Full Version : Pick of the day 24/9
A lot of interesting UEFA-cup games today, so I guess you won't have problems finding good picks!
OK, after enjoying a very loooong winning streak, finally my losing streak has started again. Usually I go low during my losing streak, but in this comp., we can only go constant, so let's hope I can get back to winning.
Bohdan Ulihrach FIRST SET WINNER @ 1.85 vs Davide Sanguinetti
OK, first take a look at the match odds, it shows that Ulihrach is slightly favorite over Sanguinetti (1.81-1.83). Betfair is currently priced at 1.76-2.14 in favor for Ulihrach. So, Ulihrach's price is already above the market price. However, there is a strange display for the first set winner. Why should Sanguinetti be favorite 1.75-1.85 to take the first set? By no means Ulihrach is a slow starter and Sanguinetti is a good starter. So, I'll take the first set winner. The straight win for Ulihrach doesn't look bad for me, either.
Now about the match analysis. Ulihrach has already been prepared since he already played in Thailand for the Davis Cup against Srichaphan. I assume he stayed in Thailand after the Davis cup, giving him more preparation to adapt to this tournament. So, I expect him to have a good start. H2H is 1-0 for Ulihrach, although it was on clay and it was two years ago, so it's not very relevant.
Damn, dragon was first :). Anyway...
Ventspils - Rosenborg HT/FT 2/2 @2.3
I've seen Ventspils in action lately. They are poor. They play on English Second Division level. Really - no good aspects of their play can be found. On the other hand - Rosenborg on fire. Last game won 6:0 away in Lillestrom (always tough terrain to win). They lost to Deportivo only 1:0 away and drawn 0:0 home. Lot of experience on their side and hey can win this one very easy with 3-4 goals. If Wisla Plock was capable of winning 1st half in Latvia, Rosenborg will win too.
Game will be played on neutral venue and this is yet another argument speaking for Rosenborg... High stakes recommended.
Today with so many UEFA Cup games I will choose one of them:
Austria - Borussia Dortmund Draw @ 3.25
Dortmund have very big problems with injuries - for this game out are players like : Amoroso, Evanilson, Frings , Christoph Metzelder, Leandro, Koller and Tomas Rosicky - their best creative player. Firstly without this players it will be very hard for Dortmund and secondly they are performing very bad on away games lately. But I think that Austria are not good enough to win. So my pick is draw.
My bet for this Wednesday also come from UEFA Cup
Metalurh Donetsk-Parma 2 @ 1.75
Parma have hired former Shaktar coach Nevio Scala to prepare tehm for this match. This clearly demonstrates that the Italians take this game extremely seriously. Taking into account that Parma have had a terriffic start to the season winning at Lazio this weekend tells me that they are two or even three levels above Metalurh.. a team that lost 0-8 to Bremen last season.
Olimpija - Liverpool 2 @ 1,42
Need an explanation or it's obvious? Well, I rarely bet on team that I support, but this time I just can't resist. Liverpool is in great form. Seems like they finally find perfect style that suits to main players. Owen will start up front as he is chasing Ian Rush's club record in European goals. Few players may be rested (like Kewell and Gerard), but still those replacements are far better then Slovenian players. Olimpija is weak for this level even without few injuries of important players, and with those injuries I really can't see them resist the Reds.
Go Reds!!! You'll never walk alone!
Hearts - Zeljeznicar 1-1 @ 2.35
The best team in Scotland after old firm is playing middle table Bosnian team with some financial problems.Hearts obviously were saving themselves in weekend lost from Rangers (0-4), this game is their "match of the season"...
Austria Memphis v Borussia Dort.
Austria @ 2.8
Borussia no away win for many months now, and with 10 regular players out. The whole atack line is out, i just hope that Austria will narrowly win this.
out: OFF Koller, Rosicky, Amoroso
DF Metzelder, Conceicao, Evanilson, Frings, Fernandez and Demel.
Weidenfeller - W÷rns, Madouni, Bergd÷lmo - Addo, Reuter, Ricken, Kehl, Dede - Reina, Ewerthon
Olimpija-Liverpool OVER odds:1.65
Olimpija has injurie problems Liverpool....it doesen`t matter f they do or not :wink: Olimpija will play 4-5-1 and with that kind of formation they don`t stand a chance of scoring. Can Handanagic, Aljancic and others stop Owen? hm not. I heard that Owen is 100% in but if he isn`t he will surley be later on so i see only victorie for Liverpool with margin of two-three goals. OVER is here...but just as im writing it started to rain havily so.....
Southampton-Steaua: First Half 1 1,95
La Louviere - Benfica Away win @ 1.95
Find my explanation here http://www.bettingadvice.com/showPredictionsLeague.php?idMenu=61
Sartid - Slavia...OVER 2.5 with 1.95
Info about this game in corresponding topic in UEFA Cup thread.
And why OVER? I expect both teams to score in this game and so OVER game is probable. Both have above average defence on the other hand solid forwards. Slavia know that Sartid have not strong defensive line and they came to score. Odds are relly good IMO.
Southampton - steaua HT/FT 1/1 @2.4 willhill
by a mile !!!!
Gaziantepspor v Hapoel Tel-Aviv
UNDER 2.5 @1.95 --->>> That's not just a GOOD PICK !!! It's a PERFECT PICK !!!
I wrote about it in the UEFA CUP SECTIN of the forum...
Both team players talked about NOR CONCEEDING !!! So i see a value here. UNDER 2.5 loos sure But the odds say that OVER is favouritte !!!
:evil: :evil: :evil: IT'S TIME TO **** THE BOOKIEEESSS !!! :evil: :evil:
Let's kick emm all !!!
Olimpija Ljubljana : Liverpool (-1 1/4) AH - 2 @ 1.85
As there is no HT/Ft bet available for this match this is the biggest odd for Liverpool for today.
This match is one of the biggest bankers I've ever seen. I see no chances for Olimpija to make any kind of good performance today. They are really out of form. It's true that it's raining in Ljubljana but it will stop soon. And even if it rains I still believe that Liverpool will win with at least two goals margin. With Owen and all the other stars they will shock Olimpija's defence and other players. Olimpija has some problems with injuries on key players so they really will lose big time today!
Southampton(-1.5) v Steaua Bucuresti(+1.5) :arrow: Southampton @2.10
Read my prediction here:
/UEFA/: Grasshoppers - Hajduk Split - 2 , odds: 3.60 @ GB
Grasshopper recent matches
10/27/2002 Young Boys-Grasshoppers National League A 0-2
10/31/2002 PAOK-Grasshoppers Uefa Cup 2-1
11/03/2002 Grasshoppers-Lucerne National League A 3-2
11/14/2002 Grasshoppers-PAOK Uefa Cup 1-1
08/13/2003 Grasshoppers-AEK Champions League 1-0
08/27/2003 AEK -Grasshoppers Champions League 3-1
Hajduk Split recent matches
04/13/2003 Dinamo Zagreb-Hajduk Split First Division 0-1
04/19/2003 Hajduk Split-NK Zagreb First Division 1-0
04/26/2003 Hajduk Split-Varteks First Division 1-0
05/03/2003 Cibalia-Hajduk Split First Division 1-1
05/10/2003 Hajduk Split-Dinamo Zagreb First Division 4-1
This info was taken from: http://www.help2win.net/
I really see Grasshoppers as very inconsistent team. They had two 4-0 lossess about a month ago and are not doing very well in the league so far. Hajduk is really improving team, I'm not sure if they're going to win this one but it is the value that lies on them.
Ventspils v Rosenborg :First Team to Score Rosenborg (1.50GB)
What should i say here?This bet is an absolute banker for me since Rosenborg should be serious enoughp not to conceed a goal because they need a clear win...and they will get it by 2 goal difference and maybe more IMO....
Hearts v Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2.20 2.10 4.55
hearts to lead at halftime
hearts third in scotland against ×eljo. ×eljo are not in good form and there is huge difference between scottish and bosnian league. hearts will win for sure, i hope they will lead at ht too.
i think, hearts will lead at halftime.
Hi there !
Though I have no chance to finish this month's competition with 15 picks since I've been quite busy, I simply can't resist this pick :
Southampton v Steaua ........ :arrow: X2 ......... 2.19 at GB
Going against all the other predictions on this one, but I must say I expect something to come out of the Romanian's complaints concerning the refereeing of the Denmark v Romania (2-2) game a few weeks ago... If not convinced, you can try the home win in the tough game between Dinamo Bucuresti and Shakhtar Donetsk later on tonight !!! I fully expect at least one out of the two games above to go the Romanian's way...
Or, maybe, UEFA will be too angry and come down hard on Romanian teams ??? We'll see :wink:
Good luck to all !!!
Ok, here i am. It's time to take some risks since i would love to be back on top-10 of the competition and here's my chance:
Dundee v Perugia - 2/2 - 3.25
I strongly believe that Perugia can win here. Under normal circumstances i should bet on the away win, but because of the competition i have to risk a little bit more. This is to avoid any missunderstandings later.
Well, Dundee is an average team (as almost all teams in Scotland, except Celtic and Rangers). I can read at the forum that they r not something special and i am with the italians this time.
Perugia is here now because of Intertoto games. They have started their pre-season training early, so this means that they should be fit enough for this game. Of course, a draw wouldbn't be a bad result, but i remember that we were saying the same thing before the second leg at Intertoto final against Wolfsburg (i was backing the germans too these days).
Perugia had scored an early goal and i still have in mind the italian members' warnings: "Gaucci wants his team to go to UEFA". So, r the ambitions finished? "No" is the answer imo. The italians have full squad for this game, they play descent football, they know how to achieve their goal and i hope that my compatriot Vryzas will score at first half and he will help me move higher on the table of this competition :).
My pick of the day is
[b]ODENSE-RED STAR Away win. @2.45
Red Star in exelent form,last twomatches in NL win 2:0 and 3:0.Zigic the striker is 2.02 cm tall and his every goal is by head.500 suporters in Denmark are minimum.Couch Muslin will play offensive tactics and play to win!!!
COMONE NINJAS,COMONE RED STAR :!: :!: :!:
My pick of the day is:
Utrecht-Zilina HT 1 @2,00
I believe that Utrecht is clearly the better side here.
Holland and Slovakian league can't be compared!
Utrecht is great home team,which can beat everyone at home,PSV;feyenoord,Ajax and certainly Zilina!
I think they will press hard right from the start,and I am confident about their win tonight.
I hope that difference will be seen in the first half!
simply italians will be happy to draw here and beat them at home easily.
Southampton - Steaua x2
Steaua is not a weak team like everybody say. If the have a good day, they can beat Southampton pretty easily. Go Steaua! It's time for Southampton to slip...
....in 1 min starts
Philadelphia at Florida, Philadelphia win at 2.4
Florida won a dramatic game last night that virtually sealed their playoff hopes in the lead of the wildcard. The momentum is certainly with them but I think Philly have an opportunity to sneak in now that the pressure has eased. Brett Myers has the stuff of a #1 starter but has not pitched well recently. He has had over 5 days rest for this game and can come out to pitch them to victory.
dragon ulihrach 1s 1.85 won +85
FiDU rosenborg ht/ft 2.30 won +130
BgSoccerFan dortmund x 3.25 lost -100
Santa parma 1.75 lost -100
Lyd liverpool 1.42 lost -100
Prija hearts ht/ft 2.35 won +135
zik013 austria 2.80 lost -100
mistro liverpool ovr 1.65 lost -100
ArbiterE southamp ht 1.95 lost -100
lucaatje benfica 1.95 lost -100
Prague sartid ovr 1.95 won +95
juankaan hapoel und 1.95 won +95
Inter-fan liverpool (-5/4) 1.85 lost -100
Blackhol3 southamp (-6/4) 2.10 lost -100
one-two hajduk 3.60 lost -100
casabel rosenborg 1sc 1.50 won +50
fafko hearts ht 2.20 won +120
PRAG steaua x2 2.19 won +119
paralias perugia ht/ft 3.25 lost -100
Serbian_N redstar 2.45 lost -100
celt1 utrecht ht 2.00 won +100
artnow perugia x 3.20 lost -100
kieron phi mlb 2.40 lost -100
ycyruss1 : no comments
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