View Full Version : Netherlands Eredivisie 06 May
distinctive
03-05-12, 13:43
06 May 2012 1 X 2 B's
14:30 AZ Alkmaar - Groningen 1.17 6.82 11.32 23
14:30 Breda - Waalwijk 2.12 3.36 3.05 18
14:30 Den Haag - Graafschap 1.57 3.72 5.45 22
14:30 Excelsior - PSV 10.43 6.43 1.19 23
14:30 Heerenveen - Feyenoord 3.04 3.69 2.01 20
14:30 Heracles - Nijmegen 2.07 3.43 3.17 23
14:30 Roda - Utrecht 1.64 3.81 4.58 23
14:30 Venlo - Twente 7.80 4.89 1.32 22
14:30 Vitesse - Ajax 4.22 3.71 1.71 23
Vitesse - Ajax
Ajax became champions last night (:D), so they don't play for anything anymore besides some honor to show that they are once again the best, and to lengthen their current 13-win streak to 14.
Vitesse not playing for anything either. They are 7th and the last match can't change that anymore.
However, it's important to know that numbers 6, 7, 8 and 9 play against each other for a ticket in the Europa League through a playoff system.
Taking this in consideration, i'm pretty sure Vitesse won't really bother with this match anymore. They will be focussed on the playoffs.
Ajax to win at 1.71 is a really nice bet. I believe they will be motivated enough to end the season with their winning streak intact which is one of the reasons that brought them the title last night. 8/10
Believe it or not by SC Heerenveen will be certain of Europa League football next season if they lose their last game. A draw could mean they will have to compete in the play-offs first. A victory will of course put them directly in the Europa League but it looks like Heerenveen will take the easy road and simply let this one go. At least that is my expectation. Odds on Feyenoord are already dropping and I'm taking them now 5/10.
Believe it or not by SC Heerenveen will be certain of Europa League football next season if they lose their last game. A draw could mean they will have to compete in the play-offs first.
And why is that?
And why is that?
Because KNVB ****ed up.
The cup final is already played and PSV won. So if they end outside a CL spot (1 or 2) they are already automatically qualified for the EL and don't have to compete in the play-offs. So one more team will qualify directly. That team could be SC Heerenveen because they will play Feyenoord in the last game and if they let Feyenoord win PSV can never end 2nd.
Yesterday banking on Feyenoord with early odds (3,30!!!). SC Heerenveen must be not a draw. Only a win or lose to qualify for Europe next season.
For Feyenoord its a must to win here for the second place and qualify for Champions League Qualifications.
SC Heerenveen - Feyenoord
Current odds on Feyenoord are 1,75 (Unibet)... really low!
Then again, Feyenoord are the clear favorites. Not only because of the playoffs stuff mentioned above, but also because a win will guarantee them a second place and so a ticket for the Champions League. Feyenoord has shown many times this season that they can beat anyone if they play their best. I'm pretty sure they will win this one.
Heerenveen might play for a win, but if by 80th minute it's 0-0, 1-1 or any other 'draw', Heerenveen will simply lose on purpose. I doubt Heerenveen is strong enough to shove Feyenoord aside.
Feyenoord to win at 1,75, 7/10.
Excelsior - PSV
Excelsior's last chance to avoid direct relegation, they need to win and pray De Graafschap doesn't take any points against ADO Den Haag.
PSV's last chance at a Champions League ticket, also need a win and they're depended on the SC Heerenveen - Feyenoord outcome.
Excelsior plays on artificial grass... always hard to play at for a team who's not used to it cause it's different. PSV is also known to have a terrible performance outside of their own home.
I see some value on 1X with the high quotes being offered such as the 4,15 at Unibet, 2/10
Vitesse - Ajax
Ajax became champions last night (:D), so they don't play for anything anymore besides some honor to show that they are once again the best, and to lengthen their current 13-win streak to 14.
Vitesse not playing for anything either. They are 7th and the last match can't change that anymore.
However, it's important to know that numbers 6, 7, 8 and 9 play against each other for a ticket in the Europa League through a playoff system.
Taking this in consideration, i'm pretty sure Vitesse won't really bother with this match anymore. They will be focussed on the playoffs.
Ajax to win at 1.71 is a really nice bet. I believe they will be motivated enough to end the season with their winning streak intact which is one of the reasons that brought them the title last night. 8/10
Latest news is that some key players won't be playing for Ajax because coach Frank de Boer wants other players who haven't played much this season but deserve some time on the pitch to play this game.
I would wait until the line-up is known. I expect Cillessen to be on goal which is about equal to Kenneth Vermeer, maybe in defense Van Rhijn and Koppers from the youth because they played a couple of matches this season, probably on midfield players like Serero, Lodeiro, Enoh, and in offense could be Ligeon, Bulykin, Klaassen.
It all depends on how many key players will be missing and how many subs will be playing. Most of them would like to prove themselves so don't expect a really weak Ajax. Cillessen, Van Rhijn, Koppers, Serero, Lodeiro, Ligeon and Klaassen are all young dogs that have to patiently wait for their time as a key player in the squad, now would be the time to shine.
justneffest
05-05-12, 01:09
so an over 2.5 would be nice here?
Because KNVB ****ed up.
The cup final is already played and PSV won. So if they end outside a CL spot (1 or 2) they are already automatically qualified for the EL and don't have to compete in the play-offs. So one more team will qualify directly. That team could be SC Heerenveen because they will play Feyenoord in the last game and if they let Feyenoord win PSV can never end 2nd.
Circumstances have changed a bit. Now a draw would be enough as well. The UEFA gave The Netherlands an extra EL ticket through the fair play ranking. SC Heerenveen is leading that ranking in The Netherlands and will play EL football no matter what if they don't do anything funny on Sunday. The thing is that this ticket will put them at the very beginning of the EL qualification route while the ticket they get from losing will see them start their European campaign a while later. This will give them some more vacation time and will save them a trip to some strange far off Eastern-European team.
It sure will be a weird match on Sunday thats for sure..
Over 2,5 is only worth 1,45 at Unibet.. and I personally hate betting over/under.
I'm sticking to an Ajax win.. they want to get 14 consecutive wins, young talents want to prove themselves and Vitesse plays for nothing. Frank de Boer said he expects Vitesse to go for a win to build some confidence towards the playoffs but I doubt that. They need the energy and it's a good time to relax now.
Ajax will be play with some reserves, this is confirmed by Frank de Boer.
Roda JC - FC Utrecht
Will be short here. Roda JC will be fighting for some play-off places and must be win here at home. They are playing dramatic midweek against RKC Waalwijk and will be ended here good.
FC Utrecht is a lot off weeks in dramatic form. They will be happy that this will be the last match and i don't see win him here.
3/10 Roda JC ML @ 1.83 Pinnacle
Circumstances have changed a bit. Now a draw would be enough as well. The UEFA gave The Netherlands an extra EL ticket through the fair play ranking. SC Heerenveen is leading that ranking in The Netherlands and will play EL football no matter what if they don't do anything funny on Sunday. The thing is that this ticket will put them at the very beginning of the EL qualification route while the ticket they get from losing will see them start their European campaign a while later. This will give them some more vacation time and will save them a trip to some strange far off Eastern-European team.
It sure will be a weird match on Sunday thats for sure..
Let me get this straight. Heerenveen would enter the EL either in the 3rd or playoff round through its league berth but if it finishes 1st in the fair play table, it enters the EL in the first qualifying round. Is that what your saying? Also, with this extra ticket the teams finishing 6.-9. will playoff?
sander4444
06-05-12, 02:38
Let me get this straight. Heerenveen would enter the EL either in the 3rd or playoff round through its league berth but if it finishes 1st in the fair play table, it enters the EL in the first qualifying round. Is that what your saying? Also, with this extra ticket the teams finishing 6.-9. will playoff?
The fair-play ticket will be assigned after the playoffs are played. This means that the numbers 5-8 will play the playoffs if PSV finishes 2nd or 6-9 if PSV will finish 3rd, 4th or 5th.
If nothing weird happens, the ranking in the Fair Play ranking is:
1. SC Heerenveen
2. FC Twente
3. Excelsior
So it is possible that Excelsior will play in the Europa League even tough they are relegated (if SC Heerenveen will reach the EL through the final ranking and FC Twente through the final ranking or through the playoffs)
Winning or losing is still the better option. If they draw and AZ wins Heerenveen has to do the play-offs. If you can go on vacation 2 weeks earlier and have a better EL ticket the disission is easy to make.
If the topscorer of Holland says he wont score a goal in the last minute if that means it ends in a draw you know enough.
vBulletin® v3.8.4, Copyright ©2000-2013, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
0