View Full Version : 13 Februar 2006, Biathlon women-15 km individual -12.00pm
LimvoLikce
12-02-06, 15:20
so this are odds brom BAW for winner :
Kati Wilhelm (GER) 3.50
Sandrine Bailly (FRA) 6.50
Martina Glagow (GER) 8.00
Anna Carin Olofsson (SWE) 10.00
Uschi Disl (GER) 11.00
Olga Zaitseva (RUS) 15.00
Olga Pyleva (RUS) 15.00
Albina Akhatova (RUS) 15.00
Liv Grete Poiree (NOR) 15.00
Svetlana Ishmouratova (RUS) 17.00
Andrea Henkel (GER) 17.00
Linda Tjørhom (NOR) 23.00
Natalia Guseva (RUS) 25.00
Anna Bogali (RUS) 29.00
Katrin Apel (GER) 34.00
Tadeja Brankovic (SLO) 34.00
Simone Denkinger (GER) 51.00
Liu Xianying (CHN) 51.00
Florence Baverel-Robert (FRA) 75.00
Magdalena Gwizdon (POL) 75.00
Hou Yuxia (CHN) 75.00
Ekaterina Dafovska (BUL) 81.00
Katja Beer (GER) 81.00
Olena Zubrilova (BLR) 81.00
I bolive that we can find better odds coz BAW always gives lower odds to 15% then others bookies from internet but i already have open account there and i must play this biathlon betting there on BAW.
Also they have this head to head:
Head-to-Head A. Henkel/L.-G. Poiree
Andrea Henkel (GER) 1.95
Liv Grete Poiree (NOR) 1.75
Head-to-Head A-C. Olofsson/Rest of the Field
Anna Carin Olofsson (SWE) 9.00
All other participants 1.03
Head-to-Head A-C. Olofsson/S. Ishmouratova
Anna Carin Olofsson (SWE) 1.75
Svetlana Ishmouratova (RUS) 1.95
Head-to-Head K. Wilhelm/O. Zaitseva
Kati Wilhelm (GER) 1.37
Olga Zaitseva (RUS) 2.85
Head-to-Head O. Zubrilova/M. Glasgow
Olena Zubrilova (BLR) 2.40
M artina Glagow (GER) 1.50
Head-to-Head S. Bailly/L. Tjørhom
Sandrine Bailly (FRA) 1.30
Linda Tjørhom (NOR) 3.20
Head-to-Head U. Disl/O. Pyleva
Uschi Disl (GER) 1.55
Olga Pyleva (RUS) 2.30
Head-to-Head X. Liu/A. Akhatova
Liu Xianying (CHN) 2.70
Albina Akhatova (RUS) 1.40
so i have head to head on local bookie between
Bailly - Olofsson - Willhelm
and another head to head between :
Disl - Tjorhorm - Poiree
well i didnt watch biathlon in women competetions two month ago i i have no fresh niformations about players and their current form so can somebody help me here and give his advice about this race.Who can be seriously candidate to win this and who will be her bigest rival ???
hard to say who are Favos coz there are so many especially in INDIVIDUAL where almost everyone can win (1 min. for each miss ;) - but i think BAILLY could very well win here coz like GREIS she has BiB n.38 so maybe its a winning number :lol:
ok,lets be serious-BAW is always **** bookie and again we see why: maybe they see Olofsson as winner otherwise i do not understand bet Anna-Carin against Rest of Field. But odd with 9,0 is of course stupid looking at win-odd 10,0. H2H against rest of field is nothing but a bet on the winner..some weeks ago it was at expekt Ole Einar aginst Rest of Field 3,75 what was ok cos he won but this time..i do not know really. Swedish girl lacked bit of strength especially in running what was her big Plus but last races she was not so strong anymore.
Liv Grete has good form i think - you could take her small bet
then Olofsson you can take - but her shooting is not too good in general but last year she won Individual!
probably one Favo will win but i do not think that it will be Wilhelm..odd on her has not too much value either so better skip her. I just think cause she is Medal candidate n.1 for Germany in Biathlon she will fail 8)
GLAGOW Top-Favo at Expekt with only 4,75 8O 8O 8O
ok,she had very good form in last races and she has good shooting stats especially at Individual with 90% (Wilhelm only 82%) but i rate her not so fast in the slope...
Actually,BAILLY should be the one with lowest odd,as she never won BIG Title besides World Cups as she failed twice e.g. 2004 and 2005 at World Championships with no medal but 2 4th places there...maybe she puts herself under too much pressure when it comes to the really important races..Last year was impressive though: she had 3 errors shooting but only 7sec. behind 3rd Tjörhom who had 1 miss and 41 sec. behind Henkel who won with 1 miss,too.
I think TJÖRHOM has good chances to win,too. Odds not bad and why not risk such odds?!? She is not too bad shooter with 86% overall but had no Individual this season to compare. Like i saw she never won one before,too but so did Olofsson until last year,too. Best result i think is 2nd place at Individual in Östersund 3 years ago. At Oddset odd is 18,0 and maybe i will try it with small stakes just to watch :)
LimvoLikce
12-02-06, 22:45
i will watch it too so i am thinking to take some bets from this competetion...
for me Disl can supreise here!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Willelm and Bailly can win too....
i dont know,i will make some combinations...
i wouldnt bet much on big favos, cuz after all its olympics. someone like tjorholm or ishmouratova could win here.
Disl is a no-no. she is not in form, shoots bad whole season, even screwed one win for ger relay team with her awful shooting. i would strongly advice not to take her.
olofsson was in great shape in start of the season, she was shooting pretty good, but her running was just incredible. although, last few races she was kind of slumpy. her fast skiing was nowhere to be seen. i dont think she is one to count on here...besides she's 33y old...
bailly could do good here, but i won't take her. she used to be fast but not anymore...and her shooting is not top notch neither...
i will try a little on tjorhom, ishmou and pyleva here. dont know why but i think rus will do good today.
h2h:
ishmou-olofsson 1
ishmou already won one indi. this year, she is pretty solid shooter & skiier...with little luck she could even win here. 8/10
henkel-poiree 2
there is a lot of pressure on germans and thats what i see as an advantage for poiree. she had solid maybe even underachieved results for her so far in the season and i think this is her chance to prove something. 7/10
why olga zaitseva is not listed at the start
is she injured or what?
i wouldnt bet much on big favos, cuz after all its olympics. someone like tjorholm or ishmouratova could win here.
Disl is a no-no. she is not in form, shoots bad whole season, even screwed one win for ger relay team with her awful shooting. i would strongly advice not to take her.
olofsson was in great shape in start of the season, she was shooting pretty good, but her running was just incredible. although, last few races she was kind of slumpy. her fast skiing was nowhere to be seen. i dont think she is one to count on here...besides she's 33y old...
bailly could do good here, but i won't take her. she used to be fast but not anymore...and her shooting is not top notch neither...
i will try a little on tjorhom, ishmou and pyleva here. dont know why but i think rus will do good today.
h2h:
ishmou-olofsson 1
ishmou already won one indi. this year, she is pretty solid shooter & skiier...with little luck she could even win here. 8/10
henkel-poiree 2
there is a lot of pressure on germans and thats what i see as an advantage for poiree. she had solid maybe even underachieved results for her so far in the season and i think this is her chance to prove something. 7/10
well ishmouratova won! i hope someone took those picks and made some money
yeah,after all i re-decided myself and instead of 10€ Tjörhom to win @18.0 i wanted 5€ on her and 7,5€on Ischmu @ 13.0 at oddset but could not bet properly cause i made to big marks on the bet sheet of paper :evil:
stupid oddset - but much worse i wanted then 10€ on Ischmu @ 12.0 at local but there you have to take that into treble ON OUTRIGHT WIN!!! :twisted: :evil: :twisted:
so terrible cause i had no money only to bet :oops:
i would have thanked you so much for Ischmu-outright but now i am only pissed cause i would have won but cos of stupid rulez and stupid guy at local who said no time for 2 other picks beside my Ischmu-bet though there was time enough :x
i feel sorry for you, but there will be more biathlon and we will make something then
dont worry, at least u didnt lose nothing
i feel sorry for you, but there will be more biathlon and we will make something then
dont worry, at least u didnt lose nothing
yeah,thats right and maybe i got more often a good feeling like with Greis and today :roll:
why olga zaitseva is not listed at the start
is she injured or what?
because only four competitors from a country can participate in each discipline.
why olga zaitseva is not listed at the start
is she injured or what?
because only four competitors from a country can participate in each discipline.
yeah,strange bookies e.g. my local had h2h in 1st race with Krouglov who has not started and also another h2h with Alex Wolf who lost "play-off" race to Ricco Groß in Germany :o 8O :o
i mean bookies should have these infos who starts and who not :roll:
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