Pick of the Day 12. 10. [Archive]

Xponat

11-10-05, 22:43

#2
So far 0/1
Event: San Marino-Spain (-4), World Cup Quals Europe
Pick: 2
Odds: 1.82
Bookie: Bet365
Stake: 8/10

My post from the match thread

There is no point looking at the stats IMO, as the Spaniards have more motivation to trash San Marino than any of the teams SM faced at home so far. Big national teams often play as much as they need for a win against semi-pro and amteur teams, but this won't be the case on Wednesday-Spain will probably get their big win and hope for good news from Belgrade. The only possible scenario that could make the Spaniards put their foot of the gas and win by two or three includes bad news from Belgrade-S&M leading by 2 or 3 goals after 60' of play, or something like that. However, I expect a very tight match in Belgrade and therefore believe that this "doom scenario" is not very likely to happen.
All in all, I wouldn't call Spain (-3.75) a banker, but I'd definately call it a very good bet.

All in all, since Spain needs to win here by at least 4 goals to have any chances to qualify for the WC, I accept any handicap equal or lower than 4. They will field a very attacking lineup against the poor home team andI expect them to score as many goals as they need.
This is definately the best pick this week IMO, and I'm taking it with high stakes.

Good luck!

0:6 Pick won!

tomjarem21

11-10-05, 22:46

PICK # 4

so far 0/3 (-300) :cry: :cry:

ENGLAND-POLAND

Over 2.5 Goals

ODD:1.95...........BETANDWIN

Great game to watch, that's for sure. England team definetly playing bad soccer at the moment but i predict they will win this one. The over is not based on England performance though. Poland last couple games: Iceland(3-2), Austria(3-2), Serbia(3-2), Israel(3-2), only Northern Irleand (1-0)-but this team is a hard piece for both England and POland( :lol: ). Anyways i see POland has a really good team on offence with Krzynowek, Rasiak,Zurawski, Kosowski, Smolarek in really good shapes, whileEngland team is always England they are always capable to score, especially now when Gerrard and Beckham are out - offensively i think England gains without them -especially with the addition of Shaun Wright. ON defence England is will have to cope without its 2 great defenders Ashley Cole and Cambell, both Arsenal players are a huge blow to Eriksson plans-another point for that game to go over.
Also-the most important thing - both teams advanced already and both teams have nothing to loose-means quite open game-no plans such as draw will be good for us or we should defend after 1-0...nothing like that just pure football.
Last couple meetings on the English ground went always over- 3-1 and 2-1
Definetly a first won pick for me and an easy over 2.5 :lol: :lol: :lol:
9/10 it's going to be OVER.....GL
PICK WON!!!! 2-1

DSK121

12-10-05, 07:57

Pick 3
0/2 -200

:arrow: England - Poland
:arrow: Rooney, W
http://m.onet.pl/_m/ed6aa8d2251c4d7d4d0ec6b9e9bd7893,8,1.jpg
:arrow: Will he get at least one yellow or red card during the match?
:arrow: Yes :arrow: 3.60
/unibet\

This is match bettween two the strongest team in this group.Who win this will be on 1st place and in ballot can take more worstest opponents.More then will be in better situations in another ballot for European Championship.
Both teams wants win today and maybe POland is more motivated couse they can't take any good results from England till around 30 years...
For me this is tipical fighting match and main fighters from both teamsmust took any cards... and Rooney is maybe the bigest of this in England team...

raulthebull loves lazio

12-10-05, 08:36

2/4 +240
Pick 5
Burgsmuller/Carlsen-A. Sitak/D. Sitak
Pick: A. Sitak/D. Sitak to win
Odds: 3,6 Gamebookers

Both burgsmuller and Carlsen are out of the singles competition after terible ferformances. They obviously didn't like the atmosphere here in Moskow. Now they have schedule a match against a young russian doubles couple with impresive results in futures and challengers. The russian also have the advantage of home ground and home crowd. An also I dont think that burgsmuller and carlsen are in the mood to stay here (especially carlsen after what happened yesterday). I see a nice surprise here.

pick void Burgsmuller/Carlsen withdrew from the tournament :evil:

Aragorn78

12-10-05, 09:01

1/3 -62

Pick # 4

Game: Germany - China

Pick: Total goals - 4 or more

Odds: 2.25

Bookmaker: Sportingbet

So, again a friendly game with Germany and again I am thinking of many goals. Last time they made another Over 2.5 with Turkey /with two late goals indeed but with many goal chances for Turkey in the game/, now they will face China and they will want to win comfortably with many goals because that game with Turkey was awfull, poor Germany played very bad and had luck that they didn't lose with a big margin. Today I hope they will play very offensive football and will try to score many goals and the opponent is very good for this purpose.
Odds for Germany are too low, for HC-1 are around 1.50, for Over 2.5 are around 1.4-1.50, so I will try Over 3.5 at 2.25 which sounds good.
Probable result: 3:0, 3:1, 4:0, 4:1, 5:0, 5:1...

Good luck!

FT 1:0 Pick LOST

My new stats:

1/4 -162

Cyron

12-10-05, 10:00

Pick #2, 1/1

http://img380.imageshack.us/img380/9707/chi1it.gif (http://imageshack.us) Chile v Ecuador http://img380.imageshack.us/img380/3725/ecu7rt.gif (http://imageshack.us)

Pick: HT/FT - 1/1 @ 2.20 (BetAndWin)

(4) Ecuador 17 8-3-6 23-19 27
(7) Chile 17 5-6-6 18-22 21

Chile MUST win in order to have chances to qualify. they need 3 pts and hope Uruguay&Colombia Not-To-Win.
Chile with 3-4-1, Lost only to Paraguay and draw with Brazil&Argentina.
Motivation is high and the stadium will be full, I belive Chile should be full of hope since both Uruguay&Colombia have hard metches in front of them.

The other side,Ecuador, already qualified to WC, they have nothing to play for, their mind is already in germany.
They wont play with full squad, thell miss captain Iván Hurtado, Agustín Delgado (sus) and probobly the coach will give chance to players how didnt had the chance to play...
Ecuador with very poor away record with 1-1-6 in these qualifiers.

All in all, we have poor away team with no motivation at all against fully motivated home side, IMO chille will win and attack from min 1 to get the early goal.

GL :wink:

Morfeo

12-10-05, 10:12

Pick #2 0/1 -100

Austria vs N. Ireland
Roland Linz to score anytime :arrow: 2.25 at B&W

I was really surprised to see Linz's play vs Engalnd . Linz as a lonely Austrian striker in the game , was very close to score a goal or two vs english tought defense. A 24 years old , Rapid Viena striker, one of many new young newcomers in Austria squad that build itself for next Euro, scored twice vs Poland away last month , can easily score in this game vs weak NI defense.

Lost!
GL! :!:

YAMAN

12-10-05, 11:12

Pick # 4 So far 2/3 +25

Ireland v Switzerland

Well, this is the match of the night in my opinion. In Ireland infront of the supporters who are on fire....Will it be an advantage for Ireland or not....

IMO it does not matter for this match..Even if they play in the north pole,if they are really professionalls and nationalist, they have to give more than %100 of what they have...

Sometimes it is really complicated that even with all info yau can not decide the outcome. But, sometimes as I usually say and write the answers may be so close and simple....Just please look at the table ;

Team Total Won Draw Lost Goals Points
1. Israel 10 4 6 0 15-10 18
2. Switzerland 9 4 5 0 18-7 17
3. France 9 4 5 0 10-2 17
4. Ireland Republic 9 4 4 1 12-5 16 5. 5.Cyprus 9 1 1 7 8-16 4
6. Faroe Islands 10 0 1 9 4-27 1

Swiss team scores averagely 2 golas per match while Irish team scores 1.3 and the swiss team concedes 0.77 goals per game w***305;thout losing any game....And Irish team has a strong defence which can be seen by understanding that they conceded only but only 5 goals in 9matches which means 0.41 per game.

Now, the catch point of the match is Swiss attacking power. I f they kep on playing like that the score will be 1-2 in advance of SW***304;TZERLAND.If not, I expect 1-1 draw and under 2.5 golas may be an option as well. And, I dont care that the draw is enough for Swiss team. This fact will have some effect on the game only in last 20 minutes if the score is still draw imo if they are really pro.

Finally my pick is :idea: :

Switzerland Or Draw , X2 @1.71 in Gamebookers

zekikum

12-10-05, 13:06

pick #2

so far 1/1 (+170)

ALBANIA-TURKEY
Pick under 2.5
odd: 2.2
bookie: nordicbet

well so much said till now, even Albanians are sure of away win... maybe Albanian players dont want to loose but i believe most of their nation wants Turkey in Germany... 0-1,2 looses makes nobody sorry except Greek and Danish friends, and i dont think Turkey will score 3-4-5 goals to make Albanians sad and ashamed so thats the main point of my pick... as everybody knows the current situation i do not see reason to write a longer prediction...
g.l

P***305;ck Won!

Jura1981

12-10-05, 13:43

pick 1

Hungary - Croatia pick Croatia 2.4 @ Betfair

the most important thing is that croatia already is in Germany. so you're thinking why do i take this bet? it has nothing to do with being from croatia and a big fan.lots of players missing on both sides,still imho i'm thinking that hungarian substitutes are much worse than ours.

hungary has less motive for a win - they want to win because they are hosts and they have fans they surely don't want to dissapoint even more,but i don't expect a full stadium and too much noise about this game.

croatia on the other hand has two motives that will make them try harder to get to a win:
1. to be first in the group - altough a draw makes them also first
2.a win in this game will promote us to a first group for the next big qualies. that means in the same rank with Greece(Eur champion), France, Netherlands, where we've never been before.

also our coach kranjcar is giving a chance to the players that don't play so much in the national team and they will want to prove themselves worthy to be count on in germany also.

confidence : 6/10

gl 8)

Betting exchanges aren't allowed. Pick voided. /Strand

Prija

12-10-05, 14:07

Jura, Betfair is not allowed in this comp, change it.

2/2, +230.

SCG (-1) - B&H 1, 2.05 @ Pointbet

Thoughts http://forum.bettingadvice.com/viewtopic.php?p=507449#507449

MNC

12-10-05, 14:11

Pick #2
0/1 , -100

Uruguay - Argentina, HT/FT, X/1, 4.40 @GameBookers

One of the most controversial matches of the year.
Argentina already qualified and with some reserves, against Uruguay, that MUST win to play against Australia a two leg match to go to the WC.
The problem is that Chile and Colombia are one point behind Uruguay and they need a tie or a loss of Uruguay, to reach the 5th spot.
There are lots of things being said about this game, that Argentina won´t play at full strength, almost everyone here in Argentina wants Uruguay to go to the WC, but the players and the coach said that they will give their best to get a win.

Anyway, i think that "their best" won´t be enough and Uruguay will finally win at home but it´ll be a very tough and tight match.
An X/1 looks risky but very possible, also 1-0 or 2-1 are very possible.

3/10
GL !! :D

0:0/1:0 PICK WON ! :lol: :lol:

Razvi

12-10-05, 15:00

1st Pick
Finland - Czech Rep. under 2,5 goals [1,95] @Gamebookers
WCQ, group 1

The last game of the qualification round. Czech Rep. must win to catch the 2nd place in the group. Finland is out of the race and play only for pride and Romania :D In conclusion is a game with big importance for away team.
Why under? Because the both team have big problems in ofenisve way. Czech will play without 3 forwards: Koller, Lokvenc and Baros (the last have some chanches to play). Finaland also have problems. They will play without Väyrynen, Litmanen, Eremenko Jr., Riihilahti, Kolkka. All are ofensive players and i thing that home team will have big problems in scoring. For away team a result like 0-1 or 0-2 is all they need and i thing that if they will score then will try to defend the advantage and play very defensive.
In first game Czech win with 4-3 but there the conditions were diffrent.

Last Finland games:
2005-10-08 Finland-Romania 0-1
2005-09-07 Finland-F.Y.R.O.M. 5-1
2005-09-03 Andorra-Finland 0-0
2005-08-17 F.Y.R.O.M.-Finland 0-3
2005-06-08 Finland-Netherlands 0-4
2005-06-02 Finland-Denmark 0-1
In 4 games for 6 Finland didn't score

Last Czech Rep. games:
2005-10-08 Czech Republic-Netherlands 0-2
2005-09-07 Czech Republic-Armenia 4-1
2005-09-03 Romania-Czech Republic 2-0
2005-08-17 Sweden-Czech Republic 2-1
2005-06-08 Czech Republic-F.Y.R.O.M. 6-1
2005-06-04 Czech Republic-Andorra 8-1
In last games Czech Rep. have problem to scoring. 0 with Romania and Netherlands, 1 with Sweden and 4 with Armenia (all in the 2nd half)

ildizovunc

12-10-05, 15:34

first on october :oops: + 000 :)

Albania - Turkey

Pick: Under 2,5
Odd: 2,20
Bookmaker : BAW
Stake : 5

Squad of Turkey : Volkan, Hamit, Alpay, ***304;brahim Toraman, Ümit, Selçuk, Emre (Okan), Y***305;ld***305;ray, Tümer, Nihat, Necati (Halil)

The situation is very clear
Turkey on "must win situation"
if win will go for play-off match
albanians have any chance
but they declares that they will play for winning or for denmark 8)
***304;t's a very stressful match
turkey was the third on world cup 2002
and they must qualified again ...
i dont write the tacticks or teams ...
beacause it's only psychological match and "must win situation"
yes turkey can win the hard matchs and critical ukraine,denmark (2-2 on last time goal ) but it's different
yeah surely turkey will win but not with a hughe difference
***304; 'm waiting a big performence than tümer
emre will play but how ?
i'm waiting an under with 1-0 or 2-0 ...

You again !!! and again a mistake :P
This pick is allready taken. Look above !!!
(Minov)

Lokorus

12-10-05, 15:47

0/0

Slowakia-Russia: 2 @ 2.5 (BetAndWin)

The last chanse for Russia. They must win @ Slowakia to reach the second place. Russia won against Luxemburg with 5-1. They played good and could score more goals. Slowakia won 1-0 against poor Estland. We all know that the form of slowakian team is bad at the moment. Several good players are out of form, and they are tired. Russia has a tradition to make himselfs difficult and after all win the last game to qualify. So, remember Wales 2 years ago. Who could think that Russia will win at Wales after 0-0 in Moscou? Now, we have the same situation. Russia must win, and they know how to do it. Sëmin, our coach, said that all the players are in good form and they will give themself to win this game. In Russian squad we have good fast players like Arshavin, good strikers like Pavluchenko, Kirichenko, Kerzhakov. So ,enough players to score!
So, in this case I prefer to take Russia! Maybe Under will also be a good bet, but this one is also good! Hopelfully Russia can qualify with such good players!
GL!

ronen0602

12-10-05, 16:01

#2 pick 1/1 +.55
republic of ireland - switzerland
0-2 golas @ 1.65 (interwetten)
both team fight for the play-off position as no one can see france doing anything else than trash cyprus. Ireland usually not loosing at home and the swiss will b satisfy with a draw. it will be a battle for life and the irish like this kind of. the thing is if no one will score in the opening and i cannot see Switzerland going much forward the fight will b decided by one goal at the 2nd half.
Morison is on for ireland for injured Duffy and andy rid should b fit also. this is the tighten group of all and should b decided at the 90+ min.

ildizovunc

12-10-05, 17:56

oh sh*t
the cops :P again
sorry minov
i will learn a day :D
dont worry :D

CSKA/SF/fan

12-10-05, 22:07

Pick#4 3/3 +513

Brazil(-1)-Venezuela
Pick-1
Odd-1.55 Centrebet

What can I say.I expekt a lot of goals in that game.At least 3 for Brazil.Many of the players that usually start the games for Brazil and didn't start at Bolivia last Sunday will play this game.They have nothing to play for but all Brazilians want to make the spectators happy in the last game.The last home games for Brazil when they didn't have something to play for.
Brazil Chile 5:0
Brazil Paraguay 4:1
The preveus games between this two clubs:5:2,3:0,6:0,7:0,4:0,5-1.
All for Brazil.How I can expekt something different when I take a look at the list of Brazilians for that game.This is just huge quality difference of the players of both national teams.I don't take Brazil with more goal difference because I am little afraid of 2-0.

rediss77

12-10-05, 22:42

pick#4
3/3

Colorado-Nashville(nhl) pick Colorado(-1,5) 3@betandwin

Im taking again Colorado because of my confidence that Colorado is on fire at the moment . Nashville is playing their 1st away game and it seems that it will be very difficult task for them to stop Colorados scoring machine(13 goals in just 3 games) , Nashville as always is strong @ home taking wins against Anaheim and San jose, but in away i think it will be different story, Colorado is very strong @ home and they prooved that smashing Calgary 7-3, so Nashville must find something special to win Colorado ,and dont think that they will manage that.

YAMAN

13-10-05, 12:25

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Best of luck!

See , it's not that hard to open a new thread in the POD !!!
(Minov)