2bfa Brazil Paulista/Carioca/Gaucho - 25-26.03.2010 [Archive] - Bettingadvice forum

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IGUANA
24-03-10, 22:34
Campeonato Paulista

Ituano v Sao Caetano 2.70 3.40 2.50
Mirassol v Portuguesa 3.00 3.40 2.30
Ponte Preta v Rio Claro 1.53 3.80 6.50
Rio Branco v Palmeiras 5.25 3.80 1.61
Bragantino v Sao Paulo 4.75 3.60 1.72
Corinthians v Paulista Jundiai 1.30 5.00 10.00
Gremio Barueri v Mogi Mirim 1.57 4.00 5.50
Santo Andre v Monte Azul SP 1.36 4.75 8.50
Botafogo SP v Santos 3.80 3.60 1.90
Oeste v Sertaozinho 1.75 3.60 4.50


Campeonato Carioca

Flamengo RJ v Tigres do Brasil 1.30 5.00 10.00
Madureira RJ v Fluminense RJ 6.50 4.20 1.50
Vasco Da Gama RJ v Americano 1.30 5.00 10.00
Volta Redonda v Botafogo RJ 3.75 3.40 2.00


Campeonato Gaucho

Juventude v Porto Alegre RS 1.66 3.40 4.75
Santa Cruz RS v Ulbra-RS 1.70 3.30 4.50
Sao Luiz v EC Pelotas 1.75 3.30 4.20
Esportivo v Inter De Santa Maria 2.30 3.20 2.75
Sao Jose v Internacional RS 3.00 3.25 2.10
Veranopolis v Caxias 2.62 3.25 2.37
Avenida v Ypiranga 1.90 3.30 3.50
Gremio v Novo Hamburgo 1.40 3.90 7.00

Flu
24-03-10, 22:44
Thanks Iguana! ;)

So, let's try do better than last round.
I'll lower the stakes, a little bit.

Madureira x Fluminense

Fluminense guarantees classification in advance if they beat Madureira.
Fluminense won against Resende by only 1 goal in their last game but completely dominated the match and took a goal in a resounding failure of the goalkeeper.
Madureira is in terrible shape in this second round of the championship, losing even their home games.
However, this game will not be in the house of Madureira but on a neutral field.
I hope a larger effort by the players, because if they win, they can rest in the other matchs of this turn.

Fluminense -1, @2.05, Sportingbet, 5/10

Flu
24-03-10, 22:52
Flamengo x Tigres

As Fluminense, Flamengo can secure the classification in advance if they beat the Tigers.
The game will be played at the home of Botafogo, the same place where Tigres lost to Fluminense by 3 goals.
Flamengo was involved in several scandals these weeks because of an alleged involvement of Adriano and Vagner Love with the traffic in the region.
They were seen at parties in slums and escorted by drug dealers, but that's normal since they came from those slums.
Yet they keep beating their opponents.
Adriano is still trying to secure a place for the World Cup.
No absences for Flamengo.
Tigres with 3 absences.

If Flamengo want, can easily beat the Tigres by more than 1 goal and I think they will want.

Flamengo -1, @1.85, Sportingbet, 6/10

Flu
24-03-10, 23:16
Mirassol x Portuguesa

Portuguesa need the victory to get to the classification zone for the next stage.
Mirassol need victory to stay away from the relegation zone.
There is a clear difference between the form of these two teams.
Mirassol not playing well and not won at home for 5 games.
Portuguesa seem to have found the formula of his game and got good results in recent games.
Even drew with Santos, who is the best team in the competition, unfortunately, it was better in the game and took a late goal.
I think the odds are very good and I will not lose this opportunity.

Portuguesa with 1 missing, but nothing important.
2 Mirassol with 2 missings.

Portuguesa, @2.25, Sportingbet, 3/10

Flu
24-03-10, 23:24
Rio Branco x Palmeiras

No time for explanation because the game is about to begin.
I expect full effort from Palmeiras against the weakest team in the championship.

Palmeiras -1, @2.50, Sportingbet, 3/10

Flu
24-03-10, 23:25
Opinions about other games:

Vasco with some important missings.
Phelippe Coutinho and Carlos Alberto, the 2 best players, will not play.
Americano is a very weak team but Vasco is in a poor form.
Yes, Vasco should win but I'm satying away of this match.

São Paulo will rest a lot of players: Washington, Cicinho, Alex Silva, Fernandinho, Cleber Santana and Richarlyson.
Bragantino also with a lot of missings.
Unpredictable game
São Paulo is much better, even with theses missings but is a no bet for me.

Flu
24-03-10, 23:25
Sorry for the late write-ups.
I was distracted by the games in europe.

Micky
25-03-10, 01:55
Hi Flu,I took Fluminense and Flamengeo on straight win in a double,and it came up.As did you're predicted -1 bets!!Thanks very much,Micky

StevenE
25-03-10, 02:03
Tnx again FLU!!
Took a nice double flu-fla both on the handicap......watched Flamengo,couldnt find Fluminense game somehow.......see ya!

Supamanu
25-03-10, 02:14
Thanks Flu, great night tonight!

boreas04
25-03-10, 08:11
Well done. :)

IGUANA
25-03-10, 10:18
http://www.myemoticons.com/images/communicate/praises/really-really-good.gif

head_hunter
25-03-10, 12:28
Thank you Palmeiras for destroying us

Flu
25-03-10, 18:22
Thanks guys.
Last try do the same job today.

Santo Andre x Monte Azul

Good odds for a handicap bet.
Santo Andre is in second place deservedly.
Haven't great players but are playing a good football.
Even the big teams have trouble winning when they play at home.
Today looking for victory to try to reach the first place.
Nunes is the only doubt and if he not play will be a important missing, but Rodrigão has the same characteristics and can do the same role.
Monte Azul with many problems. The goalkeeper and the left defender will not play.
One of the defenders is suspended and the coach will have to improvise a defensive midfield in place.
In addition, some players were separated from the rest of the group.
I expect a comfortable victory for Santo André today.

Santo André -1, @1.90, Sportingbet, 6/10

Flu
25-03-10, 18:35
Volta Redonda x Botafogo

I really don't get these odds.
Yes, Botafogo is not a great team but still is much better than Volta Redonda.
Volta Redonda lost to Vasco and Flamengo at home by more than one goal.
El Loco Abreu returns to the team after not playing against Flamengo.
Botafogo is already classified but the coach said that he wants the first place and will put the first team.
The coach of Volta Redonda put away 4 players for indiscipline.

Botafogo, @1.85, Sportingbet, 5/10

Flu
25-03-10, 18:40
I will not play Santos because neither Robinho and neither Nilmar will play.
Wesley also out.
Santos can guarantee the classification in advance and has team for that, even with the absences, but Botafogo is a good defensive team that will try to play on the counterattack and has done well in this competition.
Moreover, Santos won last round against Ituano even without Robinho and Nilmar, by 9x1 at home. Amazing!
Maybe small stakes worth it.

Vinmin
26-03-10, 09:05
Excellent picks Flu!

Won a nice amount with Botafogo!

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