Israeli Cup

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Hapoel Ashkelon - Hapoel Ramat-Gan 2.25 3.20 3.49
Hapoel Tel Aviv - Ashdod MS 2.20 3.20 3.25

Hapoel Ashkelon - Hapoel Ramat-Gan

Ashkelon won in Acco this friday and they now have a margin of 2 points from the relegation spot in the national league.
Hapoel Ramat-Gan are allraedy promoted from the third devision to the national league and the cup is their main goal(they have a good history in the cup. They won it back in 2003).
When I saw the odds for the over 2.5 goals(2.35), I just thought "like WTF?". These odds can't be more than 2.10 and I know where the bookies went wrong.
This game is being played in Ramat-Gan, but not in Hapoel Ramat-Gan's usual stadium. Hapoel's stadium is a bad one, with a very very bad pitch and in the last game a lot of Israeli punters cashed the **** out of the under 2.5(crazy odds of 1.95).
This game is being played in the biggest stadium in Israel. There will be of course a lot of fans from Ramat-Gan, but Ashkelon too are bringing a lot of fans. They have an agreemant with the Israeli rail-roads organization for some trains from Asheklon to Ramat-Gan.
Ashkelon lost their first keeper this saturday(injury) and when they are playing away they usually can not not recieve a goal. In 14 out their 15 away games in the national league they recieved a goal(21 goals recieved up till now in the away games).
Hapoel Ramat-Gan is a team with a lot of talent. They have a great team spirit, but a pretty low budget.
In this game I excpect both team to fight hard. When the pitch is normal, there will be goals.

over 2.5, 2.35, 3\10, SJ

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Hapoel Tel Aviv - Ashdod MS

Ashdod are playing great footall lately. In saturday they won Kfar-Saba, even though they played without their captain and some more. In the quarter-final they won Maccabi Petah-Tikva 4-0 and this was an amazing win I must say. Ashdod is one of the most underestimated teams in Israel(and I have to admit that I myself pretty underestimated them lately).
In this game they will miss one suspended player, but the reason is more interesting. This player was suppose to play for the Israeli under-19 national team but Ashdod did'nt allowed him and the Israeli football federation banned him for this match. Also, Ashdod are not happy with the fact that The federation sold some tickets to their "friends", tickets that were suppose to be for Ashdod's fans.
Ashdod in an angry team with a really great shape and a lot of talent and experience.
Hapoel Tel Aviv won Saknin in the q-final, but Saknin had a very bad game in the second half and Hapoel are coming without their first gk and after a loss at home in the league against Amidar Ramat-Gan, which is one of the weakest teams in the league.
Hapoel are having a loe of problems in their defence and Ashdod three great strikers(Holtzman, Shricki and Azran) can use it.
I don't know about the u\o odds, but the HT\FT odds of 6.00 for Asdod in the HT and FT looks pretty nice to me and I am willing to try it for half a stake.

HT\FT, Ashdod MS\Ashdod MS, 6.00, 0.5\10, SJ

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Ashkelon won 1-0
Hapoel Tel-Aviv won 1-0

:( -3.5 today