View Full Version : Serie A 17-18 March
not the greatest odds in the world from bet-at-home :
Sampdoria Genoa - US Palermo 17.03.07 20:30 2,40 2,80 3,15
Fiorentina - AS Roma 18.03.07 15:00 2,40 2,85 3,10
FC Messina - AC Torino 18.03.07 15:00 2,20 2,80 3,55
FC Parma - AC Siena 18.03.07 15:00 2,30 2,85 3,25
Udinese - AS Livorno 18.03.07 15:00 1,90 2,90 4,50
Catania Calcio - Reggina Calcio 18.03.07 15:00 2,50 2,70 3,10
AC Ascoli - Inter Milan 18.03.07 15:00 10,00 4,00 1,35
AC Milan - Atalanta Bergamo 18.03.07 15:00 1,35 4,00 10,00
Cagliari Calcio - Chievo Verona 18.03.07 15:00 2,15 2,80 3,70
Lazio Roma - FC Empoli 18.03.07 20:30 1,65 3,30 5,50
Parma - Siena
20 Parma 27 3 10 14 23 - 46 19
14 Siena 27 5 13 9 24 - 31 27
Parma at home @ 3-3-6
Siena away @ 3-6-5
League form for Parma @ D-D-D-D-L
League form for Siena @ L-D-D-L-L
Injuries for Parma @ Cardone, Grella, Morfeo, Paponi, Pisanu
Suspended for Parma @ Paci (2), Ferronetti
Injuries for Siena @ Konko
Suspended for Siena @ None
Pick @ Siena(0) 2.55 centrebet 5/10
Ascoli injuries @ Di Biagio, Fontana, Soncin, Zanetti
Atalanta injuries @ Vieri, Conteh, Ventola, Zampagna
Cagliari injuries @ Chimenti, Esposito
Catania injuries @ Falsini, Mascara, Morimoto
Chievo injuries @ Cossato, Sicignano, Luciano, Obinna
Chievo suspensions @ Sammarco, Malagō, D'Anna
Empoli suspensions @ Pratali
Fiorentina injuries @ Donadel, Santana, Gobbi
Inter injuries @ Vieira, Dacourt, Grosso
Lazio injuries @ Cribari, Firmani, Mutarelli
Livorno injuries @ Fanucci
Livorno suspension @ Pasquale
Messina suspensions @ Rea, Caglioni (sospeso per positivitā)
Milan inuries @ Kaladze, Serginho, Maldini
Milan suspensions @ Pirlo (1), Borriello (fino al 21/3)
Palermo injuries @ Amauri, Corini, Capuano
Palermo suspensions @ Caracciolo (1), Zaccardo
Parma injuries @ Cardone, Grella, Morfeo, Paponi, Pisanu
Parma suspended @ Paci (2), Ferronetti
Reggina injuries @ Gazzi, Lanzaro, Campagnolo, Vigiani
Reggina suspensions @ Lucarelli (1) Tedesco (1)
Roma injuries @ Martinez, Aquilani, Chivu
Sampdoria injuries @ Terlizzi, Volpi, Berti
Sampdoria suspensions @ Flachi (sospeso per positivitā), Zenoni
Siena injuries @ Konko
Torino injuries @ De Sousa, Pancaro, Stellone
Udinese injuries @ Zenoni, Felipe, Iaquinta
Udinese suspensions @ Motta, Obodo
PARMA-SIENA Under 1,60(GAMEBOOKERS) 6/10
It's this going to be Parma's fifth consecutive draw?could be...
Parma have a few missing players that will make the team work hard to score against Siena who is low scoring team on away games...I thing the score would be 1-0 or 0-0
milan can win atalanta which is play not good at away and they will play with out zampagnaiconteh,vieri,ventola.. banker 10/10
AC Ascoli - Inter Milan 18.03.07 15:00 10,00 4,00 1,35
When Inter was only -0.5 at Livorno, i took it without hesitation. However, odds like this is just a funny joke.
First of all, unbelivable as it is, Ascoli is on a 5 game unbeaten streak. They tied Roma in the last home game and all of a sudden there's hope in Marche.
Secondly, and more importantly, for Inter, after the Champions League spotlight and the big Milan Derby, emotionally, it is difficult to get geared up again for a trip to Ascoli. This is what we call a "Let Down" game, and it is dangerious, the kind like Excelsior - PSV last week.
I think for Parma this is maybe last chance to try to stay in serie A, don't care too much about absences, coz all of them are long term absences, or poor players.... with new coach Ranieri Parma is playing very hard, getting 4 draws in last 4 matches (3 away from home), attacking trio Rossi - Budan - Gasbarroni is definitely better wuality then Siena attack, Gasbarroni is in a big form now... only problem can be defence.
Siena record in last 18 matches is the worst in serie A...only 1 win..
I see Parma winning here. I go with HW @2.34/2.36 Bf and also Over 2.5 2.38 Bf
I see Cagliari-Chievo and Messina-Torino both possible draw @3 and under 2.5 @1.7 , both Bf... I just think all these 4 teams will think 1st not to loose and will be satisfied with 1 point.
I wouldn't touch Fiorentina-Roma, very unpredictable match
My two bets for today are
Cagliari-Chievo 1 @ 2.2 on bf 7/10
With the return of Giampaolo on the bench Cagliari has recovered confidence and after a loss in Torino they have won against Atalanta and took a good draw away against Sampdria. Chievo after a good period is in a bad shape they have lost 3 of last four matches away (also against poor teams like Siena and Ascoli) and for this match they will miss a lot of key players like Cossato, obinna ans Sammarco.
Catania-Reggina 2 @ 3.2 on bf 5/10
Surprisingly high odds here for a match that as usual will be played on a neutral ground without crowd. Catania in a terrible period they have lost 3 of last 4 matches at home and they will play against a strong team like Reggina that has recovered from the handicap of 15 points in this season and they are still fighting for relegation, so they absolutely need a win and with strong players like Bianchi and Foggia they are clear favourites here.
ASCOLI-INTER X 3,75 2/10
Inter have 16 points ahead Roma and 26 ahead 3rd place Palermo,but thid id not a reason for them to lose for the first time this season.I think Ascoli is more determined and they didn't give up for stay in the league yet.a draw (1-1 or 2-2)
LAZIO-EMPOLI pick OVER 2.05(gamebookers) 4/10
Big game tonight for a Cl place...most of the last games those teams played one against the other were over.I thingk both times will fight hard to get all the points tonight and I see an open game with more than 3 goals
People from Italy maybe you could give us an important info about Fiorentina - Roma.
Will it be a full stadio Artemio Franchi, or there will be just the people that have a "whole season" ticket?
Italian friends what do you think about home win of Messina ?
MESSINA -:- ( -:- ) TORINO
A game between two teams at the bottom of the table who are fighting for survival and will probably continue fighting for it until the end of the season. Both teams have changed their head coaches and this has added to the teams abilities. Torino won twice at home which allowed them a little bit a breathing space. Messina changed their manager much earlier than Torino and has started to gain points as well. Christiano Rigano, who scored three goals in the last two matches that he played in, is set to return which is a great boost for the team. Messina in autumn was known for their attacking potential and previous games show that they are not far from the form they had in autumn. In this match the favorites are Messina and I want to play on their goals. To be more exact their individual total more than 1 goal for 1.60. Messina will score at least one goal as Torino's defense cannot be counted as solid.
Pick: Ind home total > 1 1.60
FIORENTINA -:- ( -:- ) ROMA
Without doubt the main match of the match day! Both teams are currently in an excellent mood! Fiorentina thanks to a number of good games, and Roma thanks to their Champions League campaign. In the Championship Roma isn't anything special. Roma lose a lot of points away and usually to teams much worse than they are (Ascoli, Livorno, Cievo). Fiorentina is absolutely great! They won 5 matches in the last 7 games and played two draws with a goal difference of 14-4! Their attacks are the best in the league after Inter. Moreover we can expect a battle between two players fighting for the top goalscorer award - Toni and Totti. All attacking players of both teams are fit. All the above said allows me to say that we can take total more than two goals for 1.5.
Pick: OVER 2 1.50
Lazio - Empoli
Both teams are on the run right now. The Romans havn't lost even once this year - 6 victories and 3 draws. The last 5 games were all wins! Empoli played a game more this year than Lazio and has a little worse results: 6 wins, 2 draws and a 2 defeats. And it doesn't matter for the team where they play and who they are playing against! We should point out Empoli's defence who missed only 7 goals in these matches. Lazio isn't a fully home team. They sometimes have problems winning at home especially when they are the favorite. This will be easier for Empoli as they are used to building their game the whole season on their defence. I think that +1 handicap on the away side for 1.72 is a must. The away side will not lose with a two goal difference.
Pick: Away handicap (+1) 1.73
Another game which i like to bet is the draw between Udinese - Livorno. Both teams would like the draw....1 point for each
ASCOLI(19.) - INTER(1.) 2 1.40 betsafe.com/betsson.com
Inter Away 12 (W) 2 (D) 0 (L)
Ascoli Home 1 (W) 7 (D) 5 (L)
AHW - IAW 5:8 - 12:2 = 17:10 for Inter
Ascoli 1 PAGLIUCA Gianluca GK *** 24.2 INJURED 23 / 27
Ascoli 7 FONTANA Gaetano MC ** 24.2 INJURED 10 / 27
Ascoli 14 DI BIAGIO Luigi DMC ** 24.2 INJURED 3 / 27
Ascoli 24 DELVECCHIO Marco FLC ** 17.3 BACK from injury 5 / 27
Ascoli 27 ZANETTI Paolo DMC ** 17.3 INJURED 21 / 27
Ascoli 32 NASTASE Valentin Vasile DRC ** 17.3 BACK from suspension 24 / 27
Ascoli 25 BONANNI Massimo M * 17.3 BACK from injury 4 / 27
Ascoli 99 SONCIN Andrea SC * 10.3 INJURED 4 / 27
Inter Milan 19 CAMBIASSO Esteban DMC *** 17.3 BACK from injury 10 / 27
Inter Milan 10 ADRIANO Leite Ribeiro SC ** 17.3 BACK from injury 9 / 27
Inter Milan 11 GROSSO Fabio D/ML ** 17.3 INJURED 16 / 27
Inter Milan 13 MAICON Douglas DR ** 17.3 BACK from suspension 19 / 27
Inter Milan 14 VIEIRA Patrick DMC ** 24.2 INJURED 18 / 27
Inter Milan 15 DACOURT Olivier DMC * 17.3 INJURED 13 / 27
LOOK AT THIS PEOPLE!!!
Ascoli without PAGLIUCA (***), Fontana (**), di Biagio (**), P. Zanetti (**). Nastase (**) and Delvecchio (**) are back.
Inter without Grosso (**) and Vieira (**)
, but Adriano (***) and Maicon (**) are back.
Previous meetings, overall.
Serie A 2006/2007
2006-11-05 Inter - Ascoli 2 - 0
Serie A 2005/2006
2006-04-08 Ascoli - Inter 1 - 2
2005-12-03 Inter - Ascoli 1 - 0
All matches won by Inter!!!
Date Event Results
2007-03-11 Siena - Ascoli 0 - 1
2007-03-03 Ascoli - AS Roma 1 - 1
2007-02-28 Ascoli - Parma 0 - 0
2007-02-25 Livorno - Ascoli 0 - 0
2007-02-18 Ascoli - Udinese 2 - 2
Date Event Results
2007-03-11 Inter - AC Milan 2 - 1
2007-03-06 Valencia - Inter 0 - 0
2007-03-03 Livorno - Inter 1 - 2
2007-02-28 Inter - Udinese 1 - 1
2007-02-25 Catania - Inter 2 - 5
Last 4 matches (home) Last 4 matches (away)
Ascoli - Roma 1 - 1 1 - 2 Livorno - Inter
Ascoli - Parma 0 - 0 2 - 5 Catania - Inter
Ascoli - Udinese 2 - 2 0 - 2 Chievo - Inter
Ascoli - Atalanta 1 - 3 0 - 2 Sampdoria - Inter
Inter won Serie A now, but they want to have over 100 points at the end. This match have only one oportunity: AWAY WIN!!!
THE BEST ODD TODAY:
ASCOLI - INTER 2 1.40
The odds are good.
I'LL TAKE IT FOR SURE.
S.S. Lazio 1900
LAZIO - EMPOLI, 18.03.2007, Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Very important game tonight for both teams. The biancocelesti are in top form. 5 wins in a row. Goal difference 11:3. Impressive how this "poor" Lazio squad is playing. Iīm saying poor, cause they have to sell their best players. Last one was Oddo. Everybody knows why they have to sell!
Now the Champions League place is not far away. 10 games left and Lazio is with this game in hand 3 points ahead of Milan, who is fighting very hard to save the season in the league with a final Champions League place. 1st and 2nd place are sure, so that means that 4 teams (Palermo, Lazio, Milan and Empoli) are fighting for 2 Champions League places.
Lazio coach Delio Rossi said this week in an interview that every game left is a final match for his squad. The team spirit is very good and all players believe that itīs possible to reach the 3rd or 4rd place.
For tonights match Lazio isnīt missing even one player. Most important is that last week goalkeeper Angelo Peruzzi has returned after an injury. 4 games in a row Lazio had to play with 2nd goalkeeper Marco Ballotta who is 43 years old and not the qiuckest anymore. Interesting that Lazio have won all this 4 games with conceeding only 1 goal. But that is not cause Ballotta had a good day, itīs because the Lazio defence is playing very strong. An evidence is that Lazio has received the fewest goals in the Serie A so far - 21.
Lazio has scored 44 goals so far. 21 of them (almost 50%) were made by striker duo Tommaso Rocchi and Goran Pandev (12 and 9). Both are in very good form.
Empoli also in good shape during the last 6 games, 4-1-1, 8:5.
Only missing player tonight will be defender Francesco Pratali, who is suspended. Empoli hoping to take at least a UEFA Cup place, which is in my eyes not so hard to reach if they continue to play like during the last weeks. The Chmapions League place will be like winning the scudetto for us, said during the week Empoli coach Luigi Cagni. We are fighting with Palermo, Milan, Lazio and Fiorentina for a place. Itīs very hard, he continued. At the end he said that at the Olimpico tonight it will be a pretty hard game but his squad will try to steal the points. Best goalscorer at Empoli is striker Luca Saudati with 7 goals.
Couldnīt find yet probably lineups. Finally my predictions for tonight:
A home win looks very near in my eyes. The odds are good - 1,65. Maybe I will take the home win with high stakes. Score prediction is 1-0, 2-0, 2-1
Handicap odds are very good - 2,85. Will try this one with low stakes, too.
Good luck to all!
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