View Full Version : Pick of the day 14/2
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Good luck!
My pick of the day:
Nottingham Forest (0) - Walsall (1/4) 1, (1.78 @ Pointbet) 3-3 LOST 1/2
This will be a match between 2 teams that struggles at the moment in division 1. The hosts, Nottingham Forest, are without a win in their last 14 league matches and really have to do something if they want to avoid relegation. Las weekend, after their 1-0 loss at home against Coventry, they sacked manager Paul Hart. The new Forest manager is Joe Kinnear. He had remarkable success at Luton who he took to promotion in his first full season before they were hit by financial and ownership problems. He is inspirational and charismatic, and I believe he can bring the much needed enthusiasm into the team.
Nottingham Forest are at the moment on relegation place, they are 22nd placed out of 24 teams. They have 29 points, 6 more than Bradford, but 2 behind Derby and Watford. At home they have poor 4-4-6 (19-16) and are in horrible form with 0-1-5 (0-6) in their last 6 div. 1 matches and like I’ve already said, without a win in their last 14! After they sold Harewood they seem to not know where they are going to score. They have some really problems up front. With that said I still believe they have the best team of the relegation candidates and I expect that they will show it soon.
Kinnear is expected to start with Alan Rogers and Andy Impey, both on loan from Leicester. Also Michael Chopra will continue up front. John Thompson could return after a month out of action because of a injury in the knee.
Walsall are 17th placed with 36 points, but they are far from safe. They are rather poor on the road with 3-3-9 (10-20) and their form are poor too with 1-2-3 (6-13) in their last 6 league matches. They drew 1-1 at home against Crewe last match, before that they lost 3-2 away against Stoke and 1-6 at home against Coventry. Also their star player Paul Merson is ruled out. He has left the country to undertake a programme of treatment and rehabilitation for his addictive problems. But their first-choice goalkeeper Jimmy Walker returns after a three-match ban. However, Paul Ritchie and Stefan Oakes are banned, and Steve Corica is doubtful.
I believe strong on a long awaited win for Nottingham Forest. Walsall are one of the league’s worst away teams at the moment and have some big holes in their defence. Nottingham Forest won’t get a better chance to get 3 points than this. The best choice IMO is to take Nottingham Forest on -1/4 asian handicap. In case of a draw you’ll only lose 1/2 stake.
Coventry(0) Vs. Norwich(0) :arrow: AH away :arrow: 1.93@PointBet
Read my arguments here: http://www.1x2betting.com/index.php?out=campionat&ids=1&idc=7
0-2 Pick won
My 5th Pick of the Day:
Tunisia - Morocco
Pick:
UNDER 2 GOALS
Odds:
2.10
Bookie:
IW
Result:
2-1 LOST
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REASONS
Well the main reason why I pick this bet is that both teams will be really scared to attack.The trophy means a lot for both of them and unless there will be a lucky goal (from foul-penalty or corner) then I don’t see these 2 typical Afrikan teams open their game to seek a goal.They will play defensively..and we will see a strategy boring game with long passes…
Good Luck with your choice!!
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******************
CasAbel
Rank: :oops:
Status: 2/5
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Hy:
SOCHAUX-BORDEAUX 1 @1.85 www.expekt.com
Sochaux is one of the best teams in France!it's very hard for any team to leave with points from sochaux especially Bordeaux, wich has difficulties scoring and has many injuries for this game!
Sochaux home: 11 7 3 1 19 : 9 24
Bordeaux away: 11 2 4 5 7 : 16 10
Go Sochaux :arrow:
Belasitsa - Spartak Varna ---> 1 @ 1.70 (Centrebet) 3:0 ---> WON
----------------------------------
----------pl-w-d-l------points
7 Marek 15 7 0 8 21:26 21
8 Naftex 16 5 5 6 27:21 20
9 Vidima 15 4 4 7 17:24 16
10 Spartak Vn 15 4 3 8 17:23 15
11 Chernomorets 15 3 5 7 16:24 14
12 Cherno More 15 3 5 7 17:28 14
13 Rodopa 15 4 2 9 13:26 14
14 Belasitsa 15 4 1 10 15:32 13
15 Makedonska Slava 15 3 1 11 16:30 10
16 Botev Pd 15 2 2 11 17:37 8
--------------------------------------
Belasitsa win last two matches in Bulgarian league.These matches was on 29.11 against Macedonska Slava with 3:1 and on 06.12 against Marek with 2:1.After a long winterbreak i hope they to win now,because
they play very good in the(haven`t lost) matches in winterbreak
Spartak have big finansial problems.Six titular players can`t play becouse they are not travel with the team and that`s why I think that the team of Belasitsa will win.if Belasitsa want to play in Bulgarian Premier League in 2004/2005 they must wins matches like this.
--------------------------------------
February stats: 2/4 +4
Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg - over 2.5 goals @ 1.78 (Pinnacle) 2:0 - bet lost :( :evil:
Last weekend HSV played only 1:1 at home and cost me dearly with that under. I really doubt that they can play two games at home in a row with less than 3 goals scored in a game.
Under Toppmoeller HSV is playing attacking soccer and they almost always score. But they also receive a lot of goals. And with opponent like Wolfsburg, who is one of the best attacking teams in Bundesliga this season, I doubt that their net will stay untouched.
I think that HSV will win the match and Wolfsburg will score at least once. So there will be plenty of goals this time in AOL Arena...
Good luck! :wink:
Hannover 96 - Bayer Leverkusen >2,5 goals @ 1,70 Bet365
Hannover 96 - Bayer Leverkusen 2:2 WON
With all precaution necessary to take a pick, there doesn't seem to be a safer O/U choice (even overall?) for me in this round of German Bundesliga.
Hannover's defense has been a pure nightmare ever since they promoted the season before. Even strong signings such as Brazilian international Kleber haven't added any security to this defense, having conceeded already 42 goals!Newly signed Abel Xavier is a big deal to the fans and public eyes will be on him, in case he makes it to the first team- and even if it's only for the look of his haircut! With him making a "little slow looking" fifty minute appearance, a training match against own amateur team (4th league) ended 3-3 this week. Now you'll need no further example of how bad this defense is, I believe. If it wasn't for this fun to watch all-out offense that created huge opportunities to score at Bayern last week, too, they'd never ever be able to survive this class. In the game against Leverkusen, lately top form striker Brdaric will receive extra motivation from the fact that he's on loan from Bayer. Why shouldn't he be able to get one against his former(/future?) team mates? Bayer are really shaken by two defeats lately, unluckily to Frankfurt last week, while having most of the match under control with plenty sights at goal... offensively failing?
No, against this Hannover side, most every team in Bundesliga should be able to score at least one or a couple of goals, Bremen has struck 5 times in their last visit... and certainly Bayer won't come to play for a draw here.
:idea: To conclude this, when I could go on for hours: The team who will score 4 goals wins, 3 goals will get a certain draw, 2 goals might win and by only scoring one you'll be a loser here! Watch out for this prediction to come true.
S. Pettersen -- T.Ingebrigtsen 1 1.60 Nordicbet
http://www.bettingadvice.com/showPredictionsLeague.php?idMenu=305
Mistro
Uff..lost ..lost so BIG..Pettersen had little luck and made a terrible jump...
My first pick of the month:
Tunisia vs Marocco
My opinion about the final:
Marocco has better chances to win, despite the fact that Tunisia is the home team, with the public suport. But, like Tunisia, Marocco has both a good defense, hard to break by Tunisia's strikers, but at the same time they are a more offensive team, with more chances to score.
One of the weak spots of Marocco in my opinion is the keeper Fouahmi (I don't remember atm the correct spell of his name ). I've seen him playin' here in Romania and at this Cup. He doesn't look so confident. But I hope that his defense, leaded by the experienced Naybet will clear all the dangers.
Most probable score : 2-1 in favour of Marocco.
So, my pick is : Tunisia - Marocco 2@3.25 at Canbet.
2 - 1 FT<>Pick lost
PS: As I expected, the problem was Fouahmi who made a fatal mistake at the second goal :x . My guess about the score was correct, but not for the ones I backed . Anyway, a good match, Tunisia had a great support from their suporters.
Bochum - B.Munchen 2 2.00 at bet365
stats:
Aug 16, 2003 B.Munchen - Bochum 2 - 0
Oct 5, 2002 B.Munchen - Bochum 4 - 1
Mar 15, 2003 Bochum - B.Munchen 1 - 4
Aug 19, 2000 Bochum - B.Munchen 0 - 3
Jan 27, 2001 B.Munchen - Bochum 3 - 2
Dec 4, 1998 Bochum - B.Munich 2 - 2
May 22, 1999 B.Munich - Bochum 4 - 2
Oct 4, 1997 Bochum - B.Munchen 2 - 3
Mar 14, 1998 B.Munchen - Bochum 0 - 0
Aug 21, 1996 B.Munchen - Bochum 1 - 1
Feb 22, 1997 Bochum - B.Munchen 1 - 1
Problems with injuries/suspended:
Bochum -none
Bayern -Ballack, Scholl and Deisler
(Thanks To Lakini)
Bochum didn't defeat Bayern since 1985. They are playng well now (5'th place) but I don't see them in top 5-6 (Dortmund,Schalke are favorites for euro cups)Bayern needs these points if they want to stay "in" for title.
East Stirling - Cowdenbeath (1 1/4:0) :arrow: 2 :arrow: 1.93@Pinnacle
LOST 1/2 (0-1)... seems that East Stirling strenghtened their defence a lot in last days :cry: :evil:
I really don't like to bet against the teams who are on a long losing streak, as they will bounce back sooner or later. But, sometimes there are football Zippy Chippy's. Last season we had Polish Pogon and Finnish Korsholm and this season there are poor Scottish dogs East Stirling. Far lowest Scottish league club were considered as outsider even before the season, when bookies priced them 250-1 to win the Division 3, while second bottom team was around 50-1 (if I remember that well). East Stirling proved bookies right - they are on the very bottom of table, with losing 18 out of 21 games so far (goal difference abyssmal 19-68 ).
On the other side today is Cowdenbeath, middle placed team who is one of three sides who "succeeded" in mission impossible - to lose points to East Stirling. But that was in summer, in round 4, when East Stirling was giving some signs of life. Now, in last couple of months, they seem like dead team. They lost 10 in a row and have 3-20 goal difference in last four matches. Knowing that Cowdenbeath won last match at home 5-1 to Queens Park, we can expect some goals here too - and we know in who's net. ;)
Cowdenbeath are on a 4 games non-winning streak when playing away from home, but last three away games they played against top three teams in division. So, this is good opportunity for them to break that bad run and to connect couple of wins. Though handicap is set on -1.25, I don't see big risk here, as East Stirling is conceding goals like in playground.
Good luck!
Match:Crystal Palace - Stoke
1. div. England
Date of match:140204
Pick won: 6-3
Prediction : 1
Odds: 1,83 @ Premierbet
Dowie came and changed it all for Crystal Palace......
After a bad first half of the season Crystal Palace are now right on track. They are scoring a lot of goals right now.Last 4 matches = 4 wins. The last 9 games they are amazing 7 1 1
Stoke are doing geat when playing away (5 2 8 ), but why bet on them to loose then ?, well they rented Gerry Taggert from Leicester to strengthen the defence, and he did. But he has returned to Leicester and maybe this will meen the end off a glorius time for Stoke.
Both teams are in great form, but I trust that Taggert will be missed in Stokes defence.
Carlisle - Hull City
Pick: 2
Odds: 1.80 @ Centrebet
Carlisle are rooted to the bottom of the table for a very simple reason, they simply lack the quality to be able to succeed in this level. Goals are a luxury for this side, even more so now that striker Henderson is ruled out. This is of course not helped by their generous defence either, which are the 3rd poorest in the league. Even though they have indeed come off a win in their previous league game, their constant inconsistency and mood swings makes it such that little or no positive indication could read from that result. They take on a rejuvenated Hull City, which seems to have found their 2nd wind, and have strung together a very impressive run of 7 straight wins in the league. And have in the meantime, snatched the pole position from Oxford. Hull, we all know are one of the favourites to land promotion this season, and going by their current form, they are certainly living up to expectations. And one could also expect them not to falter to a team rooted to the foot of the table for so long. Odds of around 1.80 is a steal for 1st v last anyday and I would gladly grab it right here! H2H for their last 10 meetings stand at 7/3/0 in favour of Hull City.
Pick N7!
*So far: 3/6 (+20) about 30th position (I dont know exactly, since we dont have updated standings :oops: )
Willingen, Jumps 130m k
*Matti Hautamaeki v Morgenstern, 1 (1.65) NORDICBET
Well, not much to say about this match- up, it looks like a banker to me, Matti jumped very well on training sesiion (141,5m, 139m), Morgenstern (133, 137,5).
Matti likes to fly, and these jumps are almost ski- flyings! I think, condintions will be on his side! 8/10
:wink:
I am so stuoid, my bet won, but I thought it lost because in Slovenia we had Hautamaeki against Ljoekelsoy!!
SO I WOOOOOON, thanks Arbiter, I would not notice that if not you....
Synot - Brno...home win with 1.72 at Bet365 LOST (0-0)
Standings/Results
Overall:
07. Synot 7-4-5 (24:21)
10. Brno 5-6-5 (19:22)
Synot home 3-0-0 (9:3) + Synot at neutral ground instead of home (when rebuild their stadium) 2-2-1 (6:5)
Brno away 1-2-5 (7:16) - lost last five away
H2H results
History (from 1993/1994 season):
overall: 3-1-2
Liberec home: 2-0-1
This season:
Brno - Synot 3-1
Match comments:
Synot made great results and the end of autumn part (won five of last six games) and want to continue with these great results to move even higher in the table. They made some good signings and lost only one important player so they should be stronger now. I believe that they will make good impress in spring part. Hosts will miss Nemcicky (injury) and Palinek (suspension). Brno really didn´t have good period in league recently (in contrary to Synot). Their hard financial situation looks to be solved but still I don´t think that they will climb much higher in table in spring part. Brno will miss forward Svancara and long-term injured Schuster and P.Mezlik. At first I wanted to take Synot with medium stakes but odds are not good enough IMO (and even went down today...). Still it should be a home win and the only value (with odds like 1.72) from Czech league on Saturday. BTW it's real problem to find this game at many bookies...
my next pick of the day is
Freiburg SC - Hertha Berlin SC X @3.20 GB (counted to be 2.5 in competition)
my comment
1. Standings in the table:
10. Freiburg SC 19 7 3 9 26:41 24
18. Hertha Berlin SC 19 3 7 9 16:37 16
as you can see Hertha is at the end of the table not showing so high class football so far. Freiburg is quite nice form, but i think that Hertha will try their best to win the game, but Freiburg won't let them, so that's why i think it is draw.
2. 1-0-3 in mutual matches. as you can see no dwar, so it's time for draw now. :)
3. Freiburg hasn't played draw for last 10 games.
4. Freiburg will miss Coulybally so it will bi big loss for attacking side of this team. and for Hertha new guy Reina will be quite nice plus.
think that's all
haZart_Jack
14-02-04, 07:53
Pick 5 (February)
Litex Lovech - Slavia Sofia
Bulgarian League
Previous meeting here:
:arrow: Litex have advantage 6-1-2 in the league when playing in Lovech
:arrow: This season this teams already met for the cup and Litex won here 5-0
The aims:
:arrow: Big changes in Litex while the winter break.
They signed with new coach - serbian Ljubo Petrovic (ECCC winner with Red Star).
Additionally, Bulgaria national team goalkeeper Zdravko Zdravkov and striker Zoran Jankovic have been signed; and local hero Dimcho Belyakov welcomed back from Germany.
Litex will fight till the end to win the championship.
:arrow: Slavia finished on 4th place before the break. It will be success for them if they can hold it. It will give them UEFA place and this is their aim for the season.
The match:
If you look at the table you won't be so sure that Litex (5th) can beat Slavia (4th). But my estimations are 85-10-5 for this match. Anyway 2.00 for Litex still has some value, Thursday night it was 2.40! Odds in local bookie - Litex @ 1.20
***1058;***1072;***1082;***1077;: Litex Lovech @ 2.00 with Centrebet
******************
What happened:
Final result is Litex 1-0 Slavia and my pick won.
Not so easy win for Litex, but anyway a win. Important points against good team and rival.
Won
******************
So far this month:
Number of picks: 5
Correct: 3
Balance: +110
******************
bill_shluckoff
14-02-04, 07:53
PICKS 0/1 :oops:
PROFIT -100 :oops:
RANK [one of the last] :cry:
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As it usually happens with me, i've been unlucky with my first step in this competition (there are lots and lots of Russian proverbs about this phenomenon), but i'll do my best to improve. My 2nd pick will be
MAN UTD. - MAN CITY - > OVER 2,75 GOALS @ 1,975 at POINTBET
++PICK WON [4:2]++
small comment - really thought i was in <censored> after 1st half :wink:
The main reason for this pick is playing style of both teams. Both are playing attacking football and usually don't bother themselves with defending, following the rule, saying that "to win you have to score one more goal than the opponent". Both teams have around 75% overs this season and corresponding league game finished 3-1. If you look up at the results of this season, you can notice, that unders occur when one of these teams was playing against team playing defensive football. These two teams NEVER PLAY defensive football, because (IMO) they don't know how-to.
However there are several reasons not to follow my pick. First of all G.Neville and Keane are back at MU squad while City's attack will lack their best goalscorer Anelka. At that both teams' managers said that they wanted more quality at the back, which means they want to improve their defence. But i doubt they can improve anything in several days. Anyway i think both teams will play offensive-oriented football. City can score at least once even without Anelka (i think they have enough quality for this) and this will mean MU should score twice against weakened by James's and Jihai's absence MC's defense to grab a win and i think they will do it. The only score i fear is 1-1 and i'll take it as a cover bet.
GL.
pick no 2:
Perugia vs Chievo 1 @2.38 Ladbrokes
Perugia now 17 place, have most black series from historie of club, they not win in last 25 games, 20 in this season, and 5 from last season.
They try to save from relegation and make some good transfers, and now wait the first win in this season.
In last 2 matches 2-2 with Parma and 1-2 with Milan, they play very well but no luck.
Chievo is in the downtrand after they lose 2-3 home with lecce, and 1-0 with Juventus(away).
Probable team:
Perugia
1 Kalac
22 Di Loreto
18 Fresi
6 Ignoffo
2 Ze Maria
23 Giandomenico
11 Codrea
5 Obodo
16 Manfredini
27 Hubner
26 Zalayeta
Indisponibili: Diamoutene si Ravanelli
suspension:Diamouten
Chievo
1 Marchegiani
27 Moro
43 Barzagli
10 D'Anna
23 Lanna
5 Luciano
20 Perrotta
26 Zanchetta
7 Semioli
24 Cossato
3 Sculli
Indisponibili: Cariello, Santana
suspendati:---
Perugia home: 10 0 9 1 16:17 9
Chievo away:10 4 2 4 11:11 14
H2H:
Perugia AC Chievo-Verona 3:0
Chievo-Verona Perugia AC 2:1
Chievo-Verona Perugia AC 4:1
Perugia AC Chievo-Verona 1:0
Chievo-Verona Perugia AC 3:0
Perugia AC Chievo-Verona 2:2
Chievo-Verona Perugia AC 2:0
Perugia AC Chievo-Verona 3:0
Chievo-Verona Perugia AC 1:1
GL
LOKOMOTIV SOFIA - VIDIMA-RAKOVSKI Pick: 1 (1.6@Centrebet)
http://fcbet.com/pick.asp?pickID=1712
lost
Icehockey, NHL
Vancouver-Anaheim 1 ----> 1.75 @expekt Bet lost, 1-2
Vancouver is a much better team than Anaheim. They are currently playing better away from home, but their home stats is still much better (14-8-5-0) than Anahiems away stats (6-16-2-4). So we do have stats on our side in this game. But how about Vancouvers form? They've lost to straight home games, and look to be on their way down. Anaheim play solid and are in need of every point they can get, in the chase for a play off spot, but they seem to take most of their points at home.
Despite the fact that Vancouver have lost two straight home games, I still don't think that they are in bad form. They have just been "unlucky" to face two phenomenal goalies in these two games. Calgarys Turek said after the 3-2 victory over Vancouver, that this was probably his best game of the season. Atlanta's goalie Nurminen did pretty much the same thing last night. Vancouver had 13-1(?!) in shots in the first period, that to me doesn't look like bad form. Then they got frustrated (probably with that Calgary game in thier minds) and made some stupid mistakes and Atlanta won the game 4-1.
These losses should for sure leave us with a +100% motivated home team tonight. And a 100% motivated top team, playing at home, against an extremly disappointed (remember that they played in the Stanley Cup final last year?) Anaheim who play really bad away from home.
Everything is possible in the wonderful world of sports, and if Giguere or who ever that will be placed in the Anaheim goal today, will have one of those nights were he does everything right, then it is possible that Vancouver could end up with a loss or a draw in this game, but if any other scenario take place (which is the most likely one, about 95%, my own estimation, but that doesn't mean that there's a 95% probability that Vancouver will win this game) then this should be a home win. And if Vancouver get some early goals, there could be some really big numbers. Some team will have to pay for these last two frustrating Vancouver losses, my guess is that it's Anahiem.
Expekt offer a more than generous 1.75 for a home win here, in my opinion, and I'll take it gladly.
Fulham vs West Ham
Fulham win @ 1.83 with Centrebet
For me this is tremendous value (obviously not as good as Canbet's offer)and I am very happy to take on any team travelling to Loftus Road this season. Fulham have been quality there this season and despite a few absentees, they are more than capable of progressing to the quarter finals. I would have staked 9 points but for it being a cup game. There's a lot of passion and fight in Fulham under Coleman and I don't think West Ham will come and trouble them as much as the odds suggest. McBride will be able to play in this round and I see him as a very good point man at the top of Fulham's formation for pacy, quick passing players like Boa Morte, Malbranque & Davis to play around.
Arbiter Elegantiarum
14-02-04, 10:08
M.Hautamaeki-T.Morgenstern 1 1,7 Nordicbet
http://www.bettingadvice.com/showPredictionsLeague.php?idMenu=305#20137
bet won but MACOT was first to take it so it doesn`t count for me :( :P I do not take any other pick today as Scottish and English soccer alkready started and I can`t find anything better so no bet for me today
Good morning !!!
As requested, I too will provide my record so far (I hate doing that) for the benefit of our readers who might want a reference point regarding tipsters here :
Up to (and including) Friday, 13/2 : +71 points, 1/1 picks.
Now then : my pick of the day for Saturday is, again, from the biathlon World Championships in Oberhof, Germany. The event to be held this afternoon is the women's 12.5km mass start :
H2H : Olga Pyleva v Christelle Gros.......................... :arrow: 1.........................1.66 at Ladbrokes
Another mistake here by an English bookie (they should stick to football), just like Bet365 did yesterday with their Norway v Russia offer in the men's relay... Noone else dares to offer this particular matchup (Nordicbet, Expect, Interwetten, Unibet etc. all have a variety of H2H offers involving Pyleva, but NOT this one certainly), since everybody knows the Russian has hit a tremendous patch of form recently and is still going strong ! Up to some weeks ago we could easily bank on another Russian's, Svetlana Ishmouratova's, good form. Now, Pyleva has taken over, as Ishmouratova seems to inexplicably have lost it, a fact which was again obvious in Thursday's relay where Ishmouratova caused all the problems to the Russian team only for Pyleva and Bogali to come to the resque ! Christelle Gros is certainly no match for Olga Pyleva who indeed has a great chance for another podium finish today. In fact, our betting friends can get odds of 3.00 (Unibet) for that eventuality, though I personally backed down from this excellent-looking bet because the top-5 or girls (Poiree, Bailly, Glagow, Pyleva, Bogali) may just have too close of a finish for my liking this afternoon. Our pick here, though at far lesser odds, seems a lot safer and, since we were "pushed" to take safer bets in this month's competition I will just play along (until I realise some bookie was better informed) :lol: :lol: :lol:
Good luck to all, it may just be a tougher Saturday than it looks !!! 8)
PICK LOST (Gros 13th - Pyleva 24th 8O 8O 8O 8O 8O 8O )
volenda-ajax 1 1/2:0 2 2.05 (ajax-1.5)
pointbet
netherland is very specific with their favourites if they win they win with nice margine and on other side if they have problems they usally lost at least point. i think 2.05 is to much for ajax for win(ajax very rare win only with one goal) i expect at least 3-0 result here agasin,t weak volendam who is realy not in good mood.lost last match also 3-0. ajax situation everything ok.
Hi,
after sucessfully yesterday I´ve another tennis pick for you...
Thomas Johansson - Mario Ancic
PICK WON - Ancic 63 64 :lol:
more info about this match can you find here: http://forum.bettingadvice.com//viewtopic.php?t=16006
ANCIC is in great form right now - he beat Santoro, Nadal and Robredo all in straight sets... he has big serve and right now he is very confident... JOHANSSON has played here good too, but he has been injured whole last season and IMO ANCIC has better play to compete well on carpet... and odds are very good - there´s great value in this pick!
PICK: Ancic
ODDS: 2.35
BOOKIE: Gamebookers
I´ve had KUERTEN as my POD before, but I´ve changed it in time...
My new February stats after this pick: +404 (5 of 6 picks)
BIATHLON - World Championship Oberhof Outright Womens 12.5 km Mst
Olena Petrova to finish top 3 @ 11.00 (Centrebet)
Petrova is as always good in championships, she have not any good race in the world cup, but finish 3th in the Induvidual, and she have 9 medals from cahampionschip earlier, and a bunsh of 4,5,6 and 7 places so she is simply a very good championchip races and 11.00 at Centrebet sounds great in my ears, definitly my pick of today. She also did a very well leg for the ukranian team on the relay. I was suprised to she her in the startlist since I only tough the 30 best from the world cup list could start but since she is in o I belive she will do well and a podium finish is not unlikely.
She got
Perugia vs Chievo home team first to score 1.6@GAMEBOOKERS
LOST FT 0-2
I'm not brave enough to go for an outcome of this game, as these are two of the most difficult teams to predict, and with that home record of Perugia (0-9-1), everything is possible.
Kievo has good away record, they always find it easier playing away from home, no pressure whatsoever.
Today, when everyone expects (again) the first home win of Perugia, I wouldn't be surprised if we see another dissapointment from them.
That's why I see this as the only possible bet on this game: Perugia has to try to win it for their fans, and they took the lead so many times in the past, but lacked the strenght to stick to their lead.
Could it happen again...
Pick Number 3 (until now 2/2 +125)
Litex Lovech - Slavia Sofia 1 HT/1 FT @2.80 BetAndWin WON 1-0 HT/ 1-0 FT
match from Bulgarian Premier League:
With this round starts the new half-season after the winter break. Now Litex is 2 points behind Slavia, and this is an excellent oportunity to jump them in the standings. Both teams are with new coaches. Litex is with Liupko Petrovich, while Slavia with the unknown Serbian Radko Dostanich. It's obvious that Ptrovich is the better coach, he won some european trophy with Red Star. Also he knows very good the situation in Bulgaria, because he was a coach of Levski Sofia 2 years ago. Litex made an incredible transfers. Two very good attackers - Zoran Yankovich(Bulgarian national) and former 2nd Bundesliga player Dimcho Beliakov. Their best goalscorrer Iojen Trika is in very good form and shows incredible qualities. Also Litex took the national goalkeeper Zdravko Zdravkov from Turkish team. They have very good deffence and midfielders. In Slavia there isn't something new. They are very doubtful in their performance. Yesterday the 2nd placed CSKA Sofia drawed with Nafteks and that's an superb chance for Litex to approach to this team. Litex is the only team which defeated this year leader Lokomotiv Plovdiv, together with Slavia Sofia. In my local bookie the odd for home win is 1.20 and agree that this is a big difference with 2.80 in BetAndWin. The local bookie knows what will happen in general, so they are more acquainted with Bulgarian League. For me this is an 95% sure home win.
Success !!!
Millwall FC - Burnley(FA Cup) ,AH(0:+1/2) AWAY@1.87(G'bookers)
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profit: +90
status: 2/3
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The last four matches between these clubs, all in the Nationwide First Division, were drawn. That includes this season's game at Turf Moor on 25 October, which ended 1-1. Both clubs are yet to lose this year, and are on six match unbeaten sequences. While Millwall have won four and drawn two, Burnley have won three and drawn three.
Millwall FC
>Striker Danny Dichio will start for Millwall after completing a £675,000 switch from West Brom
>Andy Marshall is in goal after missing the win over Telford while strikers John Sutton and Mark McCammon are pressing for a place on the bench.
Burnley
>Visitors Burnley welcome back top scorer Robbie Blake from suspension.
Manager Stan Ternent could also have Arthur Gnohere available following a hamstring strain, but a calf injury rules out Graham Branch.
>The Clarets' leading scorer goes straight back into the starting line-up after suspension kept him out of last Saturday's win over Gillingham.
>BURNLEY are aiming to make the quarter-finals for the second successive time. Last season they saw off Premiership Fulham before Division One Watford ended their dreams.
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My Verdict: Draw
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M.Hautamaeki-T.Morgenstern 1 1,7 Nordicbet
Arbiter this pick is already taken from Macot, but you still have plenty of time to find something else for today. :wink: 8)
Arbiter Elegantiarum
14-02-04, 14:42
M.Hautamaeki-T.Morgenstern 1 1,7 Nordicbet
Arbiter this pick is already taken from Macot, but you still have plenty of time to find something else for today. :wink: 8)Oh, thanks mate, Weity! :)
Macot wrote small fonts and I didn`t even noticed his pick :oops:
Macot, maybe you should choose some avatar, then it would be easier to spot you :wink:
Going to take some other pick then...
American Hockey
(early game)
Colorado@Detroit
I will take Colorado at odds greater than 2.00 10 out of 10 times. They are leading the western conference 2 points ahead of the Red Wings and are tied in the first place with Philadelphia in the overall standings. They are playing solid hockey both in and outside home, with a record of 15-3-7-3 on the road and an average of 3.4 goals per game! They have the best power play in the league and are coming off an easy 4-0 win at St Louis against the Blues. Detroit is as strong as well, especially when playing at home ice. They own the leagues best home record at 20-4-3 where they allow only 2.0 goals per game. The last time these 2 teams met, Detroit took an overtime win taking advantage of Colorado’s 2 penalties in OT to win it 3-2 playing 5 on 3. In that game, the Avalanche had a 2-goal lead very early in the first period, but were unable to get the victory. I’m not saying its going to be easy for the Red Wings to lose at home, but if some teams can get it done, then the Avalanche are one of them.
:arrow: Colorado Avalanche ML 2.30 @ Pinnacle
UnderOver1979
14-02-04, 15:18
Chateauroux v Besancon
Sat, Feb 14, 19:00
Home team is a very in-form team the last month and goes very well. Is quite strong at home and can win easily weak opponents. On the other hand Besancon is 2nd from the end , before last match was the last team in the table and I think it will be very difficult to get a point from strong , in-form home team Chateauroux today.
My pick of the day Half time/Final time pick : H/H @ 2.35 gamebookers
Home win is at @ 1.70 is pretty good value.
Since there r not any greek games this weekend, i will have to stick with the SA leagues. Yesterday i was on profit since Colon de Santa Fe didn't lose, so i guess i can continue trying with Argentinian league. I hope i will be correct this time also, despite the fact that i have noticed one thing: when i choose as POTD a pick from the main site it rarely wins 8O :o .
Anyway, here it comes:
Chacarita - San Lorenzo - A - 2.25 @ William Hill Bet won, 0-2 FT
U can see my estimations for this game here: http://www.bettingadvice.com/showPredictionsLeague.php?idMenu=274#20157
Good luck.
Netherlands Eredivisie Soccer
NAC Breda/Roda JC over 2.5 goals
1.55 at gamebookers
1.Rodas last 11 games have gone over
2.5 goals.
2. 8 of Bredas last 10 games have gone
over 2.5 goals.
3.The teams played to a 2-2 draw on
December 12.
Antwerp – Charleroi (+0.5) 2, 1.76 @ Pinnacle
Well, i must brag that i became an “expert” on Belgium league.But, most of the credits for that go to Strycker, Globeting’s tipster who provide us with excellent info constantly.In this match between two strugglers i see Charleroi as a clear favourite.Why’s that you can easily conclude by their spring results.For both teams this match is extremely important, since they’re direct rivals for relegation, but Antwerp really looks terrible, and i’m afraid that Man Utd will send their youth players to second division team next season.Charleroi, which is coached by ex-national coach Waseige, is a rich club that simply, “mustn’t” get relegated.After having a lot of problems to score in autumn part of the championship, in January market they brought Victor Ikpeba (the Victor Ikpeba) who with Olufade makes a very good attacking duo, which they proved in this last couple of games.Main reason why i’m not taking Charleroi straight win is because these 2 had some injury problems during the week, but will probably play.
David Sanchez to bt Gustavo Kuerten @ 2.5 @ Ladbrokes
Kuerten was terrible yesterday and even had to save a matchpoint in a set where he was leading 5-0 !!! He won the match in a tie break and a simillar scenario is very probable today.Sanchez is the defending champ on the other hand and shows very good confidence here.. I see this match as at least even.. so these odds are great.
Pick Number 3 (until now 2/2 +125)
Litex Lovech - Slavia Sofia 1 HT/1 FT @2.80 BetAndWin WON 1-0 HT/ 1-0 FT
match from Bulgarian Premier League:
Sorry, under the new February rules this pick's not valid, because haZart Jack had already picked the straight home win in this game !!!
The rules should be the same for everyone... You CANNOT pick the same team in another form/fashion/line !!!
Cheers 8)
M.Hautamaeki-T.Morgenstern 1 1,7 Nordicbet
http://www.bettingadvice.com/showPredictionsLeague.php?idMenu=305#20137
bet won but MACOT was first to take it so it doesn`t count for me :( :P I do not take any other pick today as Scottish and English soccer alkready started and I can`t find anything better so no bet for me today
I think you can take it, your bet won, mine did not... :oops: :lol:
M.Hautamaeki-T.Morgenstern 1 1,7 Nordicbet
http://www.bettingadvice.com/showPredictionsLeague.php?idMenu=305#20137
bet won but MACOT was first to take it so it doesn`t count for me :( :P I do not take any other pick today as Scottish and English soccer alkready started and I can`t find anything better so no bet for me today
I think you can take it, your bet won, mine did not... :oops: :lol:
I AM GETTING OLd an I am so STUPID!
Thanks Arbiter, that you noticed we have the same bet, I had Hatamaeki against Morgenstern for the COmp and Hautamaeki against Ljoekelsoy, too, on my ticket and when I lost that one, I thought, I have the sam bet here.. :oops: :roll: I really thought, Hautamaeki will win the competition today, he was 6th but still good enough against Morgenstern (12th)!
GOOD LUCK!
:wink:
Arbiter Elegantiarum
14-02-04, 19:24
Ok Macot :wink: I don`t get points but that`s my fault, you won and I`m happy for you too as we had same bet :)
I even noticed that I wrote wrong odds (1,7 instead of 1,65), it was all done in hurry so I didn`t checked properly others picks so I didn`t noticed that you picked it before me :lol:
What counts- bet won and if someone followed then he won :wink:
Enjoy your won bet in competition while I`ll try to post first tommorow :wink:
I also thought Matti will win today but it`s ski jumping, luckliy iI didn`t bet on him to win.
But in Planica will have a outright bet on him for sure :wink:
OK, so I will tak today pick form NHL (excluding overtime):
Phoenix Coyotes - Dallas Stars 2 Odds: 2,1 at Ladbrokes
LOST 2-3
Here we have average team - Phoenix - that doesn't like to play at home. They have worst defense there and also belowe average offense. It's really weird, that they can play so good in away contests. They have only 2 draw ans 4 losses in last 6 home games - and they've lost in these period game against Dallas (4-5).
As for Dallas, I rate them as really good in defense. But they have big problems scoring goals, especially playing away. Still, they are in great form recently winning 4 of last 5 away games.
With recent Dallas form going in good direction, I see them here as clearly favourites, as for me, with recent Phoenix goalies problems, they can score here even 5-6 goals. Also shouldn't concede more than 3, so everything in place for good Dallas victory here.
Good Luck.
Peace.
pick no 2:
Perugia vs Chievo 1 @2.38 Ladbrokes 0-2 Pick LOSTPerugia now 17 place, have most black series from historie of club, they not win in last 25 games, 20 in this season, and 5 from last season.
They try to save from relegation and make some good transfers, and now wait the first win in this season.
In last 2 matches 2-2 with Parma and 1-2 with Milan, they play very well but no luck.
Chievo is in the downtrand after they lose 2-3 home with lecce, and 1-0 with Juventus(away).
Probable team:
Perugia
1 Kalac
22 Di Loreto
18 Fresi
6 Ignoffo
2 Ze Maria
23 Giandomenico
11 Codrea
5 Obodo
16 Manfredini
27 Hubner
26 Zalayeta
Indisponibili: Diamoutene si Ravanelli
suspension:Diamouten
Chievo
1 Marchegiani
27 Moro
43 Barzagli
10 D'Anna
23 Lanna
5 Luciano
20 Perrotta
26 Zanchetta
7 Semioli
24 Cossato
3 Sculli
Indisponibili: Cariello, Santana
suspendati:---
Perugia home: 10 0 9 1 16:17 9
Chievo away:10 4 2 4 11:11 14
H2H:
Perugia AC Chievo-Verona 3:0
Chievo-Verona Perugia AC 2:1
Chievo-Verona Perugia AC 4:1
Perugia AC Chievo-Verona 1:0
Chievo-Verona Perugia AC 3:0
Perugia AC Chievo-Verona 2:2
Chievo-Verona Perugia AC 2:0
Perugia AC Chievo-Verona 3:0
Chievo-Verona Perugia AC 1:1
GL
haZart_Jack
15-02-04, 09:20
Filipo, your pick broke 2 of the competition rules:
-Post your pick at least an hour before the game starts.
-You cannot back the same team/player as someone else even if you take a different bet type (for example halftime/fulltime)
I'm sorry for this mistake. I will remember it and i won't repeat such a fool mistake. Excuses to everyone.
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