France Pro A 11/11

[tkt]

Clermont - Strasbourg, under 151 total points. Only once this year has Clermont total went over 151. I believe Clermont's defence will make a difference in this game. If you look at the odds(1.65 for Strasbourg) and 2.10 for Clermont, then this is a 50/50 match. Balanced opponents equals under for me... :idea:

Another under total would be Chalon/Saône - Bourg(last year this game ended with only 120 points total). I still think this game will go over, because Chalon shoots over 80 points at home. And they definitely will let Bourg score some easy baskets. NOT RECOMMENDED... (line @ 153,5)

[muppet]

At first look, Le Mans needs win finally, but Paris isn't easy rival
What's more, Mate Skelin left Le Mans and Niksa Bogavac is injured.

So be careful with them... Gregory and Campbell can make it, but if they fail to score about 35 points in sum, than we have a problem ;)

[tkt]

That definitely looks good for under 140 points, but IMO line is too low(last year they shot 145 points total). I still think that Clermont under will come through.

[BetOnBasket]

Besancon - Toulon
Besancon is 1-3 at home but they are fighting in all matches, and the only team who won easily here was Asvel. Last week Besancon had good game against Orleanaise away but they lost in the 4th quarter. But this team is showing good basketball at least looking into their live matches coverages and their stats. Maybe they don't have winning experience and confidence but sooner or later they will find these components. And this game is good chance to stop that losing streak in home matches. If they managed to beat Strasbourg at home they will be able to beat Toulon.

Also I expect this game to go over the line because both clubs are not superb in defence (allows more than 74 points in most of their matches) and can score 80+ points easily. Also Besancon coach said that it would be difficult to stop Toulon offense. So maybe he expect this game to be offensive too. Let's wait & see.

Pick: Besancon ML @ 1.76 Bet365.com
Pick: Over 154.5 @ 1.83 Bet365.com

Clermontois - Strasbourg
Strasbourg is gaining its form but in French league they are still in the bottom table. They are class better than Clermontois and I expect Strasbourg to win here but also there is a problem... Clermointois lost 3 matches in a row at home and will be really motivated tomorrow. Maybe it's better to skip or take visitors with low stakes.

Racing Paris - Le Mans
One more game which is better to skip. Over/under is too dangerous to play and it's hard to believe in Le Mans after Euroleague away match with Efes... how will they react to that win is big question for me. Racing is very dangerous at home but a lot will depend on Le Mans in this match... better to skip.

Nancy - Orleanaise Entente
Orleanaise is not a team to blow out but it's hard to predict how Nancy will react after lost to Lietuvos Rytas in ULEB Cup this Tuesday. Phisically they should be ready but mentally? Maybe we will another close game here but Nancy is just a better team and correct line as for me should be about 8-9 points and not 12 points like bookies have set. Decide by yourself if it is worth to pick but I will skip this one.

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[zenica]

What you think about over 156 on Pau-Roanne?

[senator]

Chalon-7,5 : Bourg (high stakes, still widely available)

For me by far the best choice for today. Bourg won 3 away in the row and that's why bookies opened this match with Hcp 6 - 6,5. But they are again having big injurie troubles, lost last weekend from Cholet at home, when Sindjelic rejoined Kelly and long term Savovic injured. For today another USA starter, Howell, av 13pts and 6rb in last 6 games, should be also out, and I doubt they could hold without double digit lose at Chalon, being perfect at home and with only 2 games lost till now.

[senator]

What you think about over 156 on Pau-Roanne?

I think that in games where Roanne plays and limit is under 160 points it's always worth to take OVER. Of course some games will go under, but sure long term profit. Pau has defensive minded coach, but they are capable of scoring.

[yunfat]

Chalon-7,5 : Bourg (high stakes, still widely available)

For me by far the best choice for today. Bourg won 3 away in the row and that's why bookies opened this match with Hcp 6 - 6,5. But they are again having big injurie troubles, lost last weekend from Cholet at home, when Sindjelic rejoined Kelly and long term Savovic injured. For today another USA starter, Howell, av 13pts and 6rb in last 6 games, should be also out, and I doubt they could hold without double digit lose at Chalon, being perfect at home and with only 2 games lost till now.

It seems that kelly has been cut by bourg.
Howell out 6 weeks, sindjelic 2/3 weeks.