View Full Version : NBA - 06.11.2006
Junk Yard Dog
06-11-06, 11:34
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MichaelKnight
06-11-06, 15:29
MICHAEL KNIGHT'S LATEST PICKS..
Jazz vs Pistons
Pistons lost Ben and their performance was not promising last match, Utah is on a winning streak but their winning streak will end but after max 2-3 matches. But not today! Mehmet, Boozer and Krilenko will be too much for Pistons.
Clippers vs Portland
+12 for Portland? Bookies must be crazy. Portland is not poor as last season. Specially, their performance in preseason was really hot. Portland +12 is a really good handicap..
6.11.06 NBA: Detroit Pistons - Utah Jazz: Our Pick Utah Jazz (-2.5) @ 1.816 Pinnacle Sports
Nba Record : 2-2
Well I first thought at Portland today as spread +11 is really impressive. But actually later found out that odd on Pinny and just can't resist to take it. Utah is on a roll, and YES they do play the best basketball in NBA at the moment. They are all healthy playing great unselfish offence and great defence. Everybody has it's place. Detorit on the other hand is struggling they try to start post Ben era but it's not really going well for them lost to Bucks, won with lowly Boston and win after hard fight with less Gasol Memphis. Really will be hugely surprised for this one not to win. GL
ORLANDO
J.J. Redick G Back OUT from start QUESTIONABLE
Trevor Ariza F Foot OUT from start RETURNS soon
WASHINGTON
Darius Songaila F OUT from start BACK Early Feb
Songaila is first frontcourt bench option, not key player but biggest summer acquisition supposed to strengthen weak Wizards defence. Orlando expects big things from rookie J.J. Redick but since Grant Hill and Turkoglu are healthy and playing relatively good he's not big miss, Ariza is not missed much, he's supposed only to give some minuts of rest to veteran Hill.
NEW YORK
Jared Jeffries GF Wrist OUT from start BACK Early Dec
Jerome James C Foot OUT from start BACK soon
SAN ANTONIO
Beno Udrih PG Shin PROBABLE
Eric Williams GF Achilles OUT from start RETURNS soon
Jeffries is starting SF but Knicks are more than deep on that position, moreover Quentin Richardson is deputising him excellent. Jerome James is backup center, not important. Eric Williams is completely unimportant for San Antonio. Udrih was kicked in the left shin near the end of the Spurs' victory Sunday, but no words it is something serious.
CHICAGO
Tyrus Thomas F Nose BACK after 2 games missed
Chris Duhon PG foot PROBABLE
Thabo Sefolosha F hip PROBABLE
Michael Sweetney FC Knee QUESTIONABLE
MILWAUKEE
Bobby Simmons F Heel OUT from start RETURNS Mid Nov or later
Duhon is first backcourt option from bench for Bulls, he and Nocioni are 6th&7th man and he's pretty important, but he misses practices to help heal the chronic pain in his right foot, he don't misses games, he'll almost surely play tonight. Tyrus Thomas is OK after nose injury, maybe not fully, but he's 8th player in rotation anyway, minimal importance. Thabo Sefolosha was replacement for Tyrus when he was out, so he's even less important. Sweetney is not important for Bulls, but not same case with Bucks' Bobby Simmons. Bobby Simmons starter, but not key player, anyway Milwaukee attack would be better with him.
DALLAS
Devean George G Stomach OUT from start BACK soon
Didier Ilunga-Mbenga C Foot OUT from start BACK Mid Nov
GOLDEN STATE
Dajuan Wagner G Undisclosed day-to-day
Zarko Cabarkapa PF Back OUT from start OUT indefinitely
Keith McLeod PG Ankle OUT from start BACK soon
Warriors injuries are not important but it is worth mentioning that Troy Murphy plays with mask due to broken nose and that Jason Richardson plays not fully fit after offseason knee surgery. Both are key players and both underperformed in first three games. Dallas missings are unimportant.
UTAH
none
DETROIT
Dale Davis C Hamstring OUT from start BACK soon
Dale Davis is fourth frontcourrt options behind Rasheed, Nazr and McDyess so not important.
SACRAMENTO
Brad Miller C Foot OUT FROM 04 Nov BACK ?
MINNESOTA
Mark Madsen C Knee OUT from start BACK soon or surgery
Rashad McCants SG Knee OUT from start OUT indefinitely
Brad Miller left Saturday's game in the second quarter with plantar fasciitis in his left foot and did not return. It seems injury is bad, weeks of absence are mentioned but doctors still didn't said anything official. Brad is supposed to be one of key player but is in bad form this season. McCants is starting SG but Wolves are well covered on that position, Madsen is role player, not very important if at all.
LA CLIPPERS
Aaron Williams C Back OUT from start BACK ?
Zeljko Rebraca C Back OUT from start BACK ?
PORTLAND
Joel Przybilla C Abdominal OUT from 04 Nov PROBABLE
Raef LaFrentz FC Calf OUT from 03 Nov RETURNS ?
LaMarcus Aldridge F Shoulder OUT from start RETURNS ?
Darius Miles SF Knee OUT from start OUT indefinitely
Not important missings for home team. Rebraca used to be good backup center but with heart problems and other injuries is not anymore. Healthy or not healthy Aaron is useless. Darius Miles is good player but nutcase so it's hard to say is he missed or team spirit is better without him. LaMarcus is 2nd pick of this year's draft but not important, he's more "future project". Przybilla is starting center, LaFrentz second PF but are not vey important as Randolph and Magloire plays majority of time. Przybilla actually have funny injury, he was kicked in nuts in game versus Warriors and is out for game and a half now. Let's hope it's not tragic and we see him soon.
Game: Golden State at Dallas
Pick: Josh Howard to score over 16.5 points Odds: 1,66 7/10
EDIT: Sorry I forgot to write the bookie: Ladbrokes
Dallas will need to bounce back after losing the first two games against tough opponents like Spurs and Rockets. The Warriors will face a Dallas team, which is hard to beat on their own home court.
Josh Howard is averaging 18 PPG after 2 games, a nice start for him personally. He has something to show after the Mavs rewarded him with a new contract at the end of October month. The deal gives him more than 40 million bucks on 4 years. The game will IMO be a high scoring affaire, I do not doubt it for a second. Warriors are so far 1-2 and in 2 of the 3 season games, they have let their opponents score more than 100 points. Josh Howard showed he is capable of scoring 16 points in a game where the Mavs only scored 76 as a team, so why wouldn’t he score more than 16.5 against the Warriors?
Knockoutpicks
06-11-06, 17:18
>>>LEVEL 2 PLAY is UTAH over Detroit
Forensic ATS information on this game: Utah 63-26 after three straight games outrebounding opponent by five or more, Detroit 6-16 road v. teams w/ winning record the last two years, 6-18 off under, 8-17 opponent scored 100 or more last game, 7-21 road, 3-13 road opponent winning percentage .600 or better, Utah 5-0 series
Monday, November 06, 2006
NBA
MILWAUKEE +5.5 Chicago
We have found fading the chic media always has been and always will be a goldmine. Remember last year’s NBA playoffs? Virtually every media scribe predicted Miami would flop on the playoffs because of lack of defense, while Memphis and Chicago would be the surprise teams because they were the two best defensive teams that made the playoffs.
Does anyone remember how it turned out? I’m am sure GodsTips.com clients who faded the media all the way to the bank can tell you.
Fast forward to this year. True one of our very few premium play losers was opening night when Chicago blew out a Miami team suffering from championship hangover. The next day the media tripped over each other telling us how great Chicago ’s defense is since adding Ben Wallace, blah, blah.
Of course, what happens— Chicago has not won since. Thank you Lupica.
Through Saturday’s games, the Bulls were allowing the fewest points per game in the league (88) and forcing the most turnovers (24 per game), yet they have a 1-2 record. Did I mention thank you Lupica? Chicago ’s offense is out of synch and Scott Skiles even admitted considering line-up changes. Milwaukee ’s offense is averaging 100.3 ppg against teams normally allowing 95.6. We don’t see Chicago keeping up.
Thank you Lupica.
pfff i have made a miskte playing SAC -5 i saw this like big banker but just now i see that they gonna be without Miller and this is will be now big problem ...
damn i see now teams equal and hard match and this could go either way or even to a close match anywayz all the value gone for me and i'm probably ****ed becouz of playing high stakes on this :/
Dallas-Golden State+9,5 home win.
The Mavs were the title finalists of last year. Since they aren't change so much. They signed Croshere and A.Jonhson from Indiana, and they let M.Daniels to go. The poor begining of the season have reason in the 35 turn overs in the first two games. Usually Dallas is the strong team at home. Last year had 36-5 record, but started with loss to San Antonio. The quality of their roster show to me, that they are bounce back definetly. No injuries.
Golden State goes to Dallas with Don Nelson on the bench. Nelson is the coach who rebuild the Mavericks last years. But for tonight's game would be difficult for him and for the Wariors. Richardson just recover from knee injury, Murphy plays with mask to protect his brocken nose and Baron Davis is incostintent. Generally they aren't in good form
Dallas want the first win and the hanticap of 9,5 points is too low.
1st pick. Utah—Detroit (+3,5) @ 1,85 (OT not included)
Utah started the season impressive and took 3 wins, but today they meet Detroit, who are able to stop them. Both teams should be playing defensively, but the results are showing something else at the moment. We think this match will be under and Detroit should grab Utah’s first loss at home this season. No stats on teams or players, but we think Detroit will be willing to take this win, especially after their first loss of the season to Milwauke (and then victory against Boston and Memphis). All in all Utah is playing very well as a team (so do Detroit), but it is time to lose for them.
Good luck!
Dallas Mavericks (-9.5) - Golden State Warriors
Mavericks @1.96 expekt 5/10
Legendary coach Don Nelson is returning to Dallas where he spend (I think) nine seasons. It will be odd experience for him sitting on visitor's bench, but I smell this could be embarassing experience too. First, as I mentioned Richardson plays not fully fit after surgery and Troy Murphy is obviously bothered not much by broken nose but protective mask he wears and is not comfortable with it. Second, Nelson jumped in small ball mania that spread over NBA like virus and was going small in preseason and in first game (98-110 loss to Kobeless Lakers) starting PG Baron Davis - SG Jason Richardson - SF Mickael Pietrus - PF Mike Dunleavy - C Troy Murphy. So he changed it for second game inserting classical center Foyle switching back Murphy to his natural PF position but positioning SF Dunleavy again on unnatural position of PG (benching Pietrus). It gave success if home win (102-89) over very bad Portland can be called success. After first quarter of Portland game useless Foyle was replaced by not brilliant Biedrins and that was lineup that was crushed at Utah in third game by 106-82. So, Nelly is still figuring things out and if he doesn't know how Warriors game should look, no wonder players know it even less and are somehow lost.
However, Warriors record 1-2 is still better than Mavericks' 0-2. But Dallas is mighty team with super trio of PF Dirk Nowitzki, SF Josh Howard and PG Jason Terry which are helped with two defensive specialists in starting lineup (SG Greg Buckner and C DeSagana Diop) and very good deep bench (Anthony Johnson, Devin Harris, Jerry Stackhouse, Austin Croshere). Even without current Warriors problems, home team is class above guests and I have no doubt which side will win this game despite Dallas losses in first two games. Dallas team lost first season game to San Antonio. In a battle of two Texas teams and two arguably best teams in the league Spurs were better 97-91. It is not shame to loss to Duncan & company, but two days later (Saturday) Dallas fall to third Texas team, shameful 76-107 it was at Houston. Day after game Jason Terry called for "only players meeting" after only two games. I wasn't there but I can be pretty sure it started with "it can't go like this anymore" and finished with "one for all, all for one". It shows players cares and I expect them to be fully motivated today and give their best to restore their pride after last painfull loss. In my opinion it will result in crushing Golden State from first to last minute and game finishing in double-digit home win, probably even by 20+ points. I think Dallas coach Avery Johnson wants big win too to reestablish authority against other teams in league that must be shaken a bit at this moment. Simply to show hyenas not to mess with wounded lion.
BetOnBasket
06-11-06, 22:12
1st pick. Utah—Detroit (+3,5) @ 1,85 (OT not included)
Utah started the season impressive and took 3 wins, but today they meet Detroit, who are able to stop them. Both teams should be playing defensively, but the results are showing something else at the moment. We think this match will be under and Detroit should grab Utah’s first loss at home this season. No stats on teams or players, but we think Detroit will be willing to take this win, especially after their first loss of the season to Milwauke (and then victory against Boston and Memphis). All in all Utah is playing very well as a team (so do Detroit), but it is time to lose for them.
Agree with you here.. Utah looks like a public bet today and this is where experience may count better. Utah players are flying high at this moment but don't forget that Pistons are Pistons and they are ex-NBA-champions..they still know how to play under pressure and they still know how to play those public games. All stats are speaking for Utah and I don't see any good rational explanations why Detroit should cover today but their character is something that may be a factor.
Lines at some bookies have dropped down to +5 and this line move is playing for visitors side. If Detroit would win their first game this line will be an level one and maybe Detroit would be slightly favored... So let's not make deep conclusions only because of Detroit loss in first game and great Utah results and stats..
Also I am not sure about Dallas covering this HC today..these always showing some kind of show in their games and GS showed that they can win at Dallas. Nelson will motivated to win for sure and if Mavs quards would not be able to shoot well in offense this game will be not easy one for them.. But as for me best pick for this game would be over197 or GS to score >93.5 if you have it in the line.
great info silvio...i agree with you..but not %100...remember the last game @dallas...richardson played damn good and the match went to overtime...i hope richardson injury stops him a little...
anyways...looks like the best pick of the day :wink:
NBA 0-0
I'm not expert in nba, so my picks will not be based on player or team individual statistic, I'm just posting my ideas how I think it should be.
New York Knicks -San Antonio Spurs
Class difference here is huge, Knicks won first match against Memphis and after that lost 2 matches by 10 or more points to average Atlanta and ,,medium Indiana,, while what I saw from Spurs in their opener game against Dallas was very good basketball, team plays good basketball, last season Spurs won both matchups without any problems and I don't see why this time it should be different, the only bad thing is that they played yesterday, but it wasn't late match, still I'm taking only ml here with high stakes.
Pick:Spurs
Stake:9/10
Odds:1.40
Bookmaker:Pinnaclesports
Chicago Bulls-Milwaukee Bucks
I see this one as 50/50 match and thats why I'm taking +6 handicap here, so far Chicago's great defense have worked only once in their 1st match, after that came 2 losses against Orlando and Sacramento. Both teams have similar record 2-1 and if Milwaukee will be able to score near 100pts then they should win this one, so I see the outcome the outcome of this match in Milwaukee hands, if they will shoot good they will have very good chances to win. Last season both teams won 1 match away and 1 @home.
Pick:Milwaukee(+6 )
Stake:6/10
Odds:2.00
Bookmaker:Pinnaclesports
Utah Jazz-Detroit Pistons
Utah might be better team here, but what does total 189,5 means?? Despite that Utah score 100+ points against teams like Houston, Phoenix and Golden state doesn't mean nothing here as those teams are very weak, exspecially last 2. Detroit leaders isn't in perfect form and they aren't playing high tempo game so I don't understand why this shoould be an over match, last season both matchups ended with an under( 170 and 184(overtime ) pts, so I see huge value in under in todays match.
Pick:under 189,5pts
Stake:7/10
Odds:2.03
Bookmaker:Pinnaclesports
Game: Golden State at Dallas
Pick: Josh Howard to score over 16.5 points Odds: 1,66 7/10
EDIT: Sorry I forgot to write the bookie: Ladbrokes
Dallas will need to bounce back after losing the first two games against tough opponents like Spurs and Rockets. The Warriors will face a Dallas team, which is hard to beat on their own home court.
Josh Howard is averaging 18 PPG after 2 games, a nice start for him personally. He has something to show after the Mavs rewarded him with a new contract at the end of October month. The deal gives him more than 40 million bucks on 4 years. The game will IMO be a high scoring affaire, I do not doubt it for a second. Warriors are so far 1-2 and in 2 of the 3 season games, they have let their opponents score more than 100 points. Josh Howard showed he is capable of scoring 16 points in a game where the Mavs only scored 76 as a team, so why wouldn’t he score more than 16.5 against the Warriors?
Talk about bad luck, Howard played well and had 13 points after 6-7 minutes of 2nd quarter and then he gets injured :(
pffff i just dont get how Dallas lost it , i lost big money on them and i took them money line @ 1.20 and even that they lost just cant belive it team that bearly lose mayb 3-4 games at home in the whole season lost their 2nd match in raw at home and 3rd in total so far ..
just cant belive it but i'll stick with them next match against the clippers dont care much about the odds but i'm sure they will do it now .
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