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godspicks
14-12-03, 14:02
Pro Football:
1 Unit on Jacksonville Jaguars +6½ -110

Sunday, December 14, 2003

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JACKSONVILLE +6’ New England
The Jags are moving on up. They have allowed just 33 points in their last four games and have held five straight teams to less than 100 yards rushing, four of them below 77. During that period, they’ve allowed a tiny 4.3 yards per play against teams averaging 5.1 yards per play and that includes only 5.1 yards per pass against 6.2 yards per pass.

The Jags defense has been great all year allowing just 3.2 yards per rush against teams that have a cumulative average of .7 more. Their road defense is staggering allowing just 4.5 yards per play.

Now that the Jags are cutting down greatly on turnovers, it is becoming even more important to note that Jacksonville has the stats of a playoff contender averaging 332 yards per game while allowing just 282. They have just one turnover in their last three games, so with Leftwich at the helm they’ve proven what we told you many weeks ago that they have nowhere to go but up.

The fact that Jimmy Smith has rejoined the team after a drug-induced absence is certainly helping matters.

The Jags shouldn’t need to score much to cover against a team averaging less than 11 points per game in their last three home contests.

Road underdogs who allow 3.5 or less rushing yards per carry after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in their last game are 34-13.

So how about the weather? Historically, the Jags have more than held its own in cold environments. A 2-5 record in games where the temperature is 36 degrees or lower may not be impressive, but in those losses, the Jaguars were either winning or trailed by no more than a touchdown with five minutes remaining.

And it’s not like the Jaguars will be trotting out a starting lineup ill equipped to adapt to possibly below-freezing temperatures. Of the team’s 22 starters, half of them have either grown up in climates where it’s cold in December or played for colleges that had those types of weather conditions.