View Full Version : France LNB 29,30/9 & 1/10
Odds from 10bet:
http://img165.imageshack.us/img165/2655/6163db1.png
I see Bourg is come in back with 2 points from Toulon,they beat them last year so why not again.
Strasbourg in Paris...,clear AW. :wink:
BetOnBasket
29-09-06, 16:48
I like 4 games in tomorrow line as well today under 151.5 in Toulon but it's a bit risky to play because of low-team class. As it is stated on Toulon official site today only 3 professional players will appear on the court and Bourg experience troubles in offense this season. If we would look into their preseason results it's clearly seen that team have problems in offense this year comparing to last year results and their week1 games confirm this theory well.
I expect something like 75-68 in this match, but as I already said that's hard to predict how those amateurs will play today.
But Saturday line is more interesting and profitable as I think. Here 2 picks I like:
Nancy - Chalon Sur Saone
Both teams showed great performance in friendlies matches Nancy record was 9-2, while Chalon 9-1. Both teams have very close h-2-h last statistics, Nancy won 3 games 79-78, 98-72 and 78-69, while Chalon managed to win at home 93-75. This season Chalon signed some really good players and till now they showed good results.
2 reasons why I hold this bet risky is that Nancy could be too much motivated in front of their supporters and Chalon 1 point win against Besancon at home in Day 1. But from other side they had 10 points advantage before last quarter, which they lost 9-18.
This line should be 5-6 points less than it is set. So let's take it with medium-low stake.
Pick: Chalon +12 @ 1.80
Size: $250 (medium-low confidence)
Bookie: Bet365.com
Racing Paris - Strasbourg IG
What could be said for this match. PSG is long time project which should give results in 2-3 years while Strasbourg rely on their budget and wants to get champions rings right now. Sure it's too early to speak about but seems that Cooper injury for Strasbourg break all their plans, team is forced to reconstruct their game and find a way how to play without their leader. That's why I don't trust Strasbourg at this moment, but it's risky to lay them because their depth is better than some starting fives in LNB.
The only pick I like in this match is under 146.5.
During preparations matches Racing Paris average match total was only 125 points, and that's their game style: very tough defense and low tempo control. These are the keys for success for this team. Their game plan is easy: limit opponent down to 60-65 points in offense and score about 68-75 points in offense. In their first season game their lost 73-81 and a reason of that loss was named bad defence, especially in 3rd quarter when they allowed 29 points. Without this quarter they allowed only 52 points in 3 quarters (17.3 pts per quarter). So seems that this team really know how to play in defence and control tempo (only 58 shots were made by Clermoint). But in offense they still can't score a lot points. This game was first when they managed to score 73 points this season. So for me this team normal numbers are 69-72 points in offense, and 65-68 in defence.
Strasbourg team is difficult to analyze because their were 9-1 in preseason when they beat strong ASVEL, Nancy, Le Mans and some others teams. But at the start of the season they lost their main power Cooper, and for this game Darrigand Gauthier another starter is under big questions. Such kind of problems could be case for really difficult times for Strasbourg in Paris, especially in offense where they still can't find a leader and especially it will be hard to find it against tough Racing Paris defence.
I expect this game to be 135-142 points game, so under looks good for me. But I have to say that this pick is quite risky because one 45-46 points quarter could kill our hopes. But anyway it's worth to try.
Pick: UNDER 146.5 @ 1.90
Size: $250 (medium-low confidence)
Bookie: 10Bet.com
Other 2 picks for Saturday LNB matches including most-cofident one you can read here (http://www.betonbasket.com/expert-picks/alleks/lnb-week-2-predictions-and-picks-by-alleks.html)
Fully agree with both picks :wink:
I like 4 games in tomorrow line as well today under 151.5 in Toulon but it's a bit risky to play because of low-team class. As it is stated on Toulon official site today only 3 professional players will appear on the court and Bourg experience troubles in offense this season. If we would look into their preseason results it's clearly seen that team have problems in offense this year comparing to last year results and their week1 games confirm this theory well.
I expect something like 75-68 in this match, but as I already said that's hard to predict how those amateurs will play today.
Where did you found it mate?Toulon will be with a lot of professional players today,the USA's Nichols,Brown and Bailey+Nedic,Milling,Bouteille,Legname.Are they amateurs? :roll:
The only absence for Toulon is USA Glen Whisby (2.03m) who got injured in last game vs Gravelines (5pts in 10 minutes) and he will be out of the courts for about 45 days.Toulon announced today that Ian Lockhart (39 years old :lol: /he was player of Toulon last season with 25mpg,8ppg,8rpg).Lockhart is going to make his debut in the next game (vs Reims).Good news for Toulon is that Derrick Obasohan (USA-NIG,1.99m) will make his debut today (he didn't played in last game because of a heart arythmia).
On the other side Bourg lost last week from Orleans (newcomer in ProA) in home 48-77 :!:An excuse for that big loss is the absence of Marcus Wilson (USA,1.92m).Wilson is going to play today so Bourg will have one more offensive weapon.
Difficult game to predict and i see it like a 50%-50% decision.If i should bet on this i would prefer Bourg's side.
Hello :) How You rate chances in Toulon - Bourg match? I think Bourg is totally out of season-form. They will be prepare for season games in next two or three weeks. Orleans bat them very easy 77-48 , on their playground.
In the other side , Toulon is in good shape :) Today will play new winger , Obashon , they have 3 great players (Bailey , Brown , Nichols) which , I don't think so , Bourg can stop.
For me it's clear home win , with double digit margin....
Senator , or someone else , can you write a small prediction?
Thanks :)
bourg u73pts looks like 8 units play :?:
BetOnBasket
30-09-06, 00:56
[quote=BetOnBasket.com]I like 4 games in
Where did you found it mate?Toulon will be with a lot of professional players today,the USA's Nichols,Brown and Bailey+Nedic,Milling,Bouteille,Legname.Are they amateurs? :roll:
Maybe it was smth like "lost in translation" :) But I have found this info on official Toulon site:
http://translate.google.com/translate?sourceid=navclient&hl=en&u=http%3a%2f%2fwww%2ehtv%2dbasket%2ecom%2ffr%2fnew s%2ephp%3fid%5farticle%3d284
"The HTV will thus accomodate Bourg in Bresse Friday evening in Toulon with only 3 professional interiors (Nedic, Bouteille, Milling) and with Julien Barrat for rotation. "
But now it's not important the game hit under with solid handicap. Seems that Bourg have really BIG troubles in offense this season
Only 3 prof interiors, yes that's correct, and previously you have wrote only 3 prof players, big difference :wink:
For me it's clear home win , with double digit margin....
Toulon 73-49 Bourg
Today I'm interested in playing ASVEL home win. Lyon is great prepared for season. If they want , they can play great basketball. Good Offense + Great Defense. Not bad rotation in squad. They can beat everybody in France.
On the other side is Le Mans. First match , 69-70 versus Dijon , at home court is a disaster. They need 2 weeks at last to be in 'season form' They have good defense , that's true , but from defense to offense they have big problems. Dijon have clear their attack excellent. Lyon is better than Dijon , and I can't see them winning today.
Senator , Am I right?
vBulletin® v3.8.4, Copyright ©2000-2013, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
0