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xldlktyk
30-08-06, 05:21
GAME: cws v tb
pick: cws handi-1.5
stake: 6units

cws will contiune their victory tonight i guess. jon Garland(15-4) is a solid pitcher. he has only allowed 1 run in last 3 games.he has 2.52 ear for his last 30days. actually if you look at his last 10games record. you will find he has 7 games with only 0 or 1 er, and 2games with 6 er,,1 game with 3er.this indicates he is kinda stable and reliable pitcher.i dont think TB will bring much chellange to him.
f0r tb's pitcher Tim Corcoran..emmmm he isnt bad,he has 2 3 3 er for last 3game, 4.26 era for road and 4.47 for night which isnt so impressive compare with jon. i guess cws should take this game with 2+margin.. any ideas?

Satyr
30-08-06, 14:41
--------------------------------------------------
MLB 2006: 72 W 66 L +26.46 units
--------------------------------------------------

Athletics (Zito) (1.74 @ Pinnacle) 5 units

I just can't miss out on this offer. The A's are arguably the hottest team in baseball right now and they're bringing their A game against the 2004 world champs. It would be a far more demanding task had the injury list in Boston a bit shorter, but now after Varitek and Manny who are out for some time, Big Papi has been hospitalized due to irregular heartbeat. Boston's lineup is heavily depleted and the guys that are there will probably have a hard time hitting Barry Zito (14-8, 3.64 ERA), who has had some trouble against the Red Sox this season.

Zito took a no-hitter into the eighth inning Friday in Texas, where he settled for 8 1/3 innings of two-hit work with two walks. He earned a win in his first start against Boston this season on July 14, but was hammered for seven runs and three homers over five innings on July 24 at Oakland.

Zito is 4-5 lifetime against Boston with a 5.08 ERA. Schilling (14-6, 3.95 ERA), who will get the nod for the Red Sox, has been far more impressive against Oaktown bats (A's hitters are batting .230 collectively against Schilling, but Mark Kotsay is 21-for-70 (.300) lifetime with six RBIs.), but has been lacking to record any run support lately, and with one of the hottest teams around I have to back them at this price with their ace on the mound.
5 units.

White Sox (RL) (1.87 @ Pinnacle) 4 units

Jon Garland (15-4, 4.47 ERA) has been immense for the Pale Hose this season, and I expect no less from him than a stellar performance against the feisty Devil Rays, who almost pulled back last night after getting hammered rather early. Garland is going for his 16th win in 27 starts, which would tie him for the American League lead. He gets run support, he's excellent at US Cellular field, White Sox are perhaps chasing a sweep here, which would surely boost their chances in the postseason hunt, regardlessly if it's a WC place or a divisional title.
Jermaine Dye is blazing hot, Jim Thome could be back in the lineup, I expect Pale Hose to record another W here.

[fin]juuso
30-08-06, 15:20
Toronto Blue Jays @ Cleveland Indians

Indians -1.5 @ 2.36 (Pinnacle) 5 units


TOR: RHP Shaun Marcum (2-3, 5.88 ERA)

CLE: LHP Jeremy Sowers (6-3, 3.44 ERA)


It's been a tough season for the Tribe, but they have been playing great late season season baseball, going 15-5 in last 20 games and 10-1 in L11 at home. Toronto on the other hand has slowed down a lot in the month of August. This months hitting stats for both teams: Indians: .287 BA, .357 OBP, 838 OPS, 151 runs scored in 27 games. Blue Jays: .249 BA, .302 OBP, 705 OPS, 108 runs scored in 27 games. Pitching matchup also favors heavily Indians. Jeremy Sowers, one the highest touted pitching prospects in Indians history, has been rock solid since posting three average starts in his first Major league games. In last 7 games he has gone 5-0 with a superb ERA of 1.68, with all of those games being quality outings. Indians bullpen also seems to be coming together as they've been throwing reasonably well lately and Tom Mastny has been a solid closer. Toronto's Shawn Marcum is average at best. Throwing out of the pen for most of the season, he has had trouble lasting very long in his starts and has given up plenty of hits. He is 1-3 with a 6.93 in last 5 starts and altough his last start was reasonably effective against the Kansas City, his overall numbers look pretty bad. Sowers is likely to outperform Marcum and Indians bats are likely to continue the string of good home performances, therefore I'll go with the runline.

[fin]juuso
30-08-06, 16:28
Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Cubs team total over 4.5 @ 2.0 (Pinnacle) 4 units


CHC: RHP Juan Mateo (1-2, 3.38 ERA)

PIT: RHP Victor Santos (5-9, 5.59 ERA)


small bet on the early game. Altough Cubs batting game has been pretty anemic lately, but Victor Santos isn't exactly Cy Young material. He can be reasonably effective at times, but also has the propensity of getting lit up at times. Over his last 4 games since coming off the DL he has a 6.98 ERA and WHIP of 2.07. Pirates bullpen is pretty good, but i'll take my chances of Santos not being his sharpest today. Cubs have hit better against RHP overall this season and hopefully they'll get the bats going today. I tough about Cubs ml bet also as Juan Mateo hasn't been all that bad, but decided to skip as Pirates bats have hit better lately and they have better pen. Anyway, 2.0 worth a small-to-medium bet on this team total imo.




Detroit Tigers @ New York Yankees

Who will pitch more innings? Nate Robertson vs. Chien-Ming Wang , ROBERTSON @ 2.50 (Pinnacle) 4 units


Same bet as yesterday, just came out at Pinnacle. Nothings really changed expect this is a day game now. Wang and Robertson both have higher ERA's at day time while Yankees have slightly better day time record at home. But there's really no day time factors that affects this bet. It opened at the same price today as well.

Robertson is averaging 6.9 IP a game over last 10 starts while Wang averages 6.7 over the same span. Robertson is a solid performer and he gives up less hits and strikes out a lot more batters. He has also given up less walks over last 10. Detroit is pretty solid, above average hitting team and can give hard time to Wang, who i think has been overperforming most of the season. Wang has been less sharp over his last 5 and being a extreme groundball pitcher he often needs to get some good bounces to last long. Yankees rate a lineup edge and they are quite patient at the plate, evening things up and making this pretty even matchup. 2.50 for Nate is still way too much imo.

tkt
30-08-06, 16:48
Early Yankees game:
Trust me on this one. It won't need an explanation. Go with Wang. Robertson has not proven anything to me yet. He definitely cracks under pressure. And tonight, Yankees will bring it on so he can be in a jam early.
So Yankees to win, odds 1.55 at Gamebookers.
Other bookies(for example Unibet have removed this game, and probably know the outcome). So cash in on this for sure! Bookies don't want to lose their money! :roll:

[fin]juuso
30-08-06, 17:11
Early Yankees game:
Trust me on this one. It won't need an explanation. Go with Wang. Robertson has not proven anything to me yet. He definitely cracks under pressure. And tonight, Yankees will bring it on so he can be in a jam early.
So Yankees to win, odds 1.55 at Gamebookers.
Other bookies(for example Unibet have removed this game, and probably know the outcome). So cash in on this for sure! Bookies don't want to lose their money! :roll:


Well, while Yankees are the favorite, no bookie knows any result for sure and real bookies that specialise in US sports and have millions bet in a single games like this never lose. They got the margin in their favor and while public loves big favorites there are always enough high stake players taking sizable underdogs to guarantee long term profit for the books. 1.57 at Pinnacle for Yankees right now and i personally think it's a bit too low.

The reason some bookies don't have it on board is because they don't set the odds themselves. They just follow US bookies and adjust the odds to their profit margin. Odds for todays Yankees-Detroit games just came out about 2 hours ago at Pinnacle.

tkt
30-08-06, 17:24
juuso]Early Yankees game:
Trust me on this one. It won't need an explanation. Go with Wang. Robertson has not proven anything to me yet. He definitely cracks under pressure. And tonight, Yankees will bring it on so he can be in a jam early.
So Yankees to win, odds 1.55 at Gamebookers.
Other bookies(for example Unibet have removed this game, and probably know the outcome). So cash in on this for sure! Bookies don't want to lose their money! :roll:


Well, while Yankees are the favorite, no bookie knows any result for sure and real bookies that specialise in US sports and have millions bet in a single games like this never lose. They got the margin in their favor and while public loves big favorites there are always enough high stake players taking sizable underdogs to guarantee long term profit for the books. 1.57 at Pinnacle for Yankees right now and i personally think it's a bit too low.

The reason some bookies don't have it on board is because they don't set the odds themselves. They just follow US bookies and adjust the odds to their profit margin. Odds for todays Yankees-Detroit games just came out about 2 hours ago at Pinnacle.

Yankees have 1 better thing:
Wang is the best damn groundball pitcher i've seen in a while.
So it's obvious that they will win...

godspicks
30-08-06, 18:04
Wednesday, August 30, 2006


MLB
OAKLAND (ZITO -135) Boston (Schilling)

Going with favorites with a batting average of .265 or worse on the year after allowing four runs or less in three straight games 312-154 +91.2. Oakland is 8-2 their last 10.

Oakland is on a on a 23-6 run. Boston is 3-13 off a loss. Oakland has won nine straight against teams that scored two runs or less in their previous game. Boston has lost four straight with Schilling -7.3 units.

Oakland has won 5-of-6 with Zito. His ERA is 1.65 in his last two games.

Ernie_Money
30-08-06, 18:20
Record 3-1, +$513

Philadelphia/Washington under 9.5, $210 to win $200
NY Mets/Colorado over 10.5, $212 to win $200

Reasoning:

1) I like Cole Hamels to bounce back strong from a horrible start last time out and Hamels has a 3.38 ERA during night games, while his ERA is over 8 in day games. Big park in DC and a breeze blowing in from left and maybe straight in by game-time and possibly some sloppy weather. Ramon Ortiz has been horrible his last 3 starts, so it is about time for a start that will bring him more towards his mean.

2) Tonight, we again have a slight breeze blowing out at Coors and yes, Coors has been an Under park all year, but that trend is reversing itself the last month and I cannot help but like this Mets lineup to keep scoring runs in this series. Dave Williams and Josh Fogg are struggling and Coors is no place to get back on track, usually. Do Not coat-tail these plays.

Just watch for a few months. Please.

TheWho.
30-08-06, 23:26
Record 3-1, +$513

Philadelphia/Washington under 9.5, $210 to win $200
NY Mets/Colorado over 10.5, $212 to win $200

Reasoning:

1) I like Cole Hamels to bounce back strong from a horrible start last time out and Hamels has a 3.38 ERA during night games, while his ERA is over 8 in day games. Big park in DC and a breeze blowing in from left and maybe straight in by game-time and possibly some sloppy weather. Ramon Ortiz has been horrible his last 3 starts, so it is about time for a start that will bring him more towards his mean.

2) Tonight, we again have a slight breeze blowing out at Coors and yes, Coors has been an Under park all year, but that trend is reversing itself the last month and I cannot help but like this Mets lineup to keep scoring runs in this series. Dave Williams and Josh Fogg are struggling and Coors is no place to get back on track, usually. Do Not coat-tail these plays.

Just watch for a few months. Please.

Will we be seeing you in the NFL/NHL/NBA section of the forum soon, which starts in a few months away. I like your work, keep it up. 8)

murgatroyd
30-08-06, 23:39
juuso]Early Yankees game:
Trust me on this one. It won't need an explanation. Go with Wang. Robertson has not proven anything to me yet. He definitely cracks under pressure. And tonight, Yankees will bring it on so he can be in a jam early.
So Yankees to win, odds 1.55 at Gamebookers.
Other bookies(for example Unibet have removed this game, and probably know the outcome). So cash in on this for sure! Bookies don't want to lose their money! :roll:


Well, while Yankees are the favorite, no bookie knows any result for sure and real bookies that specialise in US sports and have millions bet in a single games like this never lose. They got the margin in their favor and while public loves big favorites there are always enough high stake players taking sizable underdogs to guarantee long term profit for the books. 1.57 at Pinnacle for Yankees right now and i personally think it's a bit too low.

The reason some bookies don't have it on board is because they don't set the odds themselves. They just follow US bookies and adjust the odds to their profit margin. Odds for todays Yankees-Detroit games just came out about 2 hours ago at Pinnacle.

Yankees have 1 better thing:
Wang is the best damn groundball pitcher i've seen in a while.
So it's obvious that they will win...

yes jusso. some believe wang is just lucky this year but for me he is the best so faR

tomting
31-08-06, 00:46
Not enough time left, will kick off in 20mins! so i will be quick!
Two big favourite tonite,

Combo Houston + Minnesota both ML to win (FULL Stake)

Bush will be in big trouble tonite facing hot houston bats, and his luck is very very low at 1.5/10 and CLemens doesn;t fare much better at 4.5/10. I also thinking of playing OVER 8.

Hudson for Kansas is also terrible luck tonite with only 2/10, Bonser is on 5.5/10. With Mauer and Hunter and the rest , their lucks are good especially Hunter!!.

That's all,

All the Luck